Friday, October 30, 2009

EASTERN SILK INDUSTRIES:


I had query regarding EASTERN SILK INDUSTRIES
the book value of Rs49 and i could not find out the P.E ratio of the stock what is ur recommendation on this stock.
Regards ask by shri Deepak
Eastern silk industries give 0.20 rupees per share dividend in this year.
Eastern silk face value is rs 2 only.
Book value of this share is 49.56
March 2009 EPS of this company is 2.29 so if we divided current price 13.45 of eastern silk with 2.29 we find P/E of 5.87.
Promoter holding in eastern silk is 47.40 percent is good sign with no pledged share
CLICK HERE FOR DOWNLOD EASTREN SILK SEPT 2009 RESULT
In my view this is a good dividend paying company. Low debt, high book value but low face value. BUT IN HALF YEAR ENDED SEPT 2009 EARNINGS OF THIS COMPANY IS DOWN. so this is a nagative point for us.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

WHICH IT COMPANY IS BEST IN IFOSYS, TCS OR WIPRO

Mahesh Ji, I recently started following your Blog.I am not a regular trader but doing it for investment purpose.I am holding Infosys@2100 for last 2 years.I want to know you opinion regrading Infosys.I want to do some investment keeping 1-2 year on view ,Please suggest me some multibagger stock that can give me good return.Thanks & Regards Amarendra Bhaskar
1. INFOSYS face value is 5 rupees, TCS face value is 1 rupees and WIPRO face value is 2 rupees so I think you understand that INFOSYS have chance to stock spilt and we like high face value share so in this point of view INFOSYS got first place. 1. If this spilt, happen it may give a psychological effect on investors and we see a pre spilt rally in this share as usual. My regular reader knew that I always like share with rs 10 or 5 rupees face value and dislike 1 or 2 rupees face value share because if stock declare spilt usually we see a pre spilt rally.
2. INFOSYS total equity capital is 286.5 million, TCS total equity capital is 195.7 million and WIPRO total equity capital is 293.1 million. We like less equity capital because they have chance to further bonus and right issues so in this term TCS got first place.
3. Book value of infosys share is 310.8 and TCS book value is 68.2 and wipro book value is 85.4 so in this point INFOSYS is again winner. do not worry about low book value compaire to price of infosys because valuation of IT company is decided by his net profit and all other IT company have also a low book value (in IT sectors I find SASKEN COMMUNICATION is a good IT company which traded at 150 below his book value166 so this may be change in multibagger in coming years).
4. In net profit term of FY 08-09, infosys have 5819 million and TCS net profit is 4696.2 million or wipro have 2973.8 million so INFOSYS is again winner in net profit term.
5. Only INFOSYS is a zero debt company in above three.
6. P/E of TCS share is 24 INFOSYS is 21.5 and wipro is 28 so in P/E term we find INFOSYS at a better valuation.
7. So overall if we compare above 3 largest IT company we found INFOSYS is first TCS is second and WIPRO is third choice and my discloser is that I have personally hold 6 share of INFOSYS so my personal interest is included in this company so please read this analysis in this prospective.
8. If one could want to long term investment in an IT counter then sasken communication tech is a 10 rupees face value share with low equity capital of 27.1 million and book value of 166.9, zero debt, net profit 25.7 million traded at P/E 16 may consider as long term IT share investment if market down and one could catch it below 100. (my discloser is that I have personally hold 10 share of sasken comunication so my personal interest is included in this company so please read this analysis in this prospective)
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

Monday, October 26, 2009

Sarup tanneries ltd (BSE code 514412)


Dear Kaushik Sir,
Do you have any view on this stock Sarup Tanneries.They have high book value and dividend paying.
They also had started some real estate development with MGF
Regards ask by shri Sankar kumar
1. Sarup tanneries ltd (BSE code 514412) is a Leather Footwear company related to BSE group S shares.
2. This share is very low volume share near about less then 2000 share traded per day.
3. Promoters holding in sarup tanneries ltd are 74.36 percent is good because we like more than 60 percent promoter holding.
4. Book value of sarup tanneries ltd is 73.22 so currently share traded below his book value.
5. Sarup tanneries ltd have a net loss of -4.96 million in June 2009 quarter.
6. This share give 12 percent dividend per year since 2005 and I think downside is limited in this type of stock. Year low of this share is 21
7. Debt /equity ratio is 0.44, normal not very high.
8. This is not very attractive stock for me but quite good share for holding not for trading.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

Sunday, October 25, 2009

LONG TERM PICKS FOR FORGATING IT 7-8 YEAR AFTER INVESTMENT

Hello Sir,
I like to invest for long term (5-7 years). I am new and do not understand the market much, cannot go for daily/weekly trading.
So I ma looking for some good stocks which wont sink much, and have good future, along with regaler dividend, I think such a stock is Karnataka Bank. Please correct me if I am wrong about Karnataka Bank.
I like to know some more stocks and their price brand to add my portfolio. I can be invested for 5-8 years time frame. ask by shri Anil B.

I agree with you if you really hold karnatka bank in view of 7-8 year
Some of good picks for you

1. MTNL
2. SCI
3. ARVIND LTD ( high risk but may be change in multibagger )
4. KOLTE PATIL DEVLEPERS
5. PUNJ LLOYED
6. ROLTA
7. SASKEN COMUNICATION
8. SINGER INDIA( high risk but may be change in multi bagger)
9. REL COMUNICATION
10. DABUR

CHEMPLAST SANMAR VERY HIGH DEBT COMPANY


Hi Mahesh,
Can you please tell about chemplast sanmar share.iBought it for 13 RS.Now its dropping .Is it good to hold for long term? ask by shri balaji sivabalan
1. Chemplast sanmar is Petrochemicals Company.
2. Face value of chemplast sanmar is only rs 1.
3. this share make his year high 14.89 in 1 oct 2009 year low of chemplast sanmar is 3.20
4. Book value of chemplast sanmar is 4.30 only.
5. Company has 1244.5 million debts and debt/equity ratio is 6.67 very very high.
6. Promoter holding is 75 percent is only one good factor in this company that I found but due to high debt of this company this good factor is avoidable.
7. So I do not like to invest in this low face value high debt share. and not think that this is a good pick to hold long term
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

Friday, October 23, 2009

MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS :AVAILABLE AT 1/5 OF BOOK VALUE

Hi Sir,
Pls let me know Ur MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS - ...Is it a hidden Gem..Pls let me know it sir.

Thanks
ASLAM
SAUDI ARABIA
1. MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS face value is rs 10.
2. MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS promoter holding 50.94 percent share but they pledged his 60.75 percent quantity, pledged share of promoter is a negative sign.
3. MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS make a net loss of -53.46 million in June 2009 quarter
4. MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS give rs 0.60 dividend per share in this year . I wonder company is raising his power of take loan and already have some debt on company even if promoter pledged there share but company gives dividend why ?
5. MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS book value is 152.67 is a good sign because current price 33.70 is just 1/5 of book value very rare case we see that share available such type of discount.
6. I think overall MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS is a good company working since 1983 but current time a negative in view of profit and debt but if any body accumulates small quantity in every fall like a SIP .
7. this is a mix story of positive (great book value and track record of last 25 year, dividend paying company) and negative ( pledged share, rising debt, current loss)sign so make your own decision on the basis of above analysis .

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Thursday, October 22, 2009

MUDRA LIFESTYLE VALUE PICK


Dear Friend,
PLS let me know the future prospects of
Mudra Lifestyle Limited
BSE code :532820
Thanks
Kiran.
Washington D.C
U.S.A.

1. Mudra life style currently traded at 38.70 share touch his 52 week high 41.70 at 15.10.2009 so share is technically sound all time high of this share is 114.90 and all time low 10.60
2. June 2009 quarter EPS of share is very low 0.05 only
3. Promoter holding 54.49 percent is good.
4. Book value of mudra life style is 49.08 book value of this share is continuing rising since last 4 year.
5. debt/equity ratio is 1.41 is quite high but not very high, normal
6. This is a value pick traded below his book value due to low EPS but when profitability of company raises it may perform better.
7. net sell of company is increasing continue year by year since 2005
8. my view is positive for long term in this company

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
SENT YOUR SHARE QUERY TO mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in FOR A FREE ANALYSIS ON THIS BLOG.
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Wednesday, October 21, 2009

ARCHIES LTD GOOD BUT UNDERPERFORMER

Hi Mahesh Kaushik,
Went through your blog which is amazingly simple and straight with good analysis.
It’s rare to find blogs like yours. Awesome work. KEEP IT UP.
My query is about Archies ( the greeting card and Gift Company)
Hallmark is out of business. And now Archies has monopoly. Mind you that this person sells other brand articles (Expression cards) and not that of Archies. So I studied their fundamental.
It’s below book value, good promoters holding, Brand name,
But what disturbed me that - Last yr. company made 8 Cr. of profit, but this yr. it had 1Cr. of loss. Pure economic recession can’t be the reason for this. And stock is coming down from 2-3 months, when sensex is going up.
So my query is can it become a multi-bagger from CMP?
With regards,
Vikas
1. archies ltd is a BSE group T share of 10 rupees face value.
2. you are right that promoter holding in archies ltd is 62.35 percent with no pledged share is good.
3. but your resulet information is wrong archies have 10.87 million net loss in FY 08-09 but in june 2009 company made net profit of 8.76 million (remember 1 million is equal to 10 lac not 1 cr)
CLICK HERE TO SEE FULL RESULET OF ARCHIES.
4. archies have total 6756000 share but net sell of company is 1391.93 million means per share sell is 206 rupees is a good sign in warren buffet principle if per share sell is high compare to market price is good.
5. book value of archies is 117.93
6. i think current price of 80-90 is a good accumulating price for it but as you knew this is a speculative stock of T group this share is underperformer of current rally normally underperformer share will perform after 2-3 year so accumulate small quantity in every fall for 2-3 year view is good but I do not more optimistic about multi bagger story and do not like this share because card is replaced by SMS.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Tera software ltd :hold


Hello Sir,I came across your blog it is very interesting to see your unbiased analysis. Can you please let me know your views about Tera software and its future prospects on cmp?Regards Chithra

1.Tera software ltd give 2 per share rupees dividend ex-dividend date is 10.09.2009.
2.Promoters hold 38.68 percent share in terasoft and FII hold 5.35 percent and remaining share hold by general public so public share holding is a quite large but this is not so bad.
3.Terasoft make a profit 25.14 cr in June 09 quarter and company continue cut his costs and a downfall see in there expenditure in last 4 quarter.
4.Terasoft touch his fifty two week high at 50 in 24 Aug 2009 so share traded near about his year high.
5.I think this is a dividend paying growing software company and in Indian software sector a speculation is expected .
6.If you really a long term investor then wait for 2-3 year because such type of company that promoters holding is below 40 percent is a good buying target for large cap IT and if this happen you see a speculative high price with decent return for you.


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Monday, October 19, 2009

VAKRANGEE SOFTWARE MAY GIVE DECENT RETURN


hello sir,
Can u please give me Ur opinion on vakrangee software? Ask by shri "Dukkipati satish ji
Vakrangee software is a 10 rupees face value share.
Book value of vakrangee software is 128.7 currently traded 70.75 below his book value are good.
Promoter holding of vacrangee software is 19.12 percent is a low promoter holding but FII hold 15.37 percent and promoter increase there holding till dec 2008 to June 2009 so increase in promoter holding a good sign.
This is company traded at P/E of 35 some high valuation due to aspect increase in profit.
Debt/equity ratio of this company is 0.01 very low debt is a good sign.
we like this share because such type of promoter holding situation some time make a acquisitions story if some one try to acquire this company and promoter try to increase his holding may give some decent return to investor and share available below his book value also good so in fundamental view this is a buy

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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GOOD LUCK STEEL LTD NOT VERY ATTARACTIVE


Dear Sir:-
Pls let me know Ur opinion about GOOD LUCK BSE CODE- 530655

Sincerely
VIMALA
PERUMATHURA
KERALA
GOOD LUCK STEEEL TUBES LTD is a 2 rupees face value share stock is spilt at 19.06.2009
This share give continue dividend in 2007 rs 3 per share 2008rs 3 per share and 2009 rs 0.30 per share. So this is a dividend paying company.
Promoter holding of good luck steel tubes is 68.69 percent in September 09 . is a good sign
book value of good luck steel is 19.96 share currently traded at 35
In FY 08-09 EPS of 10 rupees face value share is 33.88 and June 09 quarter EPS for 2 rupees face value share is 2.55 .
Debt/equity ratio of this company in March 2008 is 3 this debt equity ratio show this is a very high debt company unfortunately we did not found current debt/equity ratio.
so this company is not very attractive because high debt, low face value and low EPS

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Sunday, October 18, 2009

KOLTE PATIL GOOD LONG TERM PICK

Kindly suggest if we should invest in Kolte Patil developers. Best Regards,
Vinay Kumar
Team Lead - Operations
1. Kolte patil developer is a real estate company. with low equity capital of 75 million
2. Face value of kolte patil is 10 rupees.
3. Promoters holding in kolte patil are 74.63 percent is good because we like more than 60 percent promoter holding.
4. Book value of kolte patil developer is 85.7 so currently share traded below his book value.
5. P/E of kolte patil is 5.6 so share traded at low P/E
6. So I like it in long term view this share give 10 percent dividend this year.
7. My discloser that I personally hold 25 share of kolte patil developers.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009

ABM KNOWLEDWARE READY TO MOVE

Dear Boss Could analysis the future prospects of ABM KNOWLEDEWARE. One of my friend Siyad recommends this as future EDUCOMP. pls. analysis

from
MOHAN THOMAS
DUBAI
1. ABM KNOWLEDEWARE is a 10 rupees face value share.
2. Book value of ABM KNOWLEDEWARE is 20.19.
3. Promoter holding of ABM KNOWLEDEWARE is 60.02 percent with no percent pledged share is good sign.
4. June 09 quarter EPS of ABM KNOWLEDEWARE is 1.10 (June 08 EPS is 0.68) is a good sign.
5. ABM KNOWLEDEWARE gives 10 percent dividend in this year.
6. I agree with your friend because only 14, 08,687 share of ABM KNOWLEDEWARE is hold by individuals in June 09 and if demand is high and no supply is there in such type of low individuals holding share than price is easily go in multiple but be cautious that you traded at 5 time of year low and 2.5 time of book value.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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MPS LTD GOOD COMPANY BUT POOR RESULET OF JUNE 09

Dear Mahesh,
Kindly analyze Macmillan India (new name MPS ltd). I hold 3k shares @65 average
Thanks
Ask by shri Shankar

1. Macmillan India (new name MPS ltd) is a 10rupees face value share.
2. Book value of Macmillan India (new name MPS ltd) is 61.4 near about your buying price.
3. Promoter holding of Macmillan India (new name MPS ltd) is 61.46 percent with no percent pledged share is good sign.
4. This is a zero debt company is a good sign.
5. but June 09 quarter EPS of MPS ltd is down and 0.7 only (June 08 EPS is 4.11) is a negative sign.
6. I think you may book partial profit in this share and see sept quarter result for further decision.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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ANU LAB : END OF SPILT AND BONUS STORY


Sir, I want to know the future aspect of anu lab.
I will be thankful to you if u put some light on it.
Thanking you sir. ask by shri ashish

1. Anu lab is a 1 rupees face value share. Low face value is a bad sign.
2. Book value of anu lab is 4.6 only very low book value.
3. Promoter holding of anu lab is 50.29 percent with 0.87 percent pledged share is normal sign.
4. This share is spilt at 11.05.2009 and ex bonus at 27.05.2009 we believe that after spilt and bonus a share enter in a rest zone for 1-3 year.
5. so I think rs 4-5 is good buying price for this share so do not hurry up ,wait for some time.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009

PUNJ LLOYED GOOD LONG TERM SHARE


Hello sir.thank you for updating blog regularly. I strictly followed your words and made decent profits in mutual funds. Can you please tell is it good to purchase PUNJ LYOD at current prices? If no then at what is the best price to purchase these shares?-satya ji fro mail
1. punj Lloyd is a very good share I think this is a miny Larsen and toubro and give you at least 30 percent return in next 5-7 year my target for next 5-7 year for punj lloyed is

2010=350
2011=450
2012=600
2013=750
2014=900
2015=1000
But remember it is possible when every thing is ok with punj lloyed and you may see some short term correction in this share as per market. If this share achive his target early then one can look a partial book profit and enter again in deep.
2. current price is good breack out price 295 for punj lloyed but it have risk to downside till leval 220 in short term .
3. i personally hold 21 share of punj lloyed this is my discloser.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Sunday, October 11, 2009

IFCI HUGE EQUITY CAPITAL:AVOID


Hi Mahesh ji,
Can u give me Ur opinion on ifci? Can we purchase at this level. Ask by shri dukkipati satish.
1. IFCI is a 10 rupees face value share.
2. IFCI Ltd has informed BSE that the Company has acquired 5% stake in the present equity share capital of MCX Stock Exchange Ltd (MCX-SX) from Financial Technologies (India) Ltd ("FTIL") at Rs 35/- per equity share, subject to the terms & conditions of the Agreement, entered between the Company & FTIL.
3 equity capital of IFCI is very high 7378.40 million is a negative sign because IFCI have net profit of 1007.80 million in June 09 quarter but EPS only 0.88 due to huge equity capital.
4. Promoter holding in IFCI is zero and remembers this is a former penny stock major stock holder of IFCI is LIC PNB canara bank uco bank etc.
5. So overall I do not like this share
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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MULTIBAGGER SERIES PART 4 : W H BRADY SHARE

I want to knew about W H brady stock- ask by shri nisu katiyar ji from mail
1. w h brady is a enginiaring company in B group.
2. face value of W H brady is rs 10.
3.this is very low volume stock 2 week average volume on bse is 621 only. Year high of this share is 90 and year low is 30 currently traded at 66.05
4. promoter holdings in W H brady is 82.96 percent is very good sign .
5. equity capital in this company is very low only 25.50 lac share in this company and 21.15 lac hold by promoter so only 4.35 lac share is available in market is a second good sign because some time we see a decent run in such type of low equity share.
6. june quarter EPS of WH Brady is 2.02 is good.
7. book value of this company is 206.22 very very very good book value.
8. debt eqity ratio is 0.14 only is good means low debt company.
9. so my view is positive in this share and like to invest in this company for a multibagger retrun in long term.

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Saturday, October 10, 2009

BHARTI GOOD FOR LONG TERM


Sir,pls make a techno-fundamental analysis on Bharti airtel. I have + at 415 in future 1 lot. Ask by shri manas dash from mail.
1. Bharti airtel is a 5 rupees face value stock.
2. bharti airtel spilt there stock from 10 rupees to 5 rupees at 24-07-2009 so price of bharti airtel is became just ½ of his former price due to spilt adjustment and most of investor does not knew this spilt story they think price fall is due to bharti-mtn deal.
3. Promoter holding in bharti airtel is 67.41 percent with no pledged share and FII hold 19.58 percent in this share is a good fundamental.
4. but technically share enter in a long term rest zone same story of infosys in last 2 year you may note that in last 2 year infosys traded in a range of 1200-1900 and now infosys is ready to make new highs.
5. so I think fundamental of bharti airtel is sound but share move slow and under perform the market for coming 1-3 year not only bharti telecom sector may under performer.
6. please do not play in future and option

CLICK HERE TO READ MY ARTICLE SAI BABA OR SHARE MARKET ABOUT FUTURE AND OPTION
7. Book value of bharti airtel is only 72.50 and in 2001-2002 share traded at 40 only so there are more room to price fall in short term.
8. about your future position convert it in to cash market delivery position and hold for recover your loss ( yes I knew this is very difficult and almost impossible on a margin position but my friend this is only way to success in future and option so F&O is for big player which have capital of more than 10 lac and able to convert there position in cash market )
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Thursday, October 8, 2009

PROVOGUE IND: BUY BACK OFFER

Hi Mahesh,What are your thoughts on Provogue Ind.Please provide me the useful tips.Thanks ask by shri Ravi kiran Samavedula ji
1. provogue ind is a B group company with 2 rupees face value.
2. provogue ind ltd make his year high of 142 at 14 oct 2008
3. promoter of provogue ind hold 41.51 percent share and pledged his 31.58 percent holding so low promoter holding with pledged share is not good sign but FII hold near about 30 percent so this is a FII driven stock.
4.Raesh junjunwala ( known as Indian warren buffet) also hold 19 lacs share of provogue ind in june 2009.
5. provogue ind share june2009 EPS is 0.58 only
6. provogue ind hereby announces the buy-back ("Buy-back") of fully paid-up equity shares of the face value of Rs 2/- each ("Equity Shares") not exceeding 50,00,000 Equity Shares ("Maximum Offer Shares"), from the existing owners of Equity Shares other than those who are promoters, promoter group, directors of promoters, persons in control and persons acting in concert
7.
CLICK HERE TO READ FULL DETAIL OF THIS BUY BACK OFFER
8. book value of provogue ind is 57.81 so share .
9. so overall my view is positive in this company.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Wednesday, October 7, 2009

VEDANT HOTEL: HIGH RISK


I want to knew about vedant hotel- ask by shri nisu katiyar ji by mail

1. Vedant hotel is 1 rupees face value share trading at 5 % upper circuit almost near his year high.
2. Promoter holding is 74.72 percent in vedant hotel with no pledged share is a sound fundamental.
3. The company established a Five Star Hotel (The Vedant ) at Aurangabad in 1995. 4. vedant hotel has 100 rooms and is spread over an area of 1.5 acres in historic Aurangabad city in central Maharashtra known for world famous heritage sites of Ajanta & Ellora.
5. In june09 quarter company net sales is 8 million only and have a net loss 8.23 million is very dangerous situation.
6. book value is vedant hotel is 7.10
7. I think vedant hotel will turn around in profit soon but due to high price (yes price is high if we compare to his face value)of this loss making share I would like to avoid it but high risk profile investor may take a entry for short term for target of 11-13.

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Tuesday, October 6, 2009

LANCOR HOLDINGS HIGH DEBT COMPANY


Hi Mahesh can you please elaborate about the prospectus of lancor holdings. The stock had a free run last month and now it seems to be tracking back. I have an average buy at rs 97 thanks- ask by shri dipankar ji from mail.
1. Lancor holding limited is a construction housing company.
2. Book value of lancor holding is 18.7
3. However, this is a high debt company debt/equity ratio is 4.45 which is very high.
4. Face value of lancor holding is 2 rupees only.
5. Promoter holding is 57.15 percent in lancor holdingI do not like this company due to low face value or high debt

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Monday, October 5, 2009

ANDRA BANK SAFE BUT SLOW LONG TERM INVESTMENT


Hi Mahesh ji can you please give your opinion on andra bank should I sell it now or can I hold it for one year what is target price after one year also suggest me good stocks that are below 100 rupees. - Ask by shri dukkipati satish ji by mail
1. Andra bank is a public sector bank.
2. Face value of andra bank is 10 rupees.
3. Andra bank give 45 percent dividend in last year.
4. P/E of andra bank is 6.6
5. Book value of Andra bank is 75
6. So fundamental of all public sectors bank is good they available on or near his book values and give a good dividend but they all are effected by government policies so market not give him a high valuation at once they grow step by step so if your position is on a decent profit then book some part of it because target for 1 year is uncertain due to change of government policies.
7. If you hold it very long-term means 10-20 year, then they give you more then 15 percent return every year by dividend or price appreciation.
8. In my view public sector bank are safe trading stock’s
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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what different parameters use in my analysis

Hello sir I am a total novice to the market I want to learn it so can you advice on what different parameters and what kind of analysis should be done before making an investment thanks and regards. Ask by shri pawan gangwani
1. First, check book value of share if share traded below his book value and 1X to2X of his book value is a good investment.
2. Then check promoters holding if promoter holding more than 75 percent is very good. More then 50 percent is good more then 25 percent is average less then 25 percent is bad less than 10 percent is very negative.
3. Then check equity capital if share has a low equity capital then it good because I think that if less quantity of share is available in market than price is up fast as per demand and supply concept and a low equity capital company have chance to take over by other company.
4. Than check dividend yield give priority to high dividend paying company.
5. Then check P/E of share a range of 5-15 P/E is normal and good.
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BERGER PAINTS IF AVAILBLE @26-39 A GOOD INVESTMENT


Hello Mahesh please provide the analysis of Berger paints- (respected asker want do not disclose his name on blog).
1. Berger paints is a 2 rupees face value share.
2. Book value of Berger paints is 13 rupees per share.
3. Debt/equity ratio of Berger paints is 0.19 so this is normal debt/equity ratio.
4. P/E of Berger paints is 19 this is some high P/E because more then 15 P/E show that share is some expensive.
5. Promoters hold 73.73 percent and institutional holding is 10.81 percent is a good sign.
6. Equity capital of Berger paints is 63.8 show a normal situation.
7. We think this is a dividend paying company with good fundamental so one can look investment optimality in Berger paints @26-39 for a long term.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
SENT YOUR SHARE QUERY TO mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in FOR A FREE ANALYSIS ON THIS BLOG.

BINANI CEMENTS:EXPANDED HIS CAPICITY


Hello Mahesh please provided the analysis of binani cement- (respected asker want do not disclose his name on blog)

1. Binani cement is a 10 rupees face value share with very high equity capital of 203.1 million (I like less equity capital shares because I think that if less quantity of share is available in market than price is up fast as per demand and supply concept and a low equity capital company have chance to take over by other company.).
2. Book value of binani cement is 23.5
3. Debt/equity ratio of binani cement is 1.63, which is mildly high because in my view less than 1 debt/equity ratio is normal and good.
4. Promoter holding of binani cement is 64.90 percent is good.
5. Finally I leave in pindwara distt sirohi where binani cement plant is situated so I knew personally that company expanded his capacity and also establish a power plant and there are good lime stone availability and good management also.
6. Rajasthan government exposes a huge land tax on company and the company challenged land tax matter in court.
7. Fundamentally company is good and I also want to invest this company but current price is so high so I wait for correction in market.

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Friday, October 2, 2009

MOUNT EVEREST MINARAL WATER:MARKET PRICE IT FOR GOODWILL OF TATA

Dear Mahesh, Tell us about investing in Mount Everest Mineral Regards ask by shri S. N. Kumar ji advocate
1. Mount Everest mineral water ltd is a food processing company.
2. face value of mount Everest mineral is rs 10
3. Promoter holding is 49.43 percent which is normal and institutional holding 18 percent also good this is a tata group company tata tea take 25.74 percent stake in this company in 2007 and current holding of tata tea is 40.11 percent.
4. book value of mount Everest mineral water is 20.9
5. This is a loss making company June 09quarter loss is -5.4 million.
6. Net sell of this company is only 22 million in last year.
7. mineral water sectors is not good because sell of home filter is increasing day by day and I think you know that if home filter or R.O. filter is available at affordable price then purchasing of mineral water is down.
8. But management of tata is strong and current price 63 is only for goodwill of tata if this loss making small selling company is not taking over by tata group then you see it as a penny stock.
9. I think it will take some year (4-5) to increase his sell and make a profit then it may be merge in tata tea.
10. So it is wise to invest tata tea instead of Mount Everest mineral water or you may read my article on madhur industries on this blog or you may take a long term holding in mount everest mineral near the price of 25 if come in next correction.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
SENT YOUR SHARE QUERY TO mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in FOR A FREE ANALYSIS ON THIS BLOG.
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