New year massage and view on Rolta India ltd.

Hello mahesh ji. After a long time. Reddy here. Sir what is ur view on Rolta india ltd. Even promotors are increasing stake...ask by Anand Reddy ji 
1. First of all happy new year 2014 for all of my blog readers.
 2. Second I feel sorry to my blog readers for my long absence on net because last some time i am suffering from cervical pain and my doctor advice me to avoid my laptop. Now my cervical pain is Ok and I am start blogging again. 
3. Reddy ji now I come to your question about Rolta, Rolta India ltd is a 10 rupee face value software company. 
4. Year high of Rolta India ltd is 77.25 and year lowis  50.00 stock traded at 67 so this is good because stock is recover from year low and just start correcting after year high in Nov 2013. 
5. Promoters continue increasing their holding at every quarter from 46.25 to 47.71 and now this is 49.08% so increasing promoters holding is very exciting for me. 
6. Rolta is a dividend paying company and pay 3 rupee per year dividend from last few years. 
7. So my view is POSITIVE for Rolta India ltd. 
8. Discloser:- Presently i have no any stock of Rolta India ltd but after giving this view Rolta may be my next buying.

MY TOP 5 STOCK PICKS.

Sir, i am very regular visitor to your site. please suggest me any good shares for long term investment may be for 5 yrs and also for 10yrs Happy that your earlier suggestions like first source solutions are really doing wonders . thanks sudheer 
1. Sudheer Ji, Thank you for appreciating me, I Remember that in 2011 i recommended SIPs in these 5 stocks in reply of your question FIRST SOURCE , KAMDHENU ISPAT , INFRA BEES , MTNL , REL COM and in these 5 stocks 4 stock give you 50% to 125% return in 2 years only MTNL not perform well but do not worry about MTNL because MTNL and BSNL have signed a MOU in 24 Sept 2013, that both BSNL and MTNL will utilize the network and infrastructure of each other for greater operational synergy and single window customer delivery. This will result into greater synergy between the two organizations. I am sure that when BSNL IPO is come ( or rumors start about BSNL IPO ) then MTNL give us 100+ price. 
2. New visitor of this blog who not read my earlier article about these 5 stock first read it at this link http://sharegenius.blogspot.in/2011/11/buy-first-source-kamdhenu-ispat-infra.html 
3. Now i told you my 5 best stock picks of currant time this time my most most favourite stock is County club india ltd because promoters of country club india ltd up theire stake and other fundamentals criteria also best, read more details about country club india ltd in these links http://www.maheshkaushik.com/2013/10/country-club-india-ltd-610.html 
and
http://sharegenius.blogspot.in/2011/09/country-club-india-ltdhold.html 
4. Next 2 is INFRA BESS and MTNL as i told you earlier. 
5. Guj Sidhee cement is my 4th choice because after capital restructuring guj sidhee is a debt free company and as my past experience this type of capital restructuring is good for stock valuation. 
6. Manali petro is 5 th choice because i think after complete decontrol  of petro products manali petro will be touch in 3 figure price. 
7. So my top 5 stock picks are Country Club, Infra bees,MTNL,Guj Sidhee, Manali petro. 
8. All above 5 stocks are in my personal holdings.

Wonder Story of PHOTOQUIP INDIA LTD.

Hello sir could you please light on Scrip Photoquip ask by thanveer 
1. PHOTOQUIP INDIA LTD is a very low volume periodic call auction stock. 
2. First of all i want to tell my readers that "what is periodic call auction?" when a low equity stock have low volume then it is easy to speculate in price of this type of stock so stock exchanges enter these type of low volume stocks in periodic call auction. If a stock traded in periodic call auction then your order is expire in every hour.So if your order is not ececuted then you need to place a fresh order in every hour.
3.PHOTOQUIP INDIA LTD is a photographic product company and current market price of photoquip is 40 and year high of photoquip is 49.90, year low is 30.25. 
4. You wonder that in 2004 photoquip india ltd traded at 3.16 and in 2008 this stock traded at 5.80 so now after touching an all time high of 58.90 in 2010 i have no screw up any courage to buy this stock. 
5. Stock have low earnings low volume and many bulk deals which showing speculation activity so this is another negative point for me. 
6. Only one positive point that promoters of PHOTOQUIP INDIA LTD increase their holding from 54.76% to 57.78 % but this is not sufficient for screw up courage to buy this stock. 
7. I already mention some low price periodic call auction stocks in my website www.maheshkaushik.com like BLB ltd, National plastic etc. So i think this is much bettar to buy these type of stocks when they traded thire lows not near theire highes. 
8. I have no any stock of Photoquip ltd. 
9. If any reader buy my print book from Amazon.in before 10 December 2013 then he/she will able to get past price history of any 5 BSE stocks of his choice (in excel sheets.)These are terms and conditions for this offer 
* Buying from Amazon india are eligible for this offer, Buying from Bookadda, Flipkart not eligible for Free price history of any 5 BSE stocks. 
* This offer is valid till 10 December 2013 becuase Amazon india offer me extra affiliate fees till 10 Dec 2013 
* Use this affiliate link for buing your print copy of my book Click here to buy The Winning Theory in Stock Market from Amazon india 
* Free password for opening dividend paying stock list also Provide for registerd users read detail about registration of your copy here http://winningtheory.blogspot.in/2013/05/how-to-register-your-copy-with-me.html 
* As per previous promotion Free lal kitab horoscope also provided all registered users. 
* In your order you get 
1. Print Paperback Edition of my book ( Publish and imported from USA)
2.Price history of any 5 BSE stocks which you choose.( if you buy before 10 Dec 2013 and use this affiliate link for buy 
Click here to buy The Winning Theory in Stock Market from Amazon india 
3. Free Lal kitab horoscope. 
4. Password to download stuff from this link http://winningtheory.blogspot.in/2013/05/download-free-list-of-all-dividend.html

How to get quick reply of your stock questions

Recently I received 100’s of e mails about stock query but I am unable to reply all so I think we use a short method of comments for getting a quick reply. 
Make your comment at any blog post of this blog and I will direct reply under your comment on same blog post. 
Only selected question who eligible for detail reply is publish as separate post otherwise you find reply comment under your asking comment. 
For example you want to ask about Suzlon energy then you make your comment on any of my blog post and I reply your comment then it will be look like 
2 comments 
Praveen goswami – hello sir please tell about suzlon 
Reply by Mahesh Kaushik:- Suzlon is 2 rupee face value Heavy Electrical Equipment company which is traded at 7.70 and year high suzlon is 26.90 Year low 5.72 So In my view where a stock down more then 50 % within a year there more downside is remain. Promoters of suzlon decrease their holding from 37.78 % to 36.55 % and stock have many bulk deals so I think stock is good but you may wait at least 6 months for a fresh buy

Tinna Rubber And Infrastructure Limited : Risky

Tell me about tinna overseas ltd ask by market maker 
1. First of all i tell you that name of tinna overseas ltd is change as Tinna Rubber And Infrastructure Limited. 
2.Tinna Rubber And Infrastructure Limited is a 10 rupee face value stock which is traded at 45.25 and belonging to periodic call auction. This means tinna overseas is a low equity stock. 
3.Promoters holding in this stock is 72.34 % . Promoters increase their holding from 71.34 % to 72.34 % so Increasing in promoter holding is good.
4.Year high of Tinna Rubber And Infrastructure Limited is 46 and year low is 16.45 .So if you remember my year high/ year low ratio formula then you understand that i dislike the stock which year high/low is above 2. 
5.This stock never give dividends. 
6. Now i ask some question to my readers 
" Why we buy this type of stock who never give dividend? Who is in periodic call auction? 
Who is run from 14.20 and already run 300 % within a year? Who change his name? "
So in light of these questions I think this is risky to buy Tinna Rubber And Infrastructure Limited at this point when this stock traded at 14-16 then entering in this stock is a right decision buy now i think this is time to exit.
7. I have no any share of Tinna rubber.
8. Recently i get many mails of my followers which want to ask me about their stocks but i am so busy in my life and other blogs so i have no time to publish all of reply in my blog. in this situation i think if you want a quick reply of your questions then use comment form of this blog, comment your query at any of blog post ( all comment automatic  e mail to me by blogger ) and i will reply these comment on same blog post where you put your comment. in this method you get your reply within 24-48 hours.

Explanation of short term trading formula.

In my book In my book “ The winning theory in stock market” I give a short term trading formula . 
If you do not buy my book earlier then I give you a short summery of this formula 
1. This formula is not given here for day trading it is useful for 7-30 days delivery base trading and future and option positions. 
2. If last close- last open = negative figure and last close-today open is also a negative figure than you may make short positions because the stock is bearish. 
3. If last close- last open = positive figure and last close-today open is also a positive figure than you may make long positions because the stock is bullish. 
One of my book buyer not understand this formula and mail me that I give some explanation about this formula. 
Ok we take price of First source solution at 07.08.13 where last close-last open is 12.18-12.15=0.03 (positive) and 07.08.13 close -08.08.13 open is 12.31-12.28=0.03 (positive) that means stock is strong bullish in coming 7-30 days and you find that after 7 day at 19.08.13 price of firstsource is 12.77 and after 27 day price is 14.13 . 
My reader again ask that how we assume 7-30 days move in basis of single day close open ? OK, I am never claim that this formula is 100 % sure trading formula. This formula use 2 continuous day open close and give us a significant success rate (more than 50 % cases.)

Lupin Ltd: Bullish

I am hold lupin @600 book profit or hold I can hold for 1 yr and about GTL infra suggest me ask by arif baraskar ji 
1. Lupin Ltd is 2 rupee face value pharmaceutical share traded at 879. 
2. Year high of Lupin Ltd is 908 and year low 540.15 , this ratio is bullish, because year high and low ratio is stable below 2 and stock traded near his year high. 
3.Promoters holding 46.81% , FII holding 30.67 % DII holding 12.81 % also good because general public like you and me hold only 10 % so in open market if demand create then supply is low due to low general public holding,So my view is bullish to see this pattern in holdings. 
4.Recently lupin receives FDA approval for its Oral Contraceptive Vyfemla Tablets Generic of Ovconeand company also launches Generic ZYMAXID Ophthalmic solution in the US. 
5.In this situation my view is positive for lupin in pharma sector. 
6. I have no any share of Lupin.

Symphony Limited : wait for 6 months

hello mahesh ji, this is nitesh.i want to buy symphony for long term.what is your view on the stock symphony. thanks ask by nitesh. 
1.Symphony Limited is a consumer electronics company.face value of Symphony Limited is 2 rupee and stock currently traded at 309. 
2. Year high of Symphony Limited is 473.45 and year low 270 this is normal but stock traded near his year low and may be makes new year low in coming trading sessions.
3.Promoters holding in Symphony Limited is 75 % FII holding 3.31 % and DII holding 2.25% which is good holding pattern. 
4.Stock of Symphony Limited is spilt at 17.02.2012 so as my basic rule "Avoid a stock at least 2 year after split"  If my rule is right then we are able to buy this stock below 200 after March 2014. 
5. Stock is not bad but my view is wait for 6 months ( till Aprial 2014 ) for a low price. 
6. I have no any stock of Symphony Limited.

Jaypee Infratech Ltd:AVOID

Hello Mahesh ji, Is it good time accumulate Jaypee Infratech and BHEL. Both stocks are 52 week low. Please provide your valuable advise. Regardhan Goverdhan. 
1.Jaypee Infratech Ltd is a 10 rupee face value construction company. 
2. Year high of Jaypee Infratech Ltd is 58.60 Year low 14.45 and stock traded near year low @ 17.70 so i dislike this type of trading pattern. 
3.Promoters of Jaypee Infratech Ltd decrease their holding in company from 83.27% to 71.75 % , so reducing promoters holding is a very negative sign for a stock, 
4.Jaypee Infratech Ltd regularly pay dividends but my view is negative for Jaypee Infratech Ltd due to reducing promoters holding and more then 50 % fall from year high. 
5.I have no any share of Jaypee Infratech Ltd. 
6.Recommended readings:- 
Buy unique organics ltd @ 8 
Book 46.23 % profit in birla sun life international equity fund plan A 
Free PDF books on stock market

BANKING SECTOR STOCKS?

Dear Sir, I have bought 65 shares of bank of India @ Rs.208/share. Now banking shares are showing weakness and negative environment. But I am a long term investor (2-3 years horizon), So you suggest me about this stock.ask by pankaj kumar. 

1. Oh, in Oct 2011 when bank of India traded at 345 and all Indian banking sector stocks makes new highs everyday then i forecast coming downtrend in this blog my new readers who not read my special view about banking sector please first read this at this link before continue to this article, 
my special view about banking sector.
2. Actually market understand my estimate after 1-2 year i think my old reader remember my advice on firstsource solution ltd @10  and Arvind ltd @12 and now when rakesh ghunghunwala make a huge investment in firstsource solution and FSL touch 15 my readers ask me "Kaushik sir who is next arvind mill or fisrt source. I always reply those type of readers that they visit my website www.maheshkaushik.com occasionally for such type of new research's.
3. Bank of India is a 10 rupee face value banking stock with year high of 392.20 and year low 126.95 stock traded at 171.
4. Promoters holding 64.11 % FII holding  13.62 % DII holding 15.60 % make it very good.
5. I think you may wait because stock is not bad , this is a time being sector specific up and down as i describe in above special view on banking sector article.
6. I change question asking pattern on this blog now you sent your questions through direct  e mail to mahesh2073@yahoo.com because deleting comments on previous comment forum cause a harmful effect of this blog SEO ranking. Registered readers of my book quote their registration number in their question because they get a privilege ranking over other readers .

Kgn Industries Ltd: Cool down after a speculation rally.

I need to know your views on KGN industries. ask by shridar Chimpa ji. 
1. Kgn Industries Ltd is a 1 rupee face value exploration company. 
2. Year high of Kgn Industries Ltd is 20.65 and year low 1.80 stock traded at 3.50 , very poor situation . Kgn Industries Ltd already down more then 70 %. 
3.Promoters of Kgn Industries Ltd hold 53.91 % and FII hold 5.63 %, Promoters holding is good. 
4. Kgn Industries Ltd declare 0.01 rupee per share dividend and record date for dividend is 22 Sept 2013. 
5.In Oct 2012 heavy bulk deals shown at price of 17-18. 
6. Overall these heavy bulk deals and stock year high /low ratio indicate us that Kgn Industries Ltd cool down after a recent speculation base rally so i suggested that you may avoid this stock for coming one year. 
7. I have no any stock of Kgn Industries Ltd,
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SSWL (steel strips wheels limited)

Hi, I am Suresh. What is your view on SSWL (steel strips wheels limited). Thanks in advance.
 and
Hi, What's your view on Tata steel? You always mention that if the stock price is 50% down than year high, do not buy. Why can't we take this as buying opportunity? When should we start investing in this type of shares? Ask by Perisetla Suresh kumar. 
1.SSWL (steel strips wheels limited) is an auto parts company, SSWL (steel strips wheels limited) belongs to indo next group where small scale industries will be listed. Normally i unlike to invest in indo next script.
2.Year high of SSWL (steel strips wheels limited) is 240.90 and year low 111.50 ,this ratio is above 2 so i think wait sometime for a fresh investment . 
Now i reply your next question about buying opportunity in tata steel I always mention that if the stock price is 50% down than year high, do not buy. Why can't we take this as buying opportunity Yes we can take it as buying opportunity if this will happen in a blue chip like tata steel but normally my past experience say that if a stock year high/low is above 2 and stock traded near it year low then stock make more and more year low and not to give a decent upward movement until this ratio is stable below 2. So if you sure about other fundamentals then you may avoid this term. 
3. Promoters holding in SSWL (steel strips wheels limited) is 54.21 % and promoters increase their holding from 53.82 % , Increasing in promoters holding is a good sign. 
4.SSWL (steel strips wheels limited) is a dividend paying stock and no any bulk deal recorded in last 2 years. 5.Overall i recommended pricol ltd in auto parts sector instead of SSWL because pricol has low equity and good sales. 
6. I have no any share of steel strips wheels limited but pricol ltd is in my personal holdings .

Facor Alloys Ltd:Good but wait till year high/low is below 2

Whats your view on "Facor Alloys Ltd" is it advisable to purchase it. ask by Ravi. 
1.Facor Alloys Ltd is a 1 rupee face value Iron and steel company. 
2. Facor Alloys Ltd currently traded at 1.34 year high of Facor Alloys Ltd is 3.30 year low 1.24 this ratio is slightly negative because it is above 2, but i think year high/ low ratio soon down below 2 . 
3.Promoters holding in Facor Alloys Ltd is 46.55% DII holding 0.03% 
4.This is a penny stock but in my research i am not find any negative side about facor alloy ltd , No pledged promoters holding , No nay bulk deal in last 2 years, low equity also suggest stock is ready for a speculative run. 
5.So this time my view is positive about Facor Alloys Ltd. But if you read my book then you knew that it is wise to wait untill year high/low ratio is stable below 2 so track year high/low ratio closely and buy it if this ratio stable below 2 
6. I have no any share of Facor Alloys Ltd.

EMPIRE IND : AVOID

HELLO MAHESH JI.THIS IS NITESH,WHAT IS YOUR VIEW ABOUT THE STOCK EMPIRE IND. I WANT TO HOLD THIS SHARE FOR 15 YEAR ask bt nitesh kumar 
1. Empire Industries Ltd is a small cap diversified company with 10 rupee face value currently traded at 457. 
2. Empire Industries Ltd is a small cap company it means the total number of stocks is low so this is the main reason of company high valuation because when the total number of stocks is low then EPS is high and stock get a higher valuation . 
3. Year high of empire ind is INR 764 and year low INR 423.45 and the stock is continuing to downtrend. 
4. Promoters holding in Empire Industries Ltd are 57.46 % and DII holds 17.40 % 
5. Empire Industries Ltd gave INR 24 per share dividend last year. 
6. Empire Industries Ltd net sell is low near 280 Cr per year has only 59,99,998 share so this is the reason of high valuation and high EPS, high Dividend but at the price of 457 this is very risky to buy this stock for a long period right time to buy this stock is the year 2003 when this stock is traded at 6.30 only. 
7. In 1999 Empire Ind traded at INR 2.30 only and in 2011 stock touch INR 1010 and after that empire Ind is continuing in downtrend so I think you may avoid this stock I have many low price stocks like firstsource , Guj sidhee cement, Arvind Ltd, Blb Ltd, Manali Petro, pricol, national plastic etc which I think traded at a lower valuation and may be coming multi bagger if anyone have enough patience to hold them for some years. Visit my website for more detail or read my book to knew how to choose a multibagger stock at his lower valuation. 
8. Some of stocks which I recommended in point 7 is in my personal holdings so ask your financial adviser before investing in these stocks.

Bilcare Ltd: Avoid

Hello mahesh ji. This is reddy, what is your view on bilcare ltd. Ask by Anand Reddy. 
1. Bilcare Ltd is a 10 rupee face value Healthcare Supplies company. 
2. Year High of Bilcare Ltd is 267.30 and Year low 36.40 stock traded at 42.45 So Year high\ low ratio is 7.34, Year high/ year low ratio is very abnormal where this stock down more than 80% stock traded just on year low, we like a share when year high/low ratio is below 2 and stock traded near year high. 
3. Promoters of Bilcare Ltd Hold 32.61 % FII hold 1.51 % and 1.33 %hold by DII so Promoter's holding is normal. 
4. Bilcare Ltd last year give2. 00 Rupee per share dividend. 5. Recent heavy bulk deal recorded at 21.03.13 Bilcare Ltd So, this is a sign of speculation normally I avoid a stock which has a recent bulk deal in last 2 years. 
6. My overall view is negative due to 80%+ downside from year high and recent bulk deals.
7.I Have no any share of Bilcare Ltd.

Ashok Leyland Ltd :Wait

Namasthe Mahesh ji, Could you let me know your views on Ashok Leyland. I have 350 shares at an average price of 26/-. I am long term investor viz 3 to 4 yrs  Can i buy more quantity at this price or should i wait some more time. Thank you Goverdhan 
1.Ashok Leyland Ltd is a 1 rupee face value commercial vehicals company. 
2.Ashok Leyland Ltd traded on his year low @ 11.84 Year high of Ashok Leyland Ltd is 28.70 so this situation is very bad and i always avoid a stock which down more then 50 % from year high and traded near on year low. 
3.In June 13 company turn in to a loss making company. 
4. Promoters holding in Ashok Leyland Ltd is 38.61% and FII holding 17.07% which are normals. 
5.So i think Ashok Leyland Ltd is not a bad stock but due to his technical weakness you may wait some time for fresh buy. 
6. I have no any stock of Ashok leyland ltd.

Indiabulls Wholesale Services Ltd: Wait and Watch

Mahesh... Can I have your view in IBWSL? Ask by Big B 
1. Full name of IBWSL is Indiabulls Wholesale Services Ltd which is a commodity trading and distribution company. 
2. Indiabulls Wholesale Services Ltd is a 2 rupee face value company currently traded at 12.35 
3. Year high for Indiabulls Wholesale Services Ltd is 17.70 and year low 7.11 , year high/ low ratio is below 2 so this is a negative point in my concept of investing. 
4. Promoters increase their holding from 37.49% to 39.01 % which is good. 
5. Stock shows a recent bulk deal which is also negative in my concepts. 
6. So overall I think the stock of Indiabulls Wholesale Services Ltd has more downside is remain and my view is wait and watch for this stock , stock is good due to increasing promoters holding buy recent bulk deals and year high/low ratio suggest that we can wait for a lower price before we buy it. 
7. I have no any stock of Indiabulls Wholesale Services Ltd. Do not forget to read recent update of my stock recommendation about pricol ltd at here http://www.maheshkaushik.com/2013/08/pricol-ltd-1635.html

INDIAN OIL CORPORATION LTD:HOLD

Sir, What is your view on IOC? I am Holding 50 stocks @ Rs. 302. Can I buy more since its beaten down heavily. Thanks in advance ask by varshini 
1. Indian Oil Corporation Ltd (IOC) is a 10-rupee face value oil marketing and distribution company. 
2. Year high and year low of Indian Oil Corporation Ltd are 375 and 216.45, which are normal. 
3. Promoters holding 78.92 % FII holding 1.95 % and DII holds 4.48 % all is normal. 
4. IOC traded below his 200 DMA so technically I think more downside is remain in this stock. 
5. The IOC is an index-based stock so when the index has performed then you may get your price again with some profits. So do not worry but I am not suggesting averaging it out because if you have fresh money then more than 2000 stocks available in the market so use your fresh money to diversify your portfolio like a shopkeeper. 
6. I have no any stock of IOC.

SOME GOOD SHARES AND INITIAL AMOUNT TO BE INVESTED IN STOCK MARKET

Dear Mahesh Ji, i am looking to invest my short part of income in share market, as i am very new to this market so please tell me that how much amount i should invest in initial stage and in which safe share i should invest to achieve a good return.? please help me ans reply me as soon as possible and obliged me. Thanking You, Manoj Vyas 
OR
Dear Mahesh ji, I am regular reader of your blog. I want to invest 50000 Rs. in 4 to 5 share for 3 to 4 years. Which share you recommend to get high returns. Thank you in advance
Ask by Baswant Kumbhar1. This question is very hard because initial amount is vary from person to person for example my salary is 37000 per month so i can not feel uneasy if i invest 2500-5000 per month in stock market but my personal assistant salary is 4500 per month only so i suggested him to invest 500 per month only. 
2. Normally i think one could invest 1/10 part of his per month net income in stock market. 
3. As i recommended earlier that one could not put all of his money in a single stock, Buying in SIP method is best. 
4. At this time my top picks are 
Arvind Ltd 
First source solutions 
Gujrat sidhee cement 
Manali petro 
National plastic industries ltd 
SIP in INFRA BEES 
5. Please visit my website www.maheshkaushik.com for any new stock update generally i fix sunday for updating of my website www.maheshkaushik.com

Best stock advisory service.

Hi Kaushik, I am looking for people who are experts in analyzing shares in selling and buying. I have a busy schedule and I am not able to check for shares online throughout the day, hence it would be great if there were any organization that deals with provide expert advice such as CAPITAL VIA or HBJ CAPITAL. The reviews on the above 2 groups are really bad. It would be really greatful if you could provide the best advisory groups. Regards ask by JTC. 
JTC ji I am really sorry for so late reply your question.
I think no any stock advisory group is 100 % perfect and i always prefer to analyse a stock by self research,my past experiences say that people always lost money from paid share advisers because if paid stock advising service is 100 % perfect then they not sell tips to you they earn money from stock market 
So i requested to all of my blog readers that they analyse a stock by self research and once you satisfied from all of stock choosing criteria then it is unnecessary to check share online throughout the day.
I always recommended to avoid day trading short term trading and F&O trading in stock market. if you are new and want to learn winning theory in stock market then please buy and read my book for better understanding on stock choosing. 
For buying my book visit this link http://winningtheory.blogspot.in/

ANDHRA BANK : MORE DOWNSIDE IS REMAIN

Respected sir please advice me, i would like to ask to you about the andhra bank. Is it a good bank to purchase the shares or not. please advice thanking you sir ask by vijaya kumar. 
1. First of all i recommended to read my special view on banking sector which i publish on this blog when banking stocks traded on his all time highs. if you not read this special view then first read it at this link http://sharegenius.blogspot.in/2011/10/my-special-view-on-banking-sector-banks.html 
2.Now we discuss about andhra bank which is 10 rupee face value stock. 
3.Year high of andhra bank is 130 and year low 78.15, normal situation 
4. Promoters holding in andhra bank is 58 % FII hold 13.26% and DII 12.38 % , this is a normal pattern. 
5.Andra bank recommended 5 rupee per share dividend and ex dividend date for andhra bank is 15 July 2013. 
6.Overall every thing is OK but i think banking sector is still not bottoming out so you may see more lower levels in andhra bank so stock is not bad but buying is advisable only in SIP method , if we look at chart of andhra bank than we find andhra bank is traded below all of his DMAs so technically stock is in downtrend.

Wockhardt Ltd:AVOID

Sir, Whatz your view on Wockhardt? Last week it has beaten down heavily. Can we buy this stock now for a long term investment. Thanks in advance Varshini 
1.Wockhardt Ltd is a  5 rupee face value PHARMACEUTICAL stock which is traded at 914 so in first incidence i think valuation of Wockhardt Ltd is very high. 
2. Year high for Wockhardt Ltd is 2166.05 and year low 880.15 stock traded at 914 which is near his year low so when a stock down more than 50 % within a year and traded near his year low then i think more downside is remain. 3.Promoters holding 73.54 % and they slightly reduce their holdings, reducing in promoter holding is also a negative sign. 
4.Net sells, net profits and dividends are also down in Wockhardt Ltd. 
5. So overall my view is negative for Wockhardt Ltd , i have no any share of Wockhardt Ltd.

Update on Cals Refineries Ltd.

Respected Mahesh ji, I wish to know about future of CALS Refinery. Shall we hold on this stock or book loss and exit. ask by deepi saini. 
1. Deepi saini is a registered user of my book the winning theory in stock market , deepi ji if you complete my book then please provide your feed back that may be help me in next version of book. 
2.Cals Refineries Ltd is a 1 rupee face value refinery ( petro chemical ) stock which traded at 0.10 
3. Year high of Cals Refineries Ltd is 0.19 and year low 0.10 4. Promoter holding in Cals Refineries Ltd is 2.81 % ,promoters reduce their holding from 2.92 % 
5.Deepi ji , now i come on main point, you already lost most of your investment in cals refinery so it is not wise to book loss in this last point because in this point risk rewards ratio is in your favor so if you able to take delisting loss then i tell you three major sign of reversal in this stock 
a. After a long period stock report net earnings from operations 0.72 million. 
b. No bulk deals in last 2 years so downside is now stable. 
c. Year high/ low also stable below 2 as i told in my book. 
6. Overall Cals Refineries Ltd is not a strong company and may be delisted but above 3 sign of stability show a good risk reward ratio so i not advise you to book your loss at this last point. regards

Suven Life Sciences Ltd: AVOID

Dear Mahesh ji, I am regular reader of your Blog,let me know your thoughts on suven life sciences, I have 500 shares of this company, its have some patent of drugs, promotors also increased from 63.44 to 64.06, is it good performer  can I wait or exit this stock.ask by khanna 
1.Suven Life Sciences Ltd is a 1 rupee face value pharmaceutical stock. 
2. Year high and year low for Suven Life Sciences Ltd is 35.25 amd 13.75 stock traded at 23.60 this ratio is below 2 but suitable because stock not traded near his year low. 
3.As you already research well that Promoters of Suven Life Sciences Ltd increased their holdings from 63.44 to 64.06%. 
4.Suven Life Sciences Ltd is a dividend paying stock and pay near 0.30 rupee per share dividend per year. 
5.Only one negative thing that chart of Suven Life Sciences Ltd show a downtrend stock just hit his 200 DMA ( see chart below)so after a short uptrend stock may show a long term downside so be cautious and book your profits in any rally.

 Source of Chart shown here is www.bseindia.com 

6. I have no any share of Suven Life Sciences Ltd.

Vikas Wsp Ltd: Blast in guar gum bubble.

Sir Ji, what is your view on vikas WSP? Thanks in advance. -Srini 
1.Vikas Wsp Ltd is a specialty chemical company of 1 rupee face value actually this company is main producer of guar gum powder which is exported to many country so last year when guar gum price is bubble then price of Vikas Wsp Ltd also bubble. 
2.Year High of Vikas Wsp Ltd is 76.55 and Year low 18.15 , stock traded just on year low so bubble of guar gum price and Vikas Wsp Ltd price is blast.
 3. As you knew my theory that if any stock year high/ year low ratio is more than two then it is good to avoid the stock. 
4. Promoters of Vikas Wsp Ltd hold 24.89 % FII hold 5.53 %, which is normal. 
5. Vikas Wsp Ltd stock show many bulk deals which is a sign of speculation activity so this the another reason to avoid this stock , see details of these bulk deals in this link http://www.bseindia.com/markets/equity/EQReports/BulknBlockDeals.aspx?scripcd=519307
6. So overall I think you may avoid Vikas Wsp Ltd. 
7. I have no any stock of Vikas Wsp Ltd.

Brokerage charges in stock trading ( ICICI DIRECT AND SBI CAP)

Dear Mahesh ji, Can you please let us know how brokerage is calculated when buying equities. Is there any difference in service charges if u buy a Stock in NSE Vs BSE. If I see, calculated charges are not uniform always. Can you please provide your views? Thanks & Regards M Rajkumar 
M rajkumar ji 
Brokerage charges in not depend on trading platforms like NSE or BSE it always depend on your broker for example if your broker is Icici direct than see complete brokerage plans of Icici direct here 
Click here for brokerage charge for icici direct
If your broker is SBI CAP SEC than see brokerage plans here 
https://www.sbicapsec.com/trading/faqs.html 
Regards 
Mahesh Kaushik

BIRLA POWER SOLUTIONS LTD:AVOID

Dear Mahesh, What is your view on Birla Power solutions? Some of my friends suggested investing in Birla power equity. As the company was facing labor issue, so it was performing badly but now as labor issues are resolved it is expected to post excellent results. Ask by Rajul mehrotra.
 1. BIRLA POWER SOLUTIONS LTD is a 1-rupee face value invertors and genset maker company actually it is not a power generation company BIRLA POWER SOLUTIONS LTD make invertors and gentsets. 
2. BIRLA POWER SOLUTIONS LTD is a small indo next script. 
3. Year high of BIRLA POWER SOLUTIONS LTD is 0.47 and year low 0.17 this ratio is more than 2 so I think stock may not perform well in coming years. 
4. Promoters holding in BIRLA POWER SOLUTIONS LTD is 1.08 % only and promoters reduce their holding in every quarter-to-quarter. are you think promoters of Birla power are foolish. Why they sell their stocks every quarter? 
5. So my view is still negative for Birla power solutions. 
6. I have no any share of Birla power.

Maruti Suzuki Hold

Dear Mahesh ji, I am having 10 shares of Maruti Suzuki @1480 Rs. After the results the stock has moved up and hits 52-wk high. Whether i can book profit or wait for some more time. Thanks & Regards M Rajkumar 
1.Maruti Suzuki India Ltd is a 5 rupee face value car and utility vehicles company. 
2.Year high of Maruti Suzuki India Ltd is 1773.45 and year low 1065 stock traded at 1555 which is good ratio. 3.Promoters holding in Maruti Suzuki India Ltd is 56.21% and they increase their holding from 54.21% which is also good. 
4.Maruti Suzuki India Ltd is a good dividend paying stock recently declare 8 rupee per share dividend so i not find any negative thing in stock i think you may continue wait for some more time or book your profits than buy it again at any lower price.

Review on NALCO

This review is about earlier article of NALCO this blog, I quote "Promoters holding in NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO.LTD is 81.06% promoters reduce their holding from 87.15 %" about this view my 2 reader’s 
1.Ramesh babe mattupali wrote me that "Reducing stake of promoters may be as per the recent guidelines of SEBI in case of NALCO. Please look into the matter" and 
2. Rajiv Daniel wrote me "I think the promoter holding is being reduced because of standing orders from SEBI. Please let me know your opinion. 
I check the matter and find that promoters of NALCO is government of India and they sell stack due to disinvestment policy of government companies so they get money for government vote making schemes like MNAREGA and Pension plans and subsidies so I think you may still avoid government companies.

BOOK YOUR 250 % PROFIT IN SINGER INDIA LTD

Respected readers,
at 31-08-2009 i recommended singer india ltd @30.55 for multibagger returns, read this article at this link
http://sharegenius.blogspot.in/2009/08/multibagger-series-part-2-singer-is.html
 I am happy to say that stock give 340 % returns within 3.5 year holding and price of singer india ltd at 30 nov 2012 is 134.25
But some of my readers not book profit @ 134 and they just wait my sell call for this multibagger.
I request you that it is not possible to give a buy or sell call every time so i think currant price 105 is not bad for book profit still 250% profit remain for you.
I think you may re investment some of your profit in gujarat sidhee cement ltd which have same story of singer india ltd ant this stock may be give us a multibagger returns in coming Years , for details of guj sidhee story visit my web page www.maheshkaushik.com 
discloser:- guj sidhee cement ltd is in my personal holdings.

NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO.LTD:EXIT

Dear Mahesh Jee, Thanks for your view about Hindalco Industries. As per your advice, I postponed my idea to sell this stock. Sir now my question about Nalco. I purchase 300 share of Nalco @ 40. what's your view about this stock. may I hold it for long time like 2 3 years or book profit when its goes above 40. What your target for 2 year prospective. Regards! Manoj Singh Kathmandu. 
1. Nalco is a 5 rupee face value aluminium stock which is traded at 33.75 
2. Year high of NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO.LTD is 63.72 and year low 32.70 , stock traded near his year low which is a bearish sign. 
3.Promoters holding in NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO.LTD is 81.06% promoters reduce their holding from 87.15 % so if you read my book than you understand that reducing in promoters holding is a negative sing for stock health. 
4.National Aluminium Company Ltd has informed BSE that the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on May 27, 2013, have recommended for payment of final dividend @ Rs. 0.50 per share on the equity share capital (10% on face value of Rs. 5 each) in addition to interim dividend of Rs. 0.75 per share already paid during March, 2013 on equity share capital (15% on face value of Rs. 5 each) subject to the approval of shareholders in the ensuing 32nd Annual General Meeting. 
5. So i think you may look a exit after getting dividend and in a rally, due to reducing promoters stake it is not advisable to hold this stock.

Dhanlaxmi Bank Ltd: HOLD

 Sir, What your view on Dhanlaxmi Bank Ltd. Holding 100 Stocks @ 56Rs. Can I hold this stock. I Can wait for 1 to 2 years. Thanks in advance Varshini 
1. Dhanlaxmi Bank Ltd is a 10 rupee face value Banking company. 
2. Year High of Dhanlaxmi Bank Ltd is 73.30 and Year low 40.10 stocks traded at 40.30 So Year high\ low ratio is 1.83, Year high/ year low ratio is normal but the stock traded just on year low, we like a share when year high/low ratio is below 2 but the stock traded near year high. 
3. Promoters of Dhanlaxmi Bank Ltd Hold Nil %, FII hold 31.26 % and DII hold 32.71 % so Promoters holding is nil and FII, DII holds most of the stocks. 
4. Dhanlaxmi Bank Ltd last year gave 0.50 paisa per share dividend. 
5. No bulk deal recorded in Dhanlaxmi Bank Ltd . 
6. Overall Stock is not very good but due to increasing FII holding and low equity I think if you hold 1-2 year than you get a profitable exit but in short term stock may trade near 25-35 for a long period . 
7.I Have no any share of Dhanlaxmi Bank Ltd.

Nagarjuna Oil refinery Ltd. (NORL): AVOID

Dear Mahesh ji, I am a regular reader of your Blog, let me know your thoughts on Nagarjuna Oil refinery Ltd. (NORL). , This refinery is under construction now and scheduled to be commissioned in April 2014.so what is your view to invest in this stock for long term 2-3 Years. Baswant Kumbhar 
1. Nagarjuna Oil refinery Ltd. (NORL) is a 1 rupee face value Exploration & Production company. 
2. Year High of Nagarjuna Oil refinery Ltd. (NORL) is 8.03 and Year low 2.75 stocks traded at 3.09 So Year high\ low ratio is 2.92, I think you knew that I not like a share which year high/ low ratio is more than 2 .
3. Promoters of Nagarjuna Oil refinery Ltd. (NORL) Hold 38.25 % FII hold 1.06 % and 2.02 hold by DII so this ratio is normal, But promoters pledged his 73.80 % holdings this means company has a high debt it is the main reason for such a low price and I do not like stocks with pledged promoter holdings. 
4. Nagarjuna Oil refinery Ltd. (NORL) never give dividends. 5. No bulk deal recorded in Nagarjuna Oil refinery Ltd. (NORL) . 
6. Overall my view is negative for NORL due to year high low ratio , pledged promoters holding and non dividend paying concern.
7.I Have no any share of NORL

Compact Disc India Ltd:Downside is remain.

hello sir, i have certain high loss stocks. 1) Compack Disc - 300 @ 67 , Nw MP Rs 5. 2) Ferro Alloy - 500 @ 42, Nw MP Rs 4.5 3) GTL infre - 200 @ 45, Nw MP Rs 2.5 4) Ib sec - 200 @ 60, Nw MP Rs. 10. I am planing to make average and get my cost down by buying each 1000 shares expect ib sec, and ibsec 200 share. do you think i should avg as i am using a lot of money.? Or what should i do.? ask by shimnit 
1. Shimnit ji you ask 4 stocks at a time so as per rule and give chance to others today we discuss only one of your share compack disc ltd. 
2. Shimnit, please do not invest more than 5000 in a single stock at a time, their are 500+ good dividend paying stocks in Indian market so why not we diversify our portfolio with lot of good dividend paying companies, you can follow my portfolio at www.maheshkaushik.com or download list of all dividend paying companies of indian stock market at this link http://winningtheory.blogspot.in/search/label/DOWNLOADS 3. Compact Disc India Ltd is a 10 rupee face value stock. 
4. Year high and year low for Compact Disc India Ltd is 29.55 and 5.49, if a stock down more than 50 % within a year then i unlike this stock. 
5.Recent hike in Compact Disc India Ltd is due to promoter stake hike . Pariscope Financial Advisers Pvt. Ltd., a promoter group Company has purchased 28,358 equity shares of the Company during the last week from May 06, 2013 to May 10, 2013 
6.Promoters holding in Compact Disc India Ltd is 24.71 % this year and promoters increase it from 19.43% , this is a good point. 
7. Net revenue of Compact Disc India Ltd is zero which is a great negative point for stock. 
8. Overall my view is negative for Compact Disc India Ltd due to zero sells and no profits plus year high/low ratio also suggest that downside in Compact Disc India Ltd is remain. 9. I have no any share of Compact Disc India Ltd.

WHEN INDO BONITO RELIST?

Dear Mahesh ji, I brought Indo Bonito Multinational Ltd shares 2 years back. But now the stock is not traded in BSE. Can you please let us know why this stock is not trading.Also suggest how to sell these shares. Is there any chance that this stock will trade again in the market. Can you please provide to suggestion. Thanks & Regards M Rajkumar 
1. When a company not follow stock index guidelines and involve in illegal activities like insider tradings and make false demand of stocks than stock exchanges suspended these type of company due to penal reason. 
2. One other kind of suspension called " Suspended due to procedural reason" this type of suspension is a temporary suspension due to merger , de merger, change in face value. stock of gujrat sidhee cement is suspended due to procedural reason and may be re listed again with new ISIN number. 
3. Stock of indo bonito ltd is suspended due to penal reason. 
4. Other danger thing that indo bonito not renewal domain for his website after 30 aprail 2013. 
5. For off market selling of your stocks give you stock transfer and registrar adress , please sent your quary about indo botino limited to this stock transfer and registrar :- 
Sharepro Services India Pvt Ltd
 Satam Estate,3rd Floor, 
Chakala , 
Andheri (East),Mumbai,Maharashtra,400099

Tv18 Broadcast Ltd: AVOID

Maheshji, what is your view about TV18 broadcast as a long-term investment? Srinivas
 1.Tv18 Broadcast Ltd is a 2 rupee face value broadcasting company. 
2.Year high of Tv18 Broadcast Ltd is 38.45 and year low 15.09 stock traded at 29, which is normal. 
3. But promoters of Tv18 Broadcast Ltd dilute there stock holding from 59.76 % to 57.04% and if you read my book then you knew that i not like dilution in promoters holding. 
4.Tv18 Broadcast Ltd give 2 right issue at 
17/09/2012 Right 41:11 
and at 
04/03/2010 Right 3:10 
so as my book i also avoid a share at leat 2 year after a bonus issue , stock split and right issue. 
5.Tv18 Broadcast Ltd also show bulk deals which is a sign of speculation for me so i think you may wait for fresh buying in Tv18 Broadcast Ltd.