Tuesday, August 11, 2009

how to get 600 percent retrun from ganesh housing corporation ltd

sir i have purchased ganesh housing 500 share @ 105 rs. how future ofthis stock?-ask shri achin gupta from e-mail

1.ganesh housing corporation ltd is a 10 rupees face value share.
2. Promoters hold 57.49 percent stake in ganesh housing corporation and general public hold 10.73 percent stake FII hold 20.22 percent and mutual fund hold 5.41 percent share so share holding pattern is good and show ganesh housing corporation has good fundamental.
3.EPS of ganesh housing corporation ltd (GHCL) is 32.48 and book value is 127.95 in March 2008.
4. Ganesh housing corporation ltd (GHCL) has also free reserve of 117.95 rupees per share.
5. Debt/equity ratio in GHCL is 0.19 is also good.
6. Fundamental is very strong in this company than why it traded at low price in market? Yes, I have answer…. market is always right…. see it June quarter result below

Year 2009/06 2008/06 Var %
Sales Income 11.25 34.40 -67.29

Gross Profit 2.92 26.45 -88.96

PAT 1.55 25.19 -93.84

I think you understand this company profit down 88 percent in this quarter so price is low and market already discounted its result.
7. Year high and low of ganesh housing corporation ltd is also interesting for you see…..
Yearly High Lows
Year High Low
1996 65.20 20.00
1997 26.75 8.25
1998 11.00 11.00
1999 24.95 9.50
2000 18.00 3.15
2001 4.65 3.75
2002 9.90 2.00
2003 13.59 2.95
2004 43.00 6.94
2005 176.70 32.10
2006 324.10 44.10
2007 714.90 278.00
2008 830.00 47.00
It is quite interesting that a 2 rupees share of 2002 traded at 830 in 2008 . please also note difference of its year high and low in every year is 4-6 time so I think ganesh housing corporation limited is a fundamentally sound stock but it is also driven by speculators and I do not think that 88 percent fluctuations on profit in a year is normal thing.
8. finally my advice for you that track this share for its year low and enter only in year low in such type of stock because if you enter in year low than you are able to make near about 600 percent profit (not surely)in such type of stock but if you enter at year high than you loss more than 80 percent of your money easily ….so wait for year low and if you track its price regularly you easily find it then start accumulating .

Sent your stock questions to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in for free analysis (please read 00 as zero zero)…. we also welcome to your feed back to improve our blog

Sunday, August 9, 2009

mahindra and mahindra share


Respected Sir, I've purchased Mahindra and Mahindra stock 30 for Rs892. Is it the right decision. Should I hold it or should I buy more stock to average it. Please advice. ask by shailsh TM from e mail
1. Mahindra and mahindra is a solid fundamental auto sector company and market leader in auto segment so I think you have invested in good company.
2. But in share market fundamental work only 25 percent and 75 percent is speculation or demand and supply work.
3. So you buy a share when it price is on peak I think you already read my post “http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2009/08/avoid-auto-sector-right-now.html ”
4. And put a vision on its year high low since 1990
Yearly High Lows
Year High Low
1990 130.00 60.00
1991 115.00 57.50
1992 190.00 68.00
1993 300.00 102.50
1994 430.00 270.00
1995 390.00 206.00
1996 398.75 211.00
1997 500.00 276.00
1998 332.00 134.00
1999 462.90 163.50
2000 664.75 163.00
2001 189.40 50.90
2002 140.00 78.75
2003 390.25 94.15
2004 558.00 358.00
2005 730.50 345.00
2006 909.95 488.00
2007 1,002.00 608.00
2008 872.00 235.50

I think you self think that your vision is against normal business skill that buy at low and sell at high.
5. now do not be worry I think market give you a chance soon to left out this share in a small profit or no profit no loss than wait for big fall in auto sectors and try to pick up it a lower price below 650 .
6. we advice only for hold do not think about average in such a small difference average only below 650 if it really came before your exit.
sent your stock questions to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in (read 00 as zero zero) for free analysis

Saturday, August 8, 2009

subscribe recomandation on NHPC IPO



1. National Hydroelectric Power Corporation (NHPC) is a Mini Ratna Category Indian PSU company. NHPC is the largest hydropower generator in India with an operational history of last 28 Years.
2. NHPC has an operational capacity of 5,175 MW as of June 2009.
Another 4,292 MW of capacity is under construction. This is scheduled to
Become operational by 2013.
3. NHPC has plans to achieve 20,000 MW capacities by FY20... In the
Eleventh Five Year plan, NHPC has a scheduled capex of Rs 21,600 crore. This
Is likely to be followed by another Rs 30,000 crore in the Twelfth Five Year
Plan.


5. NHPC has a low debt to equity of 0.7x on the post issue net worth.
6. At the price band of Rs 30- 36, NHPC is valued at 1.7x to 1.9x post issue Book Value.
NHPC is valued at a significant discount to NTPC on Price to BV of 3.0x FY09.
7. So, we recommended our reader to subscribe NHPC IPO for listing gain or long term multiple gain

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

NAV of Reliance Infrastructure Fund


most of investors ask to me that current NAV (price) of Reliance Infrastructure Fund. in this fund i advice investors to invest below 10.

you find latest NAV of Reliance Infrastructure Fund in this link


we still mentain our view and i will remember you in this blog when it price go to below 10

sent your mutual fund realted questions to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in (read 00 as zero zero)

Avoid auto sector right now


We advice our readers that they can not invest there hard earn money in auto stocks like maruti, m&m, hero Honda, bajaj auto ,tata motarand other auto companies. Because:-
1.auto sectors make new highs in last five months you may note that price of maruti go to 500 to 1500 and we recommended mahindra and mahindra on this blog when it price is only 300 and now it is 900. So all the target of auto sectors is achieved and now the time to trap greedy investors.
2.Stock market always makes such type of trap. When a stocks make new highs it is technically very very sound so technical analyst advice investors to great target remember when reliance make new high of 3000 then technical analysts give target of 5000 and most of investors trap for a long long time.
3.If a fall came in auto sectors do not buy these shares because it is market behaviors that if market down a sectors with there peak then it enter in bear cycle for minimum 2 year.
4.So if you already hold auto segment share then hold it with strict stop loss because it is possible that this rally is continue till dec 09.
If you have any stock related quarry then please sent it to
mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in and we will reply you on this blog at free of cost.

Key words:-do not buy maruti share, do not buy mahindra and mahindra share, technical analysis fundamental analysis maruti mahindra and mahindra bajaj auto hero Honda tata motar lml buy or sell advice.

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