Monday, May 20, 2019

Bharat Electronics @ 91.50

1. Bharat Electronics Ltd NSE Code BEL BSE Code:-500049 is a 1 rupee face value defence company.

2. Bharat Electronics Limited is a Navratna PSU (under the Ministry of Defence, Government of India) established in the year 1954. BEL is engaged in the business of Defence Electronics empowering the Nation’s Defence Forces and in other chosen areas of Professional Electronics.
3. The current trading price of BEL is 91.50.
4. Net sale per share of BEL is 42.68 and CMP is near 2.14 time of NSPS.
5. Recently BEL Stock give positive breakout over his 200 DMA:-

Simple Moving Averages BEL BSE Code 500049

DaysBSENSE
3091.3291.35
5091.6191.65
15087.8387.85
20091.4691.49
6. Promoters of BEL hold 58.83% stocks and no any pledged shares.
7. Year high/year low of BEL is 1.74 which is below 2 ( Year high=126.75 Year low=72.50)
8. BEL is a Dividend paying stock so we can get dividends in our holding time.
BEL Dividend History:-
EX DateAmount (₹)
27 Mar 20190.7000
19 Mar 20190.7000
08 Feb 20190.3000
20 Aug 20180.4000
08 Feb 20181.6000
14 Aug 20171.0500
29 Mar 20170.9000
02 Feb 20173.0000
18 Aug 201614.5000
04 Feb 20162.5000
10 Aug 201523.2000
28 Jan 20156.0000
12 Sep 201417.3000
29 Jan 20146.0000
06 Sep 201316.3000
30 Jan 20136.0000
07 Sep 201210.8000
01 Feb 201210.0000
13 Sep 201115.6000
02 Feb 20116.0000
13 Sep 201013.2000
03 Feb 20106.0000
14 Sep 200912.7000
28 Jan 20096.0000
12 Sep 200814.7000
30 Jan 20086.0000
07 Sep 200714.0000
27 Aug 20014.0000
9. Stop loss:- 72.50 ( Last Year low of any stock is a significant stop loss of that stock, so in this case, BEL made his last year low on 14 Feb 2019 which is 72.50).
10. How to buy:-
Use Swing trade method to buy this stock, I give a short brief of the swing trade method
a. Put limit order on last day VWAP in this case I publish this recommendation on 19 May 2019 last VWAP=90.53 So we put of AMO Limit order at 90.55 (nearest 0.05 of last VWAP 90.53) and if unfortunately my competitors paid tip providers to try to raise price and volume in this stock (as we saw in my earlier recommendations) than we do not buy this stock over 90.55 and next day again put buying order on 20 May 2019 VWAP. (continue placed a limit order on last day VWAP until executed)
b. We buy once a month. Our first-month target is 4.5 % profit if this target will come we book profit but next day of profit booking we again start buying of this month until stock close below his stop loss 72.50.
c. If the stock did not give 4.5% return in this month, after one month, we put a limit order on earlier day VWAP and average out our holding this time we reduce our target 4% on average price. 
After every average out we reduce our target by 0.5% it means if we average out of 3rd month our target is 3.5%, in the 4th month our target is 3% of the average price. This is a new method of profit booking watch this video to see how you get 8 chance of profit booking in IOC. When IOC fall 65% in a year we get 8 chance of profit booking without reducing target and if we reduce target after every average out we get more chance of profit booing in any falling stock.

d. For more understanding of the swing trade method watch this video:-

e. We run swing trade method until stock close below his year low, if unfortunately stock will fall and close below his year low then we do not book loss immediately we continue to average out in swing trade after 9 months average out our target will reduce 0.5% of average price and I research on many stocks past history I never find this situation where I do not get a 0.5% profit on average price after 9 months of average out.
If stock loss 72.50 is hit than after profit booking in reducing target, we remove this stock in our swing trade list.
f. In this new rule we invest 3000 per month in fundamental stocks, 2000 per month in trading stocks,1000 per month in a penny stock, I choose BEL as trading stock, so we invest 2000 per month in this stock.
11.Review of my last recommendation Trident Ltd:- 
I publish Trident recommendation on 31 March 2019 (Sunday) VWAP on 29 March 2019 was 72.18. Here I use a notional example suppose one of my follower Shri Vindo Gunecha ordered 42 stocks of Trident Ltd at limit price of 72.20 (3000/72.20=41.55 nearest round off 42) on 1 April 2019 Trident open at 72.10 So Vinod Gunecha first buying 42 Share @ 72.10 he wait for 4.5% target but not get this target in April 2019 month.
On next month Market was closed on 1 May 2019 So on 2 May 2019 he ordered 46 shares @65.85 (65.85 was VWAP of Trident on 30 April 2019) and 3000/65.85=45.55 in the round off 46.
On 2 May 2019 Trident opened at 65.55 he got 46 shares at 65.55
Now he holds 42+46=88 shares at an average price of 68.68 this month he wait for 4% profit target if this target has not come on next month at 3 June 2019 (Monday) he again put a limit order of Trident at last trading session VWAP and after 3rd average out his target also reduced @3.5% only.
Trident Declared 0.60 rupee per share dividend so on 29 May 2019 Record date he will also get 88*0.60=52.80 as a dividend.
The Board of Directors of Trident Ltd at its meeting hold on May 13, 2019, has recommended Split/ Sub-division of equity shares of the Company from the existing face value of INR 10/- per equity share to face value of INR 1/- per equity share, which is subject to the approval of the shareholders in the forthcoming 29th Annual General Meeting of the Company and other approvals as may be required.
Read full research report of this earlier recommendation here:-
Trident Ltd Research Report 
Some of my followers demand my Zerodha swing trading profit booking details for their confidence I start swing trading from 1 Feb 2019 and opened a new account in Zerodha (for swing trading) here is the screenshot of last profit bookings from 1 Feb 2019:-


12.Disclaimer:- This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this research report” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in “this research report.” The author is neither a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time. The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of my blog. 

13. Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik, author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not held any share of BEL, so my personal interest is not included in this stock.. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( BEL ). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not received any type of compensation from the subject company(BEL ) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company (BEL ). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company (BEL ).

Sunday, September 2, 2018

Nectar Lifesciences Limited @ 28.50

1. Nectar Lifesciences Limited is a 1 rupee face value pharmaceutical company currently traded at 28.50.
2. Nectar Lifesciences Limited BSE CODE:-532649 ID:-NECLIFE and NSE CODE:-NECLIFE ISIN:-INE023H01027.
3. Year High of  Nectar Lifesciences Limited is 41.75 (On 08.01.2018) and year low18.70 (On 05.06.2018). Year High/Year Low ratio of the stock is 2.23, generally, I accept stocks which year high/low ratio is below 2 but if the company post good results then this ratio will be accepted till 2.5.
So due to June 18 good results where Q on Q profit rises from 3.89 Cr to 13.21 Cr. 
New visitors please read my stock market books or read my equity research terms or watch my video to learn more about my research terms, here I provided links for more details:-
4. After Making Year low 18.70 on 05 June 2018 stock of Nectar Lifesciences Limited is turn around and on 31 Aug 2018 it gives a breakout over his 200 DMA and currently traded above his 30,50,150, and 200 DMA
Simple Moving Averages
DAYSBSENSE
3023.2223.20
5022.6622.63
15026.1226.11
20028.3228.31
5. Base Price of Nectar Lifesciences Limited is 34.76 so stock traded 18% below from base price so this stock fulfills my stock selection terms on basis of base price.
You can download last 3-year price data and graph from this link:-
6. Net sale per share of this stock is 84.73 which is near 3 times higher from the current market price.
7. Book Value of Nectar Lifesciences Limited is 47.21
8. Target:- The fundamental target price of Nectar Lifesciences Limited is 50.00, we can buy this stock for 1 months to 3 months time horizon our 1st target is 34.20 which is 20% above from CMP, our 2nd target is 50.00 which is fundamental target price of this stock, our 3rd target is 84.75 which is net sale per share of this company if you want to learn how to calculate fundamental target price ? then please watch this video:-Video Fundamental Target Price of Stocks
after achieving 1st target hold with trailing stop loss which shown in my art of profit booking video.
Stop Loss:-22.60 is our stop loss ( Close below 50 DMA treated as the stop loss for 1 to 3 months time frame)
9. Negative Point:-Promoters hold 55.80% stocks but promoters pledged 21.11% stocks and due to these 21.11 %pledged stocks I do not include this recommendation on my homepage http://www.maheshkaushik.com but in this blog, we consider trading stocks for 1 months to 3 months time frame where I allow stocks up to 33% promoters pledged stocks.
10. Dividend:-Yes Nectar Lifesciences Ltd is a dividend paying company here is dividend history:-
EX DatePurpose
19/09/2018Final Dividend 0.05
20/09/2017Final Dividend 0.05
22/09/2016Final Dividend 0.10
22/09/2015Final Dividend 0.10
21/08/2014Final Dividend 0.10

11. No bulk deals, block deals, bonus issue, stock split, right issue etc. shown in last 2 year which is a good point.
12. Disclaimer:- This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this research report” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in “this research report.” The author is a registered research analyst but he does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time. The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of my blog. 
13.Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered with SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) Regulations, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not held any share of Nectar Lifesciences Ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( Nectar Lifesciences Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not received any type of compensation from the subject company(Nectar Lifesciences Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company ( Nectar Lifesciences Ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company (Nectar Lifesciences Ltd).

Sunday, April 8, 2018

Bhageria Industries Ltd @ 307.50

1.Bhageria Industries Ltd is a 5 rupee face value commodity chemical company.

BSE Code:-530803
NSE Code:-
ISIN:-INE354C01027
CMP:-307.50
Face Value:-5 Rupees.
2. Bhageria Industries Ltd is a diversified chemical company, Here I give you a complete list of company products:- (Click on the links If you want to know more details about the specific product from the company website)
3. Now I give you details about book value, net sale per share, base price, 200 DMA etc.
Book Value:-69.94
Net Sale Per Share:-216.24
Base Price:-248.57
Simple Moving Averages
DAYSBSENSE
30288.79288.79
50294.46294.22
150287.96287.69
200289.09288.93
Conclusions About Book Value, Net Sale Per Share, Base Price:-
This stock not fit for fundamental long-term buy because stock traded above book value, net sale per share and base price ( Click here to download last  year price and graph)
4.Why I Choose Bhageria Industries For my Recommendation?:-
A. Due to Its diversified business model, I think the stock has enough steam to outperform the market.
B. Stock Recently Crossed his 200 DMA on the closing basis.
C. Last 3 days more than 90% deliverable quantity
D. Since 20 March 2018 promoters continue buying his own stocks from open market see in this picture:-
or watch this video to understand how you find these type of insider trading details:-

on 4 April 2018, we see the bulk deal of 100000 stocks in sell side, see details here:-
But after this bulk deal, On 5 and 6 April, we find that promoters purchase more than 100000 stocks from the open market that's interesting I think something is cooking in this stock.
E. Bhageria Industries Ltd is a Dividend Paying Company See details:-
EX DatePurpose
24/11/2017Dividend 5.00
26/10/2016Stock Split From Rs.10/- to Rs.5/-
05/08/2016Dividend 5.00
24/07/2015Dividend 2.50
24/07/2015Special Dividend 2.50

F. Promoters Holding 52.64% and Promoters Continue to increase his holdings since last few quarters.
G. No any Pledged Stocks.
5. Target, Time Frame, Stop Loss:-
Current Market Price:- 307.50
Target:- 20 % or more upside from here means 370+
Time Frame:-3 Months
Stop Loss:- If you read my book or follow shopkeeper approach then no need to put any stop-loss You can read more details about my books here:-Mahesh Kaushik Books.
If you do not want to follow shopkeeper approach and want to buy with strict stop loss then closing 5% below the 200 DMA is your stop loss (Closing below 274 is stop loss).
6. Suggested Reading:-
and
 11. Disclaimer:- This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this research report” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in “this research report”. The author is neither a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time.The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions. Please read full disclaimer at the bottom of my blog.
12.Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered with SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not held any share of Bhageria Industries Ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( Bhageria Industries Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not received any type of compensation from the subject company(Bhageria Industries Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company (Bhageria Industries Ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company (Bhageria Industries Ltd)

Tuesday, January 9, 2018

Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd @ 111.60

1. Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd is a 10 rupee face value diversified (textile and sugar) company.
Security ID: NAHARINDUS  Group / Index: B / S&P BSE SmallCap  Face value: 10.00  Security Code: 519136 ISIN: INE289A01011 Industry: Textiles and Sugar.

Brief Details of Company:- Nahar Industrial Enterprises Limited (NIEL) was incorporated on 27th September 1983. NIEL is a vertically-integrated textile manufacturer, with operations ranging from spinning, weaving & processing and also having sugar unit with 2500 TCD per day. NIEL is the evolution of amalgamation of different group companies with it. NIEL's strategic objective is to capitalize on the growth opportunities that it believes are available in the domestic and global textile industry. At the same time, the company recognizes the competitive nature of the industry, especially with pressure from Asia, and that to maintain growth it must continue to improve the production process and reduce costs.
 Management
The Board of Directors of the Company comprises experienced industrialists businessmen, financial experts, and professionals. The Board has the support of Technocrats, qualified Engineers, Chartered Accountants, Business Management experts and other experienced personnel, employed by the company to look after production, marketing, and finance, etc.
Source:-http://www.owmnahar.com/nahar_ie/about.php (company website)
2. Year high of Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd is 149.70 year low was 88.00 and stock traded at 111.60, Year high/ low ratio is below 2.
If you read my research terms or my book then you may know that generally, I like a stock which year high/low ratio is below 2.
But if stock recently gives a positive resulet then this ratio is acceptable until 2.5.  
If you are new reader of my blog and not familiar with my research terms, then please see my research terms at this link
3. Promoters of Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd hold 68.59%. Promoters holding is good, and promoters are not pledged any stock. If you check Insider trading in Nahar industries, then you find promoters buy their own stocks on 1 Dec 2017, 14 Dec 2017, and 4 Jan 2018 from the open market It means promoters are also bullish about their own company. 
See this picture:-

or watch this video to knew how to check insider trading:-
See FII or DII Holding Here:-
4.Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd is also a dividend paying stock, I will like to buy dividend-paying stocks here is the past dividend history:-
EX DatePurpose
07/09/2017Dividend 1.00
15/09/2016Dividend 1.00
18/09/2014Dividend 1.00
19/09/2013Dividend 1.00
08/09/2011Dividend 1.00
5. The base price of Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd is 83.83 So Stock just crossed it's base price from downside to the upper side.
As per my research rules, this is a good sign. 
Currently stock traded 20%+ from the base price this is the negative point for valuation because as per my rule 20% plus to 20% minus from base price is a best buying range for any stock. 
But due to other strong fundamental and recent breakout, I choose this stock for my recommendation.
6. No any bonus issue right issue and bulk deals are recorded in last 2 years..
7. Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd net sale per share of FY 16-17 is 434.70.
8. Net sale per share 434.70, So I think this stock is a best fundamental stock but due to it base price 83.83 I published this stock under sharegenius blog instead of my homepage www.maheshkaushik.com where I publish fundamental stocks which fulfill all of my criteria. (Here range from base price not fulfill.)
9. The book value of Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd is 174.93 Book value is also High from CMP So this stock is a value buy in both book value term and net sale per share term.
8. Finally, I choose Nahar Industrial Ent. as my trading stock for 20%+ gain.
9. 200 DMA of Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd is 110.97 So at CMP 111.60 Stock also traded above his 30 50 150 and 200 DMA, so I think technically stock gives a breakout and able to give us 20%+ return.:-
Simple Moving Averages
DAYSBSENSE
30102.15102.12
50102.65102.64
150104.84104.81
200110.97110.89
10. Fundamental target price of Nahar Industries is 184.245 (New Followers please read my books and watch my videos to knew how I calculate fundamental target price)
10. My Recent Update:- Data Bank Of Indian Stocks
Good News:- Prabhat Prakashan update me that Hindi version of my books "The Winning Theory In Stock Market", and "How Chandu Earned And Chinki Lost In The Stock Market" will available in this month.
And Prabhat Prakashan also takes responsibility to translate and publish English version my Hindi book "Kese Pahuncha Abdul..." Read more details of my book here:- My Books
11. Disclaimer:- This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this research report” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in “this research report”. The author is neither a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time.The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions. Please read full disclaimer at the bottom of my blog.
12.Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered with SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not held any share of Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not received any type of compensation from the subject company(Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company ( Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company (Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd).



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