I Mahesh Chander Kaushik is an Investor of Indian Share Market.
I am a NISM Certified SEBI Registered Research Analyst My Reg no. INH 100000908
I Share My Research Reports with Other Investors as a Free Service and Hobby.
This Blog Publish Research Reports for 3 Day to 3 month Positional Delivery Buying. ( Not Usefull for F&O and Intra-day Margin Trade)
This Blog Not Give Investment Advice Read Disclaimer Before Follow any of My Stock Idea.
Can you please send me some fundamental analysis books like Wall Street, Financial statements a step by step guide to understanding reports or any other book of your choice. Thanks in advance, Regards, Sahil Mashur Respected Sahil mashur Ji I give you some good book links about fundamental analysis, Here are the links of top 10 ebooks for the stock market. These books are available in public domain so you can download these books here DOWNLOAD BOOK 1 (English)
Please give your analysis on Zuari Global. Can I buy the Stock CMP 83.70. Thanks. B N Narayana ID: 14583
1. Zuari Global
Ltd is a 10 rupee face value Fertilizers company.
2. Year high of Zuari Global Ltd is 119 year low 77 and stock traded at 80.1, Year high/ low
ratio is below 2 so as my theory current market price is a stable price, New readers please see my research terms at
this link
3. Promoters of Zuari Global
Ltd hold 64.96 %FII hold 0.57 % and DII hold 16.53% in Zuari Global
Ltd.Promoters pledged his 10.04% holding, Generally I not
recommended a stock with pledged promoters stake.
4.Zuari Global Ltdhas good dividend
history pay 1 to 2 rupee dividednds in last 4 year.
5. No any bonus
issue right issue and bulk deals is recorded
in last 2 year.
6. Zuari Global
Ltd net sale per share of Fy 14-15 is 14.62.
7. Very low net sale
per share in 2014-15 and last 2 quietersales is only 0.50 and 0.58 cr so I fear
due to huge down in sales this stock may be turn in a penny stock.
8. Book value of Zuari Global Ltd is 219Book value is high
but due to low sales this point is
ignorable.
8. I think this
stock is a clear avoid due to huge fall in sales .
10.Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of
this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM
certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH
ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby
disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of
such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not hold any
share of Zuari Global Ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock.
2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial
ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( Zuari Global Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other
material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research
report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not received any type of compensation from the
subject company(Zuari Global Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an
officer, director or employee of the subject company ( Zuari Global Ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity
for the subject company (Zuari Global Ltd).
What strategy do you follow to exit from any share in case of loss.
In case of profit also what is the right time to exit. With the Base Price and NRPS it is very helpful to buy the share. But it is not very clear when to exit even in your book their is nothing sure written about it when to exit.
Thanks,
Manish
Registration ID - 14581
1. Respected Manish ji
Namaskar
My exit strategy is very simple in case of profits it depend on 3 points
The period of one year is over from my buying ( you may skip this point ) I wait one year because I need tax free long-term capital gains on my investment but if you want to pay flat 15 % income tax on your STT paid short term capital gain then you may book your profit earlier.
I calculate NRPS again and if I found that CMP is cross this NRPS then I think this is the time to book profit for example recently my wife book profit on onmobile global which she buy one year ago @31.65 on basis of this article from me http://www.maheshkaushik.com/2014/09/onmobile-global-ltd-31.html Now if you calculate NRPS then you find it 37.88 only so NRPS is down from 41.43 to 37.88 and CMP of onmobile global is 98.95 so why not she book her 212.63% tax free profit ?
I again calculate base price, let us see above exaple again . Onmobile global base price on my recommendation date is 41.20 so she buy 20% below the base price @ 31.65 but when we calculate current base price then it is 48.93 So why not she book profit when share is traded near 100% up from base price
Hope you understand my exit strategy in case of profit.
Exit Strategy in case of loss:-
1. Promoters holding is reducing more then 1 % for example see this Rei agro example
2. Year high/ low ratio is cross over 2 in down-trend means stock down more then 50 % from his year high then I immediate book loss and follow reverse trading theory which I describe in my book.
I am looking your view about “SEL Manufacturing Company” for long term view.
Regards,
Senthil Kumar Sella
1. SEL Manufacturing Company Ltd is a 10 rupee face value textile company which traded at 3.67
2. Year high of SEL Manufacturing Company Ltd is 5.34 and year low 2.70 so this ratio is below 2 as my rule, That's good. New readers please visit this link for more understanding my research terms
3. Stock of SEL manufacturing show huge bulk deals like
DealDate
Type
Qty
Rate
T/O (Cr.)
13/08/2015
B
2500000
4.52
1.13
13/08/2015
S
2500000
4.52
1.13
12/08/2015
B
2500000
4.59
1.15
12/08/2015
S
2500000
4.59
1.15
11/08/2015
B
2466645
4.21
1.04
So as per my book I dislike bulk deals because I think this is a sign of speculation activity and in 75%+ cases stock price is down after such bulk deals and same happened in this case you see that price of SEL manufacturing is fall after bulk deals.
4.SEL Manufacturing Company Ltd give dividend in 2008 and since last 7 year no dividend. 5. Promoters hold 15.78% stocks and they already pledged his 100% holdings so promoters holding is low and all of promoters stocks are pledged so you self assume that this type of promoters holding is very poor. 6. Net sale per share is 70.19 ( FY 14-15), NSPS is good but this is the not only criteria to pass a stock, Rei agro net sale per share is also good and I published Rei agro recommendation on my penny share blog on basis of this net sale but when I see reducing promoters holding in Rei agro then I immediately warn my investor in this link Avoid Rei Agro ( My wife hold 700 share of Rei agro) 6. So in my view I think you should avoid Sel manufacturing. See my 2011 review of this stock at this link Click here to download last 3 year closing price with graph Sel Manufacturing Company
7.Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not hold any share of SEL Manufacturing Company Ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( SEL Manufacturing Company Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not not received any type of compensation from the subject company(SEL Manufacturing Company Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company( SEL Manufacturing Company Ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company(SEL Manufacturing Company Ltd).
key words:- latest news of sel manufacturing company ltd
1. Aplab Ltd is a 10 rupee face value electric equipment company.
2. Year high of Aplab Ltd is 37.50 year low 22.25 and stock traded at 28.50 , year high/low ratio is below 2 so I think stock is stable at this price, New readers please see my research terms at this link
3. Promoters hold 58.96% FII hold 0 % and DII hold 0.05% in Aplab Ltd. Promoters of Aplab ltd pledged his 2.04% stocks.
4.Aplab Ltd give dividends in 2008 and 2009 but since last 6 year stock not give any dividend.
5. No any bulk deal is recorded in last 2 year.
6. Net sale of Aplab Ltd is down in June 15 if we compare it from march 15.
7. Last year net sale per share is 148.38, that is good. Book value of aplab is 24 that is below CMP.
8. Due to good net sales of Aplab Ltd if you already hold it then you may continue to hold this stock butfresh buying is not recommended by me due to downfall in sales, pledged shares, no dividend etc.
10.Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not hold any share of Aplab Ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( Aplab Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not not received any type of compensation from the subject company(Aplab Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company( Aplab Ltdd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company(Aplab Ltd).
My registration id is 15025
This is my first question in your blog
I just wanted to know, if you have done any research on sector wise where we can check what is the cycle for any particular sector to go up or down that can help us to get the best entry and exit time where we can make the maximum profit with secure investment because I believe in stock market you can not buy everything every time we should try to buy umbrella in December not in rainy season or else it will always be costly that was the thought i wanted to share Looking for you'r guidance
Thanks
Sapan Gupta
ID 15025
Respected Sapan Gupta ji
Your welcome in sharegenius community
Net sale per share/per year is a best criteria to identify cycle of any sector. Read details about net sale per share per year here
For example these days Steel stocks, Banking Stocks, Tea and Sugar stocks not perform well but after 2-3 year cycle you wonder that cycle for Steel, Banks,Tea, Sugar are change.
When you see net sale per share of these under-performing sector stocks then you see net sale per share is higher then CMP in most of case see example here
Company Name
Net sale per share
Price
Rs.
84 FINANCE - BANKS - PRIVATE SECTOR
Axis Bank Ltd.
149.23
481.30
City Union Bank
45.06
93.95
DCB Bank
50.18
128.50
*Dhanlaxmi Bank
72.38
26.45
Federal Bank
43.22
60.45XB
HDFC Bank
192.57
1007.50
ICICI Bank
84.56
267.25
IndusInd Bank
163.69
869.35
Jammu & Kashmir Bank
145.59
92.40
Karnataka Bank
249.23
117.50
Karur Vysya Bank
443.02
444.70
Kotak Mahindra Bank
53.13
629.45XB
Lakshmi Vilas Ba
123.54
75.25
South Indian Ban
39.16
20.45
Standard Chartered P
661.92
73.20
YES Bank Ltd.
276.45
711.45
85 FINANCE - BANKS - PUBLIC SECTOR
Allahabad Bank
345.05
75.30
Andhra Bank
271.55
61.00
Bank of Baroda
193.71
181.10
Bank of India
652.49
132.05
Bank of Maharash
119.12
34.35
Canara Bank
849.18
259.00
Central Bank
159.25
75.75
Corporation Bank
233.50
45.70
Dena Bank
191.82
40.75
IDBI Bank Ltd.
175.52
56.05
Indian Bank
330.06
126.05
Indian Overseas
193.78
33.80
Oriental Bank of
665.81
125.85
Punj. & Sind Ban
214.51
35.65
Punj. NationlBak
249.74
134.30
SBI
201.42
230.15
State Bank Of Bi
1286.43
493.45
State Bank Of My
1445.83
408.15
StateBnkOfTravan
1152.89
400.80
Syndicate Bank
326.46
77.95
UCO Bank
179.98
41.40
Union Bank of In
504.62
165.95
United Bank of I
121.26
20.85
Vijaya Bank
142.87
35.80
86 FINANCE - HOUSING
Akme Star Housing
3.39
37.75
Asya Infosoft
0.00
64.25
Can Fin Homes
306.77
812.20
Coral India Fina
16.00
63.25
*Crest Ventures
48.28
40.65
*Dewan Housing
204.97
222.25XB
GIC Housing Fi
135.62
174.40
GRUH Finance Li
29.16
237.40XB
HDFC
173.75
1174.40
Ind Bank Housing
0.00
6.60
India Home Loan
1.75
41.55
Intl. Housing Financ
0.00
10.85
LIC Housing Fi
211.48
428.75
Mehta Housing Fi
0.00
9.00
Parshwanath Corp
3.23
14.25XB
Repco Home Finance L
110.90
660.50
Sahara Housingfina C
24.29
40.00
SRG Housing Finance
6.19
73.70XB
So what you noted in this example?
You may noted that net sale per share is higher then CMP in case of banking sector but in case or housing finance sector this position is opposite.
4-5 year ago when banking stocks were traded on his all time high then I publish a warning article on this blog, read this warning article here
http://sharegenius.maheshkaushik.com/2011/10/my-special-view-on-banking-sector-banks.html
If anyone interested to get net sale per share, book value data then please visit here
Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) and some of Banking Sectoer Steel sector Tea Sector and Sugar Sector stocks are included in my personal portfolio.
need your view about
"Sudarshan chemical industries ltd"
can it buy at current level.
regards,
Rakesh mewada
1. Sudarshan chemical industries ltd is a 2 rupee face value Speciality Chemicals company which traded at 102.50
2. Year high/low of Sudarshan chemical industries ltd is 133.40/77.10 which is normal.
3. Net sale per share for last year is 157.68 So net sale is below CMP , this is a sign of value buy in my terms new readers please refer " Terms of my research reports".
4. Book value of Sudarshan chemical industries ltd is 40 only.
5. Promoters holding 52.89 % FII holding 3.07% DII holding 0.58 % all are normal.
6. No any bulk /block deals in last 2 year, and Sudarshan chemical industries ltd has a good dividend history.
7. This stock give bonus issue and make a stock price split on 30.09.2014, So this is the reason that why I not recommended this stock on my multi-bagger list at my home page , because as my rule I do not buy or recommended a stock which give a bonus, stock split, right issue in last 2 year. New Readers see this list here
8. Why I wait 2 Year from Bonus Etc ?:- this is my experience that after such type of issue stock is enter in downfall or rest zone and you see same happen with this stock because ex bonus and ex split price of Sudarshan chemical industries ltd is 118.70 at 30.09.2014 and after one year this stock still not able to make a multiple returns.
9. No doubt that Sudarshan chemical industries ltd is a strong fundamental stock and if you already hold it then I think you may continue hold and if you want to buy it on current level then I agree with you but It is advisable to buy in 12 month SIP.
11. Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not hold any share of Sudarshan chemical industries ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( Sudarshan chemical industries ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not not received any type of compensation from the subject company(Sudarshan chemical industries ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company( Sudarshan chemical industries ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company(Sudarshan chemical industries ltd).
