Monday, June 28, 2010

AVOID:APCOTEX INDUSTRIES


Hi Mahesh,
I wanted your opinion on - Apcotex Industries ask by shri vikas bargale

1
. apcotex industries is an auto tyre and rubber industries company with face value of 10 rupee per share.
2. book value of apcotex share is 122.29 so in currant market price 142.75 share is not so cheap and year low of apcotex industries is 50 only so I think this is not a fair buying value.
3. as you knew I strict against auto and banking sector and forecast already that auto and banking sector is good sector for profit booking not for buying.
4. apcotex industries promoter holding 57.11 percent quite good.
5. apcotex industries declare 5 rupee per share dividend and record date for this dividend is 16.07.2010

6. overall I think price of this share is very high and one could avoid this apcotex industries.

Thursday, June 24, 2010

WHEN R POWER START RALLY???????


SIR I HAVE 500 SHERES OF RPOWER @ 200RS AVERAGE AND I WANT TO BUY ANOTHER SHARES @145 RS.
WHAT DO U EXPECT PRICE OF RPOWER AFER SIX MONTHS...........
IS THIS GOOD BUY AT THIS LEVEL...
PLEASE REPLY ME .........
JIGNESH JI
Namaskar
I think I already reply your question 2 times on following link
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2010/02/reliance-power-and-reliance-infra.html
And
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2010/06/view-on-r-power-and-my-buying-list.html

but i try to reply it again so many people start a SIP in reliance power and they suck free float share every months from the systems

and when all free flow quantity absorb buy these SIP investor ( signs start shown now) than R POWER rally is start my target is 400+
Also tell you a great sign when R power continues close 3 trading session at 280+ then break out in this stock is confirm and then you may get your target soon.
but this is my personal thinking only not an advice.

i hold 10 share of R POWER

KEY WORDS:- ICICI DIRECT SHARE KHAN

JINDAL POLYFILMS GOOD BUY BELOW 350


Hi Mahesh,
Thanks a lot for valuable suggestions I am following your suggestions.
I like your crystal-clear thinking. And your nice suggestions make me greedy for more.
So I wanted your opinion on Jindal Polyfilm and - Apcotex Industries ask by shri vikas bargale

1. First of all sorry for too late reply your question. Because I have a lot of work and some time excess work load caused late reply.
2. Jindal poly film is a 10 rupees face value share with promoter holding 67.37 percent and FII holding 8.58 percent is good fundamental.
3. In last 5 year company continue pay dividend.
4. Book value of this share is 510.09 so currant price is below book value. EPS 89.11 and P/E 4.46 is also good
5. Jindal polyfilms have big clients like Nescafe tata salt maggy parle etc.
5. so in light of above points is like to buy jindal polyfilms ltd
but 439 is 52 week high of this share and 290 is 52 week low so as usual I always try to left some space between year high and my buying price so I think I could like to buy it below 350 for some safe buying currently I have no any share of jindal poly films ltd.

KEY WORDS:_ F&O TIPS

Monday, June 21, 2010

LEARN FUNDAMETAL ANALYSIS


To day itry to educate my reders about fundamental analysis

To check one company fundamental….apply these step…..

1. First check shareholding pattern of stock in following link of BSE site
http://www.bseindia.com/shareholding/sharehold_search.asp
If promoters share holding is more than 80 percent is very good, more than 50 percent is good and more than 33 percent also good but avoid share with low promoter holding less then 15 percent should be avoided strictly.
Then check mutual fund holding if it more than 20 percent than this is good
If General public holding greater then 75 percent this is very very bad sign for share performance.
2. When you fill share name in above bse link than you see company result’s link at the bottom of page see result’s of company.
3. Then go to
http://content.icicidirect.com/Research/Research.asp page
And in right side of page you find research center link fill your company code in this link and find balance sheet profit and loss year high low of share and many other fundamental
4. Go to this link
http://www.nseindia.com/content/ncfm/ncfm_curriculum.htm
And download study material free in PDF formats this is a high quality study material for NSE certification course in financial market (NCFM). You also enroll you in this course and give EXAM and get certificate from NSE
5. We also write a complete course in Hindi about Indian share market when it completes it will be available at normal cost for our visitors.
SENT YOUR STOCK QUESTIONS TO
mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in for free answer (read 00 as zero zero)......we thankful to our visitors for there continue support of this blog....

Mr.saravanan also sent a poem for our visitors read it

Past is Experience...!Present is Experiments...!Future is Expectations...!Use your Experience in your Experiments to achieve your Expectations...!!!

Saturday, June 19, 2010

VIEW ON WELSPUN INDIA


Sir,
I am holding Welspun India @ 97.30. What is the future of this stock?
Please let me know if we can buy more for avg. or book loss.
Thx
Ashok
1. Welspun India is a textile company with 10 rupees face value.
2. 52 week low of this share is 28.50 and share touch 116 as it 52 week high, now this rally is cool down and welspun India makes new low day by day.
3. As usual you may trap near about 52 week high I again request my reader please do not invest on news basis or when share already run 3-4 time from his 52 week low.
4. EPS of welspon India is 15.73 and P/E 5 only so this point is good.
5. Promoter holding in welspon India is 48.03 percent they increase there holding from 41.97 percent to 48.03 percent FII holding is 7.37 percent FII also increase there holding. This is shown that you may no need to book loss.
6. Welspun India gives dividend 1 rupee per share. June 28 is record date for dividend
7. I not advice to average out this share but give you a good strategy try to sell ½ of your holding above 90 and then wait 2-3 months and try to buy these ½ quantities again below 60. This is my style of smart trading I use it many time and find successful in 80 percent case so this strategy is not 100 percent safe.
8. Book value of welspun India is 91.70
9. Overall my view is quite positive on this stock and if you are my old reader then you knew I am bullish on textile sector in near future and hold a huge quantity of arvind ltd. I have no any share of welspun India ltd.

Friday, June 18, 2010

Gyan developers and builders ltd


Hi Mahesh,
What is your opinion about Gyan Developers & Builders Ltd.?
Regards,
SOUMEN
KOLKATA

1. Gyan developers and builders ltd is a realty company with 10 rupee face value.
2. stock rally it year low 17.10 on 9 June 2010 to it year high 47.15 in 18 June 2010 means only 8 trading session jump stocks to it year high. Are you thinking this is a fundamental change? No this is only and only speculation.
3. Promoter holding in gyan developers is 64.85 percent.
4. Book value of gyan developers and builders is 10.54 only so shares traded 4 times high from it book value and very very risky now.
5. EPS of gyan is 0.10 and P/E is 471 means you pay 471 year earnings of share for buying a share I think average life of human is 80 year and only baba ramdev pranayama help us to live 471 year or more. (And I am irregular in ramdev baba pranayama so I avoid this share).
Key words: - can I buy sell hold gyan developers and builders F&O target July 2010 for gyan developer

Monday, June 14, 2010

HEXAWARE LTD AND HINDALCO LTD


Dear Sir,
I bought 2400 shares Hexaware @ 81.75 and 412 shares of Hindalco @ 155. What is its growth for 2 years?
Regards
Shankar marimuthu
1. Hexaware is an IT company with 2 rupees face value. Promoter hold 28.50 percent FII hold 36.68 percent, book value is 52.84 and year low 36 so I think your entry point of 81.75 is very high so sell these stocks @ 85-90 with some profit and buy again @ 50-60 if available.
2. Hindalco is well known aluminum company with 32.08 percent promoter holding, 32.08 percent FII holding and 1 rupees face value. Book value of share is 134.27. it is uneasy to told 2 year growth story because market run 75 percent on speculation basis if market is down hindalco is not run against market do not be forget in 2008 hindalco low is 40-45 only. So it is always better to book 15 percent profit and tries to buy share again in lower price.
Your both of companies is good and investor friendly so no need to worry.

Sunday, June 13, 2010

VIEW ON REI AGRO


Dear Mahesh ji
What is your view about REI Agro ?
Will the price come down?
What is the future of this stock?
What is the price do u recommend for buying for long term investment?
Awaiting your valuable reply. ASK BY SHRI AGNI PRUTHVI JI


1. REI agro is a 1 rupees face value share so currant market price 27 is not cheap if we compare it 10 rupees face value then it is 270.
2. REI Agro Ltd has informed BSE that the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on May 26, 2010, inner alias, has:
a. Decided that Company will offer 2 (Two) Equity Shares of face value of Re. 1/- each for 1 (One) Equity Share to the eligible Shareholders as on the record date at a price of 19.50 per equity share including premium of Rs. 18.50 per Share.
b. Recommended a final dividend of Rs. 0.20 per Equity Share (i.e. 20%) of Re. 1/- each for the financial year ended March 31, 2010, subject to approval of the members of the Company in Annual General Meeting.
c. Recommended dividend of Rs. 4/- each (i.e. 4%) on the preference Shares having face value of Rs. 100 each.
3. record date for right issue is 8 June 2010 so I think after this record date share may be enter in down trend and show price below right issue ( in my experience of market I think this is happen in 75 % case of right issue ).
4. So it is wise to buy it 17-19 prices if available.
5. Promoter holding is 37.89 percent in REI agro and FII hold 23.64 percent.
6. Price of 25.10 is a strong resistance for this share so watch this price if 25.10 broken than it will touch 17-19.
7. REI agro have basmati rice business so I think sector is not very hot.
8. Book value of this share is 20.54 so in book value term tries to buy it below book value .
9. P/E of this share is 16 this is also I high book value in terms of rice company. Overall my view is not so positive to buy this share but I suggest you buying range if you are so fancy on this stock.

key words:- free news letter of share bazar

Saturday, June 12, 2010

UNLIKE CRANS SOFTWARE

Dear Mahesh,
Request your opinion on Cranes Software. I have a friend who has invested at abut 17rs. Since promoters hold only abut 16% of shares & I have also heard that company has not been regular in paying salaries of employees, large debt, I feel this may not be a good investment. However before I could advise him to switch over to another company I thought it prudent to ask your opinion.
Brgds/ Rajendra

1. Cranes software is a 2 rupees face value share with a very high book value of 53.70
2. EPS of crans is 1.14 and P/E is 10.
3. Promoter holding is 16.15 percent FII hold 13.48 percent
4. although book value is very high but I agree with you and think is it unwise to make a fresh buy in crans software but in shifting I am neutral because in my system generally I unlike shifting in loss.

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

AVOID : G I ENGINEERING


Sirji,
What’s Ur view on GI Engineering? From last few days it is trading in very high volume and also effect of change in sensex vale on this stock seems less? Is it a value pick?
Thnx in advance
-Neo

1.G I ENGINEERING SOLUTIONS LTD is a construction share of 10 rupees face value.
2. 52 week low of G I engineering is 5.83 only and you knew I always try to buy a share near it 52 week low , so this point is against my concept this stock run near it 52 week high.
3. in march 2010 promoter holding 43.65 percent but in march 2009 this is 59.12 in December 2009 it is 50.04 so promoter of company continue reduce ( dilute) there holding this is a great negative point for me.
4. In price of 25.95 a bulk deal of 50000 shares in sell side also shown so it is another great negative point.
5. book value of this share 42.51 is a good point so in view of book value this is a value buying.
6. So I think you may avoid this stock at currant level. My personal holding in this stock is zero

KEY WORDS:- BUY SELL HOLD IN G I ENGINEERING TARGET JULY 2010

Sunday, June 6, 2010

SHAREGENIUS SPECIAL MUST BE READ




/.,…ETDITORIAL FROM MAHESH KAUSHIK
Dear readers
Money making in share market is not so easy. I feel very sad When I hear someone lost his money in F&O trading. Why you try to speculate in intra day or F&O. our business channel make a worst role for investors. Are you remember one year ago when punj lloyed traded at 270 then one news channel launch a broker poll and according to this channel 90 percent broker say punj lloyed is a buy and now price of punj lloyed come 117 from 270.
One other business channel treat share investing like a game it launch share as batsman or bowler what a funny your money is not an IPL.
One other dangerous story is “khatro ke khiladi” these all is speculation trade only not value investing so please protect your money from these short term tools.
Some readers thanks to me about vijya bank recommendation I recommended vijya bank @46 near about 2 months ago on this blog and now it is 62 ( give 3 rupees per share dividend also) it is not bad to book all or part profit in vijya bank.
I think telecom sector start performs and may lead come rally. Avoid auto and banking sector now.
Mahesh kaushik

VIEW ON R POWER AND MY BUYING LIST

hello sir,
can i buy Rpower at current level?
what does u see the target of Rpower after 3 to 6 months
What do u advise to buy at current correction
From: jignesh sangahvi


Yes sure R power is shown a speculation rally in near future. Read full story at
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2010/02/reliance-power-and-reliance-infra.html

ABOVE LINK IS REPLY OF YOUR FORMER QUESTION I THINK YOU NOT READ IT
most of investor make a SIP in R POWER so when free flot quantity is buying by these investor price of this scrip automatically up
some of my favorites list is

ARVIND LTD
MTNL
IDEA
TATA COMUNICATIONS
REL COMUNICATION
SASKEN
R POWER
NIFTY BENCHMARK EXCHANGE TRADED FUND
BIRLA SUNLIFE INTERNATIONAL FUND PLAN B GROTH
KOLTE PATIL DEVOLOPERS
KAMDHENU ISPAT
DISH TV
NHPC
( I hold most of these stocks )

WHICH IS BETTER IN PUNJ LLOYED AND JP ASSOCIATES



hi Mahesh ji,

can i buy punj lloyd at present levels(117) or jp associates(117).what is your opinion sir.
thanking you,
satish


dear satish ji jaiprakash associate ltd is much more better then punj lloyed because promoter holding in jai prakash associate is 45.99 percent and FII holding is 25.99 percent but in punj lloyed promoter holding is 37.44 percent and FII holding 12.52 percent.
JP ASSOSIATE revenue is also higher then punj lloyed.
So I think jp is better then punj

VIEW ON JAIHIND SYNTHETIC AVANCE TECHNOLOGY


Dear Kaushik,
Please give your opinion on these stocks
a) Avance Technologies
b) JaiHind Synthetic - The curve has shoot up since 1 month. IS it worth to invest in this stock?
Many Thanks,
Raj


Please read my former article for avance technologies in following link
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2009/08/avance-technologies-ltd-nothing-is.html
jaihind synthetic is a textile company but year low of jaihind synthetic is 2 only and cmp is 11 this share also traded on circuit . promoter holding is 15.11 percent so you knew that this is against of my basic rule that avoid buying on year high. When jaihind synthetic is traded 1-2 rupee range then right time to buy it now it is time to sell so please avoid share on year high.

VIEW ON MUTHOOT CAPITAL UCO BANK ALOK INDUSTRIES


I am reading ur blog regularly, ur advices are really worth hearing, I have been following it like not to buy a share when it has reached its high price and to buy stocks with greater face values. You are really doing a good job. Please do continue it.
I want to know whether it is worth investing in Alok Industries shares, Muthoot Capital Services Ltd and UCO Bank for long term investment.
Please do advice me.
Thank You sir.
Aravind CH.


Muthoot capital ltd is traded near it year high and on 5% upper circuit an you know I always avoid share near it year high. promoter holding in muthoot capital is 74.98 percent but year low of this share 45 only so I think price is very high and this time is not right for buying muthoot capital ltd
Uco bank also traded near year high 80 fair value of UCO bank is below 50 it declare dividend only 1.50 but vijya bank traded at 61 declare dividend 3 per share so wait for next CRR hike I think when next CRR hike done by government bubble of banking and AUTO blast badly so in my view waiting for next CRR HIKE. Then buy UCO bank below 50.
For alok industries read my former article on
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2009/12/alok-industries-value-buying.html

VIEW ON SHREE ASTAVINAYAK KAASHYAP TECHNO FCS SOFTWARE


dear kaushik sir,
sir i want to in invest in share market near about ***** to buy shreeastha vinayak and fcssoft and kaashayap stock please tell me about this stock we can carry this 6 month plz advise me sir
thanks
ask by sajid seyad

Sajid sir
Read shree astvinayak in following link
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2010/02/ex-bonus-story-of-shree-ashtavinayaka.html
For FCS soft read
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2009/10/fcs-software-solution-is-fundamentally.html
I think you may not worry about FCS software it may run in near terms.
Kaashayap techno is a penny share it is a b group IT Company with 12 rupees face value.
Promoter holding in kaashyap techno is 0.89 percent but FII holding is 24.65 percent

The TAIB Securities Mauritius Ltd ("Acquirer") is hereby making an open offer pursuant to and in compliance with the provisions of Regulation 10 of the Regulations to acquire 13,14,54,982 equity shares of Re. 1/- each, representing 20% of the voting rights in the Target Company, from the equity shareholders of the Target Company, at a price of Re. 0.73 (Paise Seventy Three only) per equity share including interest of Re. 0.02 per equity share ("Offer Price") payable in cash subject to the terms and conditions mentioned in PA
Read following link for full detail of this open offer
http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/Kaashyap_Technologies_Ltd_310310.pdf
I think you may hold kaashyap for some more periods.

VIEWS ON EMPOWER IND AND IDEA CELLULAR


Dear Mr. Mahesh, Please advice me, I want to invest ****** Rupees in the Share market. Actually I want to Buy Empower Indu. And Idea cellular, please tell me the future of this stock or is this the right time to buy? Waiting for your reply. Thanks & Regards, Pj matta
For empower industries read following link
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2010/03/empower-industries-india-ltdoperators.html
I think it is not good to buy in empower industries
Idea is good my personal target for idea in 2 year is 160+ so make a SIP of 2 year in idea get you decent return it is not an advice read disclaimer. Read my former article on telecom space in following link
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2010/04/is-bharti-airtel-is-my-best-pick-or-not.html

DIFFERENCE BETWEEN T OR B GROUP SHARE

Hi Kaushik
what is the difference between T and B group shares? Which one is better to buy? - Anonymous


T group share:-
Only delivery-based transactions are allowed in the ‘T’ group; traders can not take intra-day positions. Also ban on F&O position .This preventive action on the part of the exchange to reduce risk arising from excess speculation. If the activity in a stock dies down after its inclusion in the ‘T’ group, it is a fair indicator that much of the interest till then had been speculative and not based on fundamentals.
B group share: -
These are referred to as “Non cleaned securities” or “Non-specified shares”. For these groups facility of carrying forward is not available. But one could take F&O (F&O is not allowed in all B group) and intra day position.
Stock exchange shifted shares from one group to other group on basis of volume and liquidity and other criteria so it is not important to see that which one is better to buy.

Thursday, June 3, 2010

AVOID: KILBURN ENGINEERING


Hi Mahesh,
One more stock has come into my radar, but need your expert opinion.
The stock is Kilburn Engineering.
Its the only company in the world to manufacture the all kind of dryers required for all sorts of industry.
Their web-site address is as following
http://www.kilburnengg.com/home.htm
Check out their amazing list of customers. I dont think any company has the customer list like them.

The points of worry are I think its not undervalued at current market price.
But my main concerns are that after the sale of land last year, still they have their shares pledged.
Also I went through their last yr.annual reports and bit confused about selling land at one place and buying at another nearby place.
Can you please throw some light on this stock?
Thanks.
With Regards,
Vikas


1. Kilburn enginiaring is a B group share with 10 rupees face value.
2. at 22 june 2009 price of this share is 18 only….in 2003 it is 0.85 only… so I think currant market price is very high for this share
3. promoter holding 57.15 percent in Kilburn enginiaring (normal)
4. read this forward looking statment of kilburn engineering
http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/announcement/Kilburn_Engineering_Ltd_280510.pdf
5. book value of this share is 76.16
6.if you read company statement in point 4 , I think this type of forward looking statement is try to manipulate the price.
7. Williamson magor and company is main promoter of Kilburn engineering and this promoter pledged his 69.46 percent holding.
8. So overall I think you may avoid this company.

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