Sunday, October 30, 2011

SESA GOA:AVOID

Dear Maheshji,
Please give your advice on Sesa Goa
regards
Sudhanwa
1. SESA GOA is a 1 rupee face value iron and steel company.
2. SESA GOA 52 week high is 347.85 and 52 week low 189.25 in 2008 stock of SESA GOA touch all time high of 4390 so after such a fall more than 90% within 3 year is not a good sign.
3. book value of SESA GOA is 133.34 and stock traded below 60 in 2000-2003 so i think you may wait price below 100 for making fresh investment or avoid this speculative stock.
4. promoters holding in sesa goa is 55.13 % and FII holding 23.80 % which is good .
5. in sept 2011 SESA GOA is turn in to loss making company and net revenue is also down so i think you may AVOID SESA GOA.
6. i have no any stock of SESA GOA.

Saturday, October 29, 2011

JSW steel ltd:

Namste Sirji,
Can you please let me know your views on JSW Steel and Jindal Poly films.
Thanks
Chaitanya
1.JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD is a 1 rupee face value steel and power company so i think valuation of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD is very high because if we compare currant price 579 to 10 rupee face value than it is 5790.
2.JSW is one of the most favorite stock of FII in June 09 total 259 FII hold 29.63 percent stake in JSW steel FII reduce there holding in june 2011 FII hold 24.14 % stake in jsw steel, and this is the main reason that JSW steel traded at high price compare to tata steel.
promoter holding 37.71 %

2. book value of JSW steel  is 733.06
3.year high of JSW steel  is 735 and year low 441.55 .
4. in mining fraud jsw steel denies lokayukta reports allegation read detail at BSE site from this link
http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/JSW_Steel_Ltd1_040811.pdf

5. overall my view is negative for jsw steel due to low face value, govt policy for mining companies and reducing FII stake , i have no any stock of company.

PLEASE ASK ONLY ONE STOCK AT A TIME SO CLICK HERE TO READ FORMER VIEW ON JINDAL POLY FILMS LTD

Thursday, October 27, 2011

REVIEW ON JSW HOLDINGS LTD

Respected readers, fundamental analysis is a very hard job some time technicals and speculations ride over the fundamentals and investors are angry from fundamental analysis.
but remember fundamentals is always win in market.
in Oct 2009 when jsw holdings ltd is traded at 1200 , i write on this blog that 300-600 is right price for jsw holdings ltd after that this stock start a speculation rally and touch 2100+.
so it is natural that one of my respected reader is angry with me and make some negative comments on my blog but now i am happy that finally fundamental analysis win on JSW HOLDING.
i tell you this story for general education on stock market , it is interesting to read this debate at this link
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2009/09/jsw-holdings-ltd-already-give-525.html

BHEL v/s INFRA BEES

Dear Mahesh ji,
please give your advise on BHEL.
regards
K. Sudheendra Rao
1. BHEL is 2 rupee face value electronic equipment company.
2. Book value of BHEL is 82.34 only so it is not a value buy at 316.60
3. Promoters holding in BHEL is 67.72 % FII holding 12.87 and DII 13.35 % so general investors hold only 6.06 % , this is the main reason that why BHEL traded such a high valuation.
4. BHEL 52 week high 510 and 52 week low 310 so as per my formula I think downside in BHEL remain.
5. At 4 oct 2011 BHEL stock spilt form 10 rupee face value to 2 rupee face value this is another reason for downtrend of 1-2 year why? Read this article for understand this theory of after bonus and spilt downside http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2009/10/bonus-issue-gives-only-psychological.html
6. So my view is negative for BHEL I think you may consider INFRABEES read detail of infrabees at http://mutualfundgenius.blogspot.com/2010/10/view-on-infrastructure-benchmark.html
7. I have no any stock of BHEL.

Saturday, October 22, 2011

WHY T GROUPS STOCK HITTING NEW HIGHS

Mahesh Sir I have a unique question hope you will be able to throw some light on it.I have always noticed that irrespective of market conditions there are n number of shares specially in T group with zero revenue and fundamental hitting new highs. I know it s done by operators, but my question is these shares are not in news and no boarders writing about it, then when and how do these operators dump these shares????? ask by amateur trader ji.
1. T groups stock are low equity and low trade stocks for more etails about T groups stocks read this article
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2011/01/difference-in-rolling-and-trade-to.html
2. some time these stocks have very low equity means total number of shares are very low so operators who want to make speculation run in these type of stocks make false trading for volume increase.
3. in this false trading they buy and sell stocks in many time a trading day it will also known as insider trading or chakri trading.
4. due to low volume when insider trader place a huge buy order there are no seller in market and stock close on circuit without any real buying.
5. you will be happy to find a possible multi bagger T group stocks in my penny share blog at this link
http://mypennyshare.blogspot.com/2011/10/list-of-27-t-group-stocks-by-mahsh.html

Friday, October 21, 2011

SHIPPING CORPORATION OF INDIA LTD:POSITIVE

Mahesh Ji,
I think you have heard about the debt news and share collapse of Shipping Corporation... I already hold 20+ at an avg of 100. What future you see in SCI?
ask by shri rajeev daniel ji.
1. rajeev ji SHIPPING CORPORATION OF INDIA LTD is a 10 rupee face vaue PSU stock.
2.promoter ( govt of India) hold 63.75 % stocks in SHIPPING CORPORATION OF INDIA LTD and FII hold 2.87% DII hold 20.40% so promoters and institutional holdings is good.
3.book value of SHIPPING CORPORATION OF INDIA LTD is 153.89 so this is a value buy at CMP of 69.
4. SHIPPING CORPORATION OF INDIA LTD is India best dividend paying company so this is the reason for mutual fund holding is near 20 %
5. stock give 5-6 rupee per year dividend in last few years.
6.debt/ equity ratio is 0.65 for SHIPPING CORPORATION OF INDIA LTD so i think this is not a high debt company.
7. so my view is positive for SHIPPING CORPORATION OF INDIA LTD , i have no any stock of SHIPPING CORPORATION OF INDIA LTD.

Sunday, October 16, 2011

DOWNLOAD FREE E BOOK ON COMMODITY MARKET


Dear Sir,


Please send Indian commodity market Book
Regards,
Animesh Shedge

Respected animesh ji
I give you some of links for free download pdf e books on commodity market of India I think these links is helpful for all of commodity market traders.


CLICK HERE FOR BOOK 1


CLICK HERE FOR BOOK 2


CLICK HERE FOR BOOK 3


CLICK HERE FOR BOOK 4


CLICK HERE FOR BOOK 5


CLICK HERE FOR BOOK 6

CLICK HERE FOR BOOK 7
Key words: - free commodity tips mcx tips free e book pdf book commodity market

MAKING OF FUNDAMENTAL PORTFOLIO WITH MAHESH KAUSHIK

<><><> <> <><><>1.Respected readers , as you knew every third Sunday of month i recommended a fundamental sound stock for more than one year view in last 6 month i recommended  MTNL , REL COM, DB REALTY , INDIA BULL REAL ESTATE, VIDEOCON, HDIL, PIRAMAL HEALTH if you are new on this blog please read this link for more details and rule of this portfolio making <>  <><> <><><> http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2011/08/making-of-fundamental-portfolio.html<><> <><><>2.As you see in last months if we make a SIP of 1000 per month in these stock than our average value is more good ( icici direct charge 17 rupee brokerage on 1000 rupee SIP)<><><><> <><><> so from this month i change the rule , instead of one time investment we make a 1000 per month SIP for 12 months in a particular recommendations.<><><><> <><><>3. if you see list of undervalued stocks which is given below you may note that IFCI is this month stock.<><> <><><><> <><><> <>4.  promoter holding in IFCI is nil and LIC hold 8.40 % stocks in IFCI <><><>5.  so i think this month we make 1000 rupee peer month SIP in IFCI for 12 months.<> <><><>6. after 12 months we wait one More year before sell for save short term capital gain tax.<><><> <><><> and i think each of my stock give me 50 % to 500 % return <>after 1-3 year.<><> <><><>7. i have no any stock of this list and this is not a buying recommendation , only try to locate a value investing system and spared education of value investing.<><> <><><><> <><><><><><> <><><><><><>
Company NameLast Price% ChgBook ValuePBV RatioYear
Reliance Comm77.30-1.72244.660.32Mar '10
DB Realty55.40-1.69137.820.40Mar '11
HDIL99.40-4.01225.970.44Mar '11
Indiabulls Real73.70-3.41159.200.46Mar '10
IFCI32.15-3.3164.240.50Mar '11
Piramal Health352.85-0.14699.630.50Mar '11
Videocon Indust171.50-1.75310.890.55Dec '10
Shipping Corp83.00-1.89136.050.61Mar '10
GE Shipping251.95-0.77361.420.70Mar '11
IOB93.45-3.06131.960.71Mar '11

CAMSON BIO TECHNOLOGIES :HOLD

Dear Mahesh Ji Namste
Sir what is your view on CAMSON BIO TECHNOLOGIES (BSE CODE 590076)Please give your view.I m holding 100 share @135 Rs can i hold continue.
Thank you Sir
From Rajeev Gupta Shimla HIMACHAL PRADESH
1.CAMSON BIO TECHNOLOGIES is a 10 rupee face value biotechnology company.
2. Year high of CAMSON BIO TECHNOLOGIES  is 252 and year low 56.10 stock traded at 71.95 .
3. As per our rule , avoid a stock when stock fall more than 50 % within a year from year high. i think stock may traded in sideways movement for coming 1-2 year.
4. Promoters holding in CAMSON BIO TECHNOLOGIES  is 36.74 % and promoter increase there holding from 31.08 % so this is the point which change my view from AVOID to HOLD , because if promoter increase there holding in downtrend than we think stock is over sold and recovery may be come soon.
5. In last 3 year CAMSON BIO TECHNOLOGIES  give continue 1 rupee per share dividend.
6. Stock show huge bulk deals in march 2011 generally i am negative in a stock which show this type of bulk deals but in CAMSON BIO TECHNOLOGIES LTD after these bulk deals promoter holding is increase so i think this is positive.
7. So hold this stock  ,  book value of CAMSON BIO TECHNOLOGIES  is 57.85 so average out your holding when stock available at 40-50 ,i have no any stock of CAMSON BIO TECHNOLOGIES  LTD.
8. Use this link for ask your questions
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2011/08/how-to-ask-question-on-this-blog.html

Thursday, October 13, 2011

STEEL STRIPS WHEELS LTD:AVOID

Hi,
I have 170 no.s Steel strips Wheels (SSWL) @ 361 average. Can I average now at Rs245? What is your opinion about this stock?
Regards
Suresh
1. suresh ji , STEEL STRIPS WHEELS LTD is an auto parts company with 10 rupee face value . this script is belonged to indo next group and as you knew my view is negative for indo next stocks why? read this
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2011/04/vinati-organics-ltdavoid.html
2.promote holding in STEEL STRIPS WHEELS LTD is 51.20 % and FII holding is nil
3.this stock is a dividend paying stock and give 1.50-1.60 rupee peer year in last 5 year.
4.Steel Strips Wheels Ltd has informed BSE that the Company has achieved sales of 7.53 lacs Wheel Rims during the month of September, 2011 as against 8.80 lacs Wheel Rims during the month of September, 2010. The Company has also achieved a production of 7.53 lacs wheel rims during September, 2011 as against 8.66 lacs during September, 2010.


The Company have recorded a growth of 262% in the sale of Truck Wheel Rims by achieving sale of 47682 wheel rims in Sep. 2011 as against 13169 in September, 2010 and the Company have also recorded a growth of 50% in the sale of Tractor wheel rims by achieving sale of 78100 wheel rims in Sep,2011 as against 52174 in Sept, 2010.


The Company has achieved the Export Sales of 123020 wheel rims during the month of September, 2011 as against 77901 wheel rims during the month of September, 2010, recording a growth of 57.09%
5. i think you read point 4 and feel good , but why a company release such type of press note???.
6. year high of STEEL STRIPS WHEELS LTD is 474.40 and year low 206.35 book value of STEEL STRIPS WHEELS LTD is 86.31 so this is not a value investment.
7. you wonder but my view is AVOID for STEEL STRIPS WHEELS LTD stock.
8. i have no any stock of STEEL STRIPS WHEELS LTD .

Sunday, October 9, 2011

INDIABULLS REAL ESTATE LTD

Nsr.logu said... I bought ibreal at 240 two years back of 535 quantities I want to know what to do
1. INDIABULLS REAL ESTATE LTD is a 10 rupee face value real estate company.
2. Book value of INDIABULLS REAL ESTATE LTD is 159.20 so this is a value buy at current price.
3. Year high of INDIABULLS REAL ESTATE LTD is 209.10 and year low 67.85
4. Promoter holding in INDIABULLS REAL ESTATE LTD is 27.95 % and FII holding 49.33% and promoters increase their holding from 22.96% which is good.
5. But you’re buying price is very high and one concept in this market is “ if you hold a stock for 6 year than in 95% case you’re buying price will be back.” But 6 year holding is a very long period.
6. I have no any stock of INDIABULLS REAL ESTATE LTD.
7. Use this link for asking a question to Mahesh kaushik
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2011/08/how-to-ask-question-on-this-blog.html

9. Related articles:-
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2010/09/shopkeepar-thinking-in-share-market.html
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2011/08/making-of-fundamental-portfolio.html

BARTRONICS INDIA LTD: ACCUMULATE IN SIP METHOD

Anonymous said...
MAHESHJI,
can I have ur on BARTRONICS AT CURRENT RATE. IF MARKET STABLISES, WHAT IS UR EXPECTED PRICE AFTER 3 YEARS. I am a long term investor.
1. BARTRONICS INDIA LTD is a 10 rupee face value stock. This is a trading stock (means stock which is popular between daily traders due to TV channels recommendations.)
2. Year high of stock is 113.70 and year low is 46.10, stock is traded near his year low and my formula of year high low is “if a stock is down more than 50 % within a year than avoid this stock for next 1 year.
3. BARTRONICS INDIA LTD promoters hold 27.40 % and FII holding is 0.29 % so low promoter holding and no FII interest.
4. But if you want to accumulate bartronics in SIP method for 3 year than I think you may go with this stock because promoters try to increase their holding in this stock read details of this stock in my earlier post about bartronics at this link
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2010/03/neutral-on-bartronics-india-ltd.html
( COMPANY Further issue of 40,00,000/- equity shares to non-promoter group by way of preferential issue , this will nagetive in short term but positive after 1-2 year)
5. I have no any stock of BARTRONICS INDIA LTD
6. FOR ASKING A QUESTION ON THIS BLOG PLEASE USE THIS LINK
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2011/08/how-to-ask-question-on-this-blog.html

Thursday, October 6, 2011

REVIEW OF KS OIL LTD

Maheshji thank you for your view on Gail I'll follow your advice. Please share view on KS OIL. Is it right time to buy? Thank you sir. Narendra. Maheshji thank you for your view on Gail I'll follow your advice. Please share view on KS OIL. Is it right time to buy? Thank you sir. Narendra.
1. narendra ji , i already give my negativee view for K.S. oli due to his reducing promoters holding , low face value and indo next group relation so read this detail view in this link 
2. huge bulk deals in sept 2011 is also seen in k.s. oil ltd so read details of thesee bulk deals in this link
3.I have no any stock of k.s. oil ltd.
4. related articles:-
VINATI ORGANICS LTD
UGAR SUGAR LTD

Saturday, October 1, 2011

MY SPECIAL VIEW ON BANKING SECTOR , BANKS AND BANK ETF

Maheshji Namaste, as you told that you are bearish on banking and it is true. Most of the stocks are at 52 week low. Please, now you advice a strong banking stock for value buying. From Narendra.
And
Hello Kaushik Ji,

I regularly follow the reviews provided in your blog and they were really helpful.
I'm planning to invest in Banking related ETF funds for long term (around 5 years).Would you please suggest which one will be good as I could see many available as below
Goldman Sachs PSU Bank Exchange Traded Scheme
Reliance Banking Exchange Traded Fund
Goldman Sachs Banking Index Exchange Traded Scheme
Kotak PSU Bank ETF
Thank you for your time and advice.
Regards,
Sreenivas bathula
And
Maheshji,
Your suggestion on SIP of Rs5000 per month on SBI.
Pravesh
And
Mahesh Ji,
Now that price of banking stocks have come low, I want to invest in one which can give me good return in 5-6 years. Please give your opinion on banks
Rajeev Daniel
1. Narendra ji, Sreenivas bathula ji , Pravesh ji and Rajeev Daniel ji I wonder to see this huge interest in banking stocks from most of my respected regular blog followers , so I decided to reply all of your questions in this single but detailed article on banking stocks and banking ETF.
2. Before we continue I told you an old story on infrastructure sector because this story is helpful to us for understanding...how sectors rotation works in stock market? In august 2009 all infra stocks just start downtrend from his huge rally of 3 years and this is the time when reliance mutual fund launch his infra mutual fund “ reliance infrastructure fund “
3. And I advice my blog readers in august 2009 that they wait this fund below 10 and I remember you when this fund NAV fall below 10 and that is the right time to start sip in this fund. Read this link for see that what I advice in august 2009
And
4. When above 2 articles publish on my blog , I face very negative comments from my readers that I do not knew ABC of stock market and misguide the inventors, foolish, etc. because my readers do not agree with my view and they are bullish on infra sector as per TV analysis. They think this fund NAV never fall below 10 and just double in 1-2 year.
5. Ok, after some time at February 2011 I remember by blog readers that reliance infrastructure fund now available @ 8.81 only and this is the time of start a 2 year SIP in this fund.
Then my blog readers again disagree with me because they think infrastructure sector is never performing again. Now this reliance infrastructure fund NAV is 7.2607 only.
6. Now we come to our main question on banks, I think downtrend in banking stocks is just start and there are still 20-50 % downside remains in these stocks why? I tell you my thinking on banks working because I work as a bank recovery agent ( TRA) in Rajasthan government read my official blog for understand my nature of job
and
7. Banks give KCC (kisan credit cards) to farmers on their lands and now government plan go give KCC to all of farmer which not get it yet. 
Suppose On starting KCC limit is 100000 and farmer enjoy the loan ( which give him to buy seeds and fertilizers but they utilized it in his daughter marriage and to buy electronics items, motor cycle , etc and some of amount is enjoyed in liquor’s they never repayment it )
8. When this loan is became as NPA then bankers file their recovery case with me and when I attach there land then defaulter farmers contact to bankers, bank see their current outstanding amount is 173000 with interest then they increase his KCC limit from 100000 to 200000 ( because price of their land is also increase on paper) and sanctions a new loan of 200000 to farmer and deduct his old outstanding NPA 173000 from this amount and farmer also enjoy 200000-173000=27000 for liquor/bike/electronic items. 
Bank show 73000 as interest income in his balance sheet. Next year bank again increase limit 200000 to 300000 and deduct old outstanding 224000 from this.
9. If you understand point 8 then I think you also understand that how wrong this method and what happens with these bankers when price of land get stable and all farmer denied to repay his KCC loans?
10. So I think we must be avoiding banking sector for coming 2 year. Otherwise make a SIP in GS bank bees ETF in this pattern
First year invest only 1000 per month in bank bees
Second year invest 2000 per year in bank bees
Third year invest 3000 per year in bank bees
So Pravesh ji avoid 5000 per month investing in SBI and consider GS bank bees ETF SIP in my method of “pyramid style SIP” where amount of investing is increase year by year and this method is beneficial in both conditions either NAV of fund is down and up.
11. Sreenivas bathula ji nareendra ji and Rajiv denial ji I think Goldman Sachs bank bees is my choice in banking sector at this time so For more details on GS Bank BeES read this link


12. Other related articles:-

Matched Content

My Youtube Channel

Blog Archive

हिन्दी वेबपेज आफ महेश कौशिक डाट कोम

Google+ Followers