SHAREGENIUS VOLUME 1

Respected readers,
We change our blog pattern now we publish a weekly e- magazine “sharegenius” at every Sunday. In this magazine we included your questions and there answers. Our view, coming dividend bonus or right dates and other information about Indian share market.
Questions –answer segment

Sir, I want to knew about difference of large cap, mid cap, small cap,-ask by shri grithra gopalan ji
It is depend on market capitalization Small Cap market capital is under $1 billion Mid Cap market capital is $1 - $10 billion and Large Cap $10 billion plus.
When total number of share of a company is multiply with his market price we find market cap of company.
J P hydro power (ask by shri ashish chouhan):- jai prakash hydro power is a 10 rupees face value share. Book value of JP hydro is 23.5 and promoter holding is 63.34 percent. But this is a high debt company total debt is 741.2 cr. And promoters pledged his 94.86 percent shares against debt so I can not like this company.

RMedia world :-( ask by muktapuram jayprada ji):-reliance media world (bse code 533143 remember reliance media works is an other company we not discuss about reliance media works) Face value of this share is 5 rupees and book value is 7.27 only. So current price is 12 time high compare to book value. I think this is an end of speculation run so I think it is good to get out from this share as soon as possible but this is my personal view read disclaimer before take any action.

Marg construction (ask by shri Ravi nagda) marg ltd is a 10 rupees face value share. Book value of marg ltd is 127.6 and promoter holding is 51.89 percent. But this is a high debt company total debt is 373.7 cr. And promoters pledged his 38.82 percent shares against debt so I can not like this company.

Grasim (ask by kiran vincy) gracim industries is a 10 rupees face value share. Book value of gracim is 1033.5 and promoter holding is 73.5 percent. This is a good fundamental company and we like this company but current price is high so systematic investment on every fall for long term is good policy


Silverline (ask by kiran vincy):- this is a former fancy speculative share of market. Fundamental of this share is not good promoter hold only 0.01 percent and 99.99 percent share hold by general public like you and me. This share is in rest period. so if you hold these share wait for next speculative bull run but your wait may long as 2-3 year ( discloser:- I hold 100 share of silverline industries)

15 year investment plan for girl child: - shri Rajesh Sharma ask me that he have twin girl child and he want to invest 60000 for there future.
Rajesh ji equity is always risky so please do not invest your girl child future capital in equity. I give you example suppose after 10 year something is wrong happen in Indian politics and market crash badly for next 5-7 year. In this situation you got nothing from equity.


So I suggest you 2 PPF account in name of your twin Childs in PPF you got 8 percent sure return and income tax rebate on contribution also. I think PPF is best plan for your girl child future.
I have 2 girl child also and I already open there PPF account and only my spare money which I am able to lost invest in market.

IN mutual fund, direct equity or ETF which is best:-(ask by shravan kumar)- respected kumar ji this is sure that ETF is best ETF means nifty BEE. Because in mutual fund you pay fund management fee but in ETF you pay only brokerage and nifty BEE hold 50 top Indian company and in nifty specialist automatic change companies. And in nifty historically 15 percent growth is shown but in direct equity it is not sure.

Best share in power sector (ask by shri Rajeev denial):- I think in current situation reliance power is best for long term investment. Promoter holding of r power is 84.77 percent and book value is 57.5 and best thing is “ r power is a zero debt power company” so in coming years it is easily give you multiple retruns.

-:Record date segment :-

1. web solar energy fix 30 december 2009 for 1:1 bonus issue
2. lanco infratech fix 5 january 2010 for stock spilt from 10 repees face value to 1 rupees.
-: bullish view segment:-

In my 15 December volume I give you my three bullish view as below
Cox king buy @ 415 targets 450 (risk level high)ABG shipyard buy 190 target 220 (risk level medium)Orchid chemical buy @216 target 240 (risk level low)
In these bullish view orchid chemical achive his target (239)in 16 dec 2009 and cox king achive 450 .
Now I bullish in sasken communication I not give you target but I think this share may touch 220-240 in coming trading sessons ( I hold 10 share of sasken communication so my personal intrest is included in this share)
This analysis is my view only not a professional advice read disclaimer before take any action.
Unfortunately I am not a specialist of share market I am only an investor like you but due to regards of our regular readers demand I share some of my bullish view with you but remember these are not tips. Please check my bullish view on your criteria or consult with registered adviser before investing because I may be wrong.

SENT YOUR QUESTIONS AND SUGGESTIONS FOR NEXT VOLUME TO mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in

INFOMEIDIA 18 GOOD FOR LONG TERM

Hi kaushik views on infomedia18 requested.
Ask by shri dhir gps
Respected dhir ji
1.infomedia 18 is a 10 rupees face value share make his year high 130.05 at 5 June 09 currently traded at 46.55 due to ex right issue.
2.Promoter holding in infomedia 18 is 43.32 percent is good and FII hold 9.22 percent share.
3.The great Indian investor jhunjhunwala family holds 7.57 percent quantity in infomedia 18 as information available at BSE site. So this is a good sign.
4.Currently this is a loss making company so when turn around happen it give you multiple return.
5.I think one can slowly accumulated these shares of infomedia 18 at every down fall for a view of 2-3 years it can give 4-5 times return.

This analysis is my view only not a professional advice read disclaimer before take any action.

Pending analysis (share queries in queue to publish this blog):- difference between small cap, mid cap or large cap, jp hydro power, Rmedia wrld, 15 year investment plan for girl child, marg construction, in mutual fund , ETF, direct equity which is best? grasim, silverline industries.
Want to add your share in queue for analysis? - mail your complete question to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in we also welcome your suggestion about increase quality of this blog.

ALOK INDUSTRIES: VALUE BUYING

Sir,
I have shares of alok textile, firstsolution, jp hydro.
so I want your suggestion on these three stocks as for long term view 6 month to 1 year.
ashish chauhan
1. promoters shareholding in alok textile is 36.69 percent but promoter pledged his 94.50 percent holding means very poor fundamental because of high debt and highly pledged promoter shareholding.
2. Alok textile is a B group company with 10 rupees face value.
3. company net profit is increase in sept 2009 quarter but due to high equity capital EPS of share is down and remain 1.40 only in sept 2009 quarter.
4. in march 2009 company net EPS is 9.99 but currently company is increase his equity capital near about 3 times through right issue so I think EPS of current year may be down due to equity dilution.
5. Debt/equity ratio is 3.69 for alok industries.
6. Book value of alok industries is 35.47 and this is a dividend paying company.
5.Overall my view is slightly negative for this company due to high debt or huge equity capital but high book value and continue dividend paying make it value buying.
6. I think arvind ltd is better long term choice compare to alok industries. but you may also hold this share because in my view if textile is became a market fancy sector this share is give you a multiple return
Discloser: _ I hold 1263 share of arvind ltd so my personal interest is in textile sector or arvind ltd.
This analysis is my view only not a professional advice read disclaimer before take any action.
Pending analysis (share queries in queue to publish this blog):- infomedia18 difference between small cap, mid cap or large cap, jp hydro power, Rmedia wrld, 15 year investment plan for girl child, marg construction, in mutual fund , ETF, direct equity which is best?

Want to add your share in queue for analysis? - mail your complete question to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in we also welcome your suggestion about increase quality of this blog.

INFORMATION ABOUT INDICES

Respected sir
Please tell me about BSE 100 BSE 200 sensex dollex bankex etc.
ask by shri Girithara gopalan.G
Respected gopalan ji
I give you a bse site link to download complete constituents of various indices component with free flot percentage
click here to download BSE indices constituents
after download this exel file in the bottem of file you see various sheets for various indices.
Pending analysis (share queries in queue to publish this blog):- alok textile, infomedia18 difference between small cap, mid cap or large cap, jp hydro power, Rmedia wrld, 15 year investment plan for girl child
Want to add your share in queue for analysis? - mail your complete question to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in we also welcome your suggestion about increase quality of this blog.

SOME SHORT TERM BULLISH SHARES VIEW

Some of my reader complain me that why I not give direct share tips for him. Unfortunately I am not a specialist of share market I am only an investor like you but due to regards of our regular readers demand I share some of my bullish view with you but remember these are not tips. Please check my bullish view on your criteria or consult with registered adviser before investing because I may be wrong.
Cox king buy @ 415 targets 450 (risk level high)
ABG shipyard buy 190 target 220 (risk level medium)
Orchid chemical buy @216 target 240 (risk level low)
I think these share are in bullish trends and may achieve target in 1-30 days please put your affordable or comfort stop loss.
This analysis is my view only not a professional advice read disclaimer before take any action.
Pending analysis (share queries in queue to publish this blog):- information about various index like benkex etc., alok textile, infomedia18 difference between small cap, mid cap or large cap, jp hydro power, Rmedia wrld, 15 year investment plan for girl child
Want to add your share in queue for analysis? - mail your complete question to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in we also welcome your suggestion about increase quality of this blog.

DECCAN GOLD MINES LTD : PRICE FOR FUTURE EXPECTATIONS

What’s your opinion and how do you value the Deccan gold mines ltd stock in the long term? Ask by shri jignesh shah
1.Deccan gold mines ltd net sells is 0 in first half year of 2009-10 I think price of share is pure future expectations and rumor basis.
2.DGML is first private sector gold exploration listed company in India but financially company is not doing better.
3.Promoters holding in Deccan gold mines ltd are 50 percent and all of promoters are foreign promoters.
4.Face value of deccan gold mines ltd share is rs 1 only and generally I not like 1 rupees face value share
5.DGML share is not a value buying because book value of Deccan gold mines ltd share is 2.51 so current prices is 15 time high compare to book value.
6.deccan gold mines ltd is a loss making company
7.overall I not like this company as a value buying or long term investment
This analysis is my view only not a professional advice read disclaimer before take any action.
Pending analysis (share queries in queue to publish this blog):- sanraa media, information about various index like benkex etc., alok textile, infomedia18 difference between small cap, mid cap or large cap, jp hydro power
Want to add your share in queue for analysis? - mail your complete question to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in we also welcome your suggestion about increase quality of this blog.

FIRST SOURCE SOLUTIONS TRADING MOVE ABOVE 34 EXPECTED

sir,
i have shares of firstsolution
so i want your suggestion on this stock as for long term view 6 month to 1 year.
ask by shri ashish chauhan

1. Icici bank is promoters of first source solutions limited and icici bank hold 24.77 percent stake in FSL ltd. The promoters holding is quite low than normal.

2. But 45.88 percent share of FSL hold by foreign corporate bodies name Aranda Investments Mauritius Pte Ltd, Metavante Investments Mautitius Ltd and Seacrest Investment Ltd so I think this is a good sign for a trading run in upcoming bull market.

3. Fsl have net profit of 382.87 million in June 09and 292.44 in sept 09 in first half year EPS of company is 1.57 means good if we compare last year EPS of 2.02.

4. First source debt/equity ratio on March 09 is 1.42 normal debt company.
5. this company share IPO price is 64 so I expected that if a speculation made in FSL share go for more then 64 and I think near about 80 is some resistance.
6. rumors also say that company plan to listed his share in international markets.

7.EPS (TTM) of FSL is 2.02 and P/E is 18.19 Book Value of this share is 22.02 overall my view is possitive for 1 year.

This analysis is my view only not a professional advice read disclaimer before take any action.

Pending analysis (share queries in queue to publish this blog):- Deccan gold mines. information about various index like benkex etc, alok textile, difference between small cap, mid cap or large cap, jp hydro power.
Want to add your share in queue for analysis? - mail your complete question to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in we also welcome your suggestion about increase quality of this blog.

PRAJ INDUSTRIES: GOOD BUT NOT A VALUE BUYING

What’s your opinion and how do you value the Praj industries stock in the long term? ask by shri jignesh shah
1.praj industries is a Construction & Engineering company.
2.Promoters holding in praj industries are 22.91 percent and FII hold 8.73 percent mutual funs hold 11 percent so this situation is good such type share lead in both situation (market fall and rally) means high beta stocks.
3. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala hold 11,678,624 share of praj industries company as per information on BSE site and Rekha Jhunjhunwala hold 4,048,000 share in praj industries so this is a good sign for investing in this company because mr. jhunjhunwala known as Indian warren buffet.
4. Debt/equity ratio in praj industries (PRAJ INDUSTRIES) is 0.03 means LOW debt company.
5.Face value of praj industries is rs 2 and this share belong to BSE group A shares.
6.but share is not a value buying because book value of PRAJ INDUSTRIES share is 24.05 so current price is 4 time high compare to book value.
7.P/E of praj industries is 12.54
8.overall I think company is good for long term investment but due to 4 time price/book value ratio it is better to wait for a entry in range of 40-60.
This analysis is my view only not a professional advice read disclaimer before take any action.
Pending analysis (share queries in queue to publish this blog):- Deccan gold mines. How to trade in option (call or put), information about various index like benkex etc., difference between small cap, mid cap or large cap, alok textile, jp hydro power, first source solution.
Want to add your share in queue for analysis? - mail your complete question to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in we also welcome your suggestion about increase quality of this blog.

AUSTRAL COKE AND PROJECTS LTD (ACPL): HIGH RISK HIGH RETRUN

Kindly suggest if I should buy XL Telecom and Austral Projects at current levels please. I am not sure about fundamentals of this company.
XL Telecom -- CMP @ 29 ( Continuously hitting lower circuits )
Austral coke and Projects - CMP @ 10 (Continuously hitting lower circuits ) -ASK BY SHRI KUMAR VINAY JI

1.Promoters holding in austral coke are 65.91 percent is good.
2.Debt/equity ratio in austral coke (ACPL) is 0.67 means normal debt company.
Face value of austral coke is rs 1 only so not think that current price 8.65 is below face value.
3.but share is not bad (generally I not like 1 rupees face value share ) because book value of ACPL share is 11.5
4.Austral coke manufacturing low ash metallurgical coke and refractory.This company have also textile trading business and rental business of earth moving and construction machinery so good diversifications.
5.Current capacity of ACPL is 375000 mt per year.
6.Pricing of LAM coke is also upward and china stops his coke export so company share is good for long term.
7.austral coke is banned by sebi for rising further fund due to income tax ofr other financial fraud news for company is a great negative point
8.ACPL is recently cool down after a speculation rally due to above sebi ban so rest period for next bull run in austral coke and projects is may be 3-5 year or may be dilisted also

9.so only high risk profile investore who able to lost his money is play in this share for a forgetting period of minimum 3 year. But high risk give always high retrun.

click here to read my former article about XL telecome

This analysis is my view only not a professional advice read disclaimer before take any action.
Pending analysis (share queries in queue to publish this blog):- praj industries, Deccan gold mines.
Want to add your share in queue for analysis? - mail your complete question to mckaushik00@yahoo.co.in we also welcome your suggestion about increase quality of this blog.

What are the factors that make "WELL PACK PAPERS AND CONTAINERS" for attaining such a drastic growth?

Sir, I don find any other way to post my question in Ur blog.....What are the factors that make "WELL PACK PAPERS AND CONTAINERS" for attaining such a drastic growth? How to spot such types of stocks?Thanking you sirNeo
1.well pack papers and containers have total number of shares are 4435320 and promoter hold 1962350 general public hold 2472670
2.When total number of share is very low means low equity capital and then it is easy to make a speculative rally by bull operators these bull operators hold a large quantity of market free float and make an artificial news base demand in market.
3.Due to this news base demand and investors mentality to invest in a fast rise stock theory of “demand supply” is work and price is easily go in multiple.
4.and about your question that where to spot such type of stocks , it is easy I find some of low equity stock in my blog
Singer India
Kmf builders
Madhur industries
Or you may analysis T group stock with low equity.
5.But such type of stock spent 3-10 year in a silent phase and only 10 percent stock is able to get multiple so what is good policy?
6.I knew a good policy then you can invest only 1000 in each of such kind stock and forget it when it double book your principle amount of 1000 and hold free stock as long as you like.
THIS IS MAHESH KAUSHIK VIEW ONLY NOT A PROFESIONAL ADVICE TO BUY SELL OR HOLD. PLEASE READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

HOW TO TRADED NIFTY ON DELIVERY BASIS

Dear sir mai hindi mai jankari chahta hu ki stock market mai stock kitarah nifty ko kharid bechkar kaise paise kamaye jate hai.aur iskeliye account mai minimum kitna balance hona chahiye.?pls example dekarclear kariyega. thanks-ask by shri achin gupta

Nifty ETF is an exchange traded fund and it unit traded like a share on NSE. You can buy nifty ETF and hold there unit in your D MAT like a share. There are also some gold ETF available on NSE
CLICK HERE TO READ A LIST OF ETFs WITH CURRENT PRICES
Please find your reply in Hindi on following link
CLICK HERE TO READ A FULL ARTICLE IN HINDI ABOUT ETF

Tags: - nifbee nifty ETF delivery base nifty

MULTI BAGGER PENNY SHARE :KMF BUILDERS AND DEVOLEPERS

1. kmf builders and developers is a real estate company in BSE group T code 531758 with face value of 10.
2. book value of this share is 12.10
3. currently traded below his face value at 8.25 only
4. year high of this share is 11 and year low 7.61
5. promoter holding in this share is 54.38 percent.
6. company reported net operating income after a time of 3 year .
7. visit company website at http://www.kmfbuilders.com/
8. The company has constructed some of the most graceful deluxe residential apartments in Bangalore- Golf manor (MG Road), The Royal Manor (Near Airport) and his coming project is Purab Manor (White field).
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

SIRPUR GOLD END OF SPECULATION STORY

Hi, I have bought 245 share of Shirpur Gold @190.00 CMP of the same is Rs.172.00. can you please tell me about the future of this company. I could hold this share for a year. Thanks, Zainuddin Y. Bookwala
1. sirpur gold is a loss making share of T group. Net loss is -43.87 million in June 2009 quarter
2. Year low of shirpur gold is 36.05 at 4 dec 2008.
3. Promoters increase there holding in shirpur gold ltd from 29.21 percent to 48.91 percent.
4. FII hold 30.46 percent in this share.
5. Book value of shirpur gold is very poor only 5.49 rupees.
6. Company net sells is zero market price is only due to factoring it reserve per share.
7. We think this is a very poor T group company with very low book value make a rally only base of speculation or FII driven rally no fundamental support this share.
8. Do not consider reserve per share if loss is continuing this has been adjusted one day by loss.
9. Sorry sir I have great negative view about this share and think more downside remains.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

UFLEX LTD HIGH DEBT COMPANY

Dear Kaushik Sir,
Please give your views on UFlex. It seems to have high earnings and very low valuation despite good dividend record. Am I missing some thing?
Ask by shri Shankar
1. Uflex ltd is a plastic packing material company.
2. Uflex ltd a 10 rupees face value share.
3. Uflex ltd book value is 114.2 so current price is below book value.
4. P/E valuation of this company is very low near about 6.
5. Yes you are definitely missing something debt/equity ratio is this company is high 2.13 means this is a high debt company and market not like high debt companies.

Stock net international ltd: multi bagger penny stock

1. stock net international ltd is a information technology software Indian company listed at BSE in T group BSE code of this share is 512640
2. this share have face value of 10 rupees and currently traded at 1.71 , year low and year high of stock net international ltd is 2.27 and 0.62
3. In 30 Oct 2009 this stock have 100 percent delivery buying and have a bulk deal of 56650 shares by BHAVISHA RAJANBHAI PATEL.
4. Promoter holding in stock net international ltd is 0.03 percent only ,very poor but low promoter holding is common in penny stock.
5. book value of stock net international is 17.28
6. Company has only 55, 00,350 share so company is an easy take over target.
7. Remember this is a very risky speculative stock and you may lose all of your money in this share. so make more research before investing
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

Key words :_ latest penny stock mutibagger multibagger peny recomandation buy sell hold

TIME TO MAKE A SIP IN BHARTI AND R COM

This is time to make a SIP in bharti airtel and reliance communications. Because telecom sectors is in a consolidation phase. And if any one collects 10 -10 share of bharti and rel com per month for at least 2 year he may get good returns after 2 year.
Remember auto sectors underperforms in 2006 to 2008 and analysts on TV say they never perform but maruti go 1600 from range of 400-700 and M&M go 900 from range of 300-500 in this time these same analysts say that auto sectors is good auto companies result is good , auto sectors is very good long term investment . but I warn all of my readers that avoid auto sectors strictly and consider telecom as long term investment.
Same story is all ready happen in sugar or IT sectors. please give yur openion on my view?

EASTERN SILK INDUSTRIES:

I had query regarding EASTERN SILK INDUSTRIES
the book value of Rs49 and i could not find out the P.E ratio of the stock what is ur recommendation on this stock.
Regards ask by shri Deepak
Eastern silk industries give 0.20 rupees per share dividend in this year.
Eastern silk face value is rs 2 only.
Book value of this share is 49.56
March 2009 EPS of this company is 2.29 so if we divided current price 13.45 of eastern silk with 2.29 we find P/E of 5.87.
Promoter holding in eastern silk is 47.40 percent is good sign with no pledged share
CLICK HERE FOR DOWNLOD EASTREN SILK SEPT 2009 RESULT
In my view this is a good dividend paying company. Low debt, high book value but low face value. BUT IN HALF YEAR ENDED SEPT 2009 EARNINGS OF THIS COMPANY IS DOWN. so this is a nagative point for us.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

WHICH IT COMPANY IS BEST IN IFOSYS, TCS OR WIPRO

Mahesh Ji, I recently started following your Blog.I am not a regular trader but doing it for investment purpose.I am holding Infosys@2100 for last 2 years.I want to know you opinion regrading Infosys.I want to do some investment keeping 1-2 year on view ,Please suggest me some multibagger stock that can give me good return.Thanks & Regards Amarendra Bhaskar
1. INFOSYS face value is 5 rupees, TCS face value is 1 rupees and WIPRO face value is 2 rupees so I think you understand that INFOSYS have chance to stock spilt and we like high face value share so in this point of view INFOSYS got first place. 1. If this spilt, happen it may give a psychological effect on investors and we see a pre spilt rally in this share as usual. My regular reader knew that I always like share with rs 10 or 5 rupees face value and dislike 1 or 2 rupees face value share because if stock declare spilt usually we see a pre spilt rally.
2. INFOSYS total equity capital is 286.5 million, TCS total equity capital is 195.7 million and WIPRO total equity capital is 293.1 million. We like less equity capital because they have chance to further bonus and right issues so in this term TCS got first place.
3. Book value of infosys share is 310.8 and TCS book value is 68.2 and wipro book value is 85.4 so in this point INFOSYS is again winner. do not worry about low book value compaire to price of infosys because valuation of IT company is decided by his net profit and all other IT company have also a low book value (in IT sectors I find SASKEN COMMUNICATION is a good IT company which traded at 150 below his book value166 so this may be change in multibagger in coming years).
4. In net profit term of FY 08-09, infosys have 5819 million and TCS net profit is 4696.2 million or wipro have 2973.8 million so INFOSYS is again winner in net profit term.
5. Only INFOSYS is a zero debt company in above three.
6. P/E of TCS share is 24 INFOSYS is 21.5 and wipro is 28 so in P/E term we find INFOSYS at a better valuation.
7. So overall if we compare above 3 largest IT company we found INFOSYS is first TCS is second and WIPRO is third choice and my discloser is that I have personally hold 6 share of INFOSYS so my personal interest is included in this company so please read this analysis in this prospective.
8. If one could want to long term investment in an IT counter then sasken communication tech is a 10 rupees face value share with low equity capital of 27.1 million and book value of 166.9, zero debt, net profit 25.7 million traded at P/E 16 may consider as long term IT share investment if market down and one could catch it below 100. (my discloser is that I have personally hold 10 share of sasken comunication so my personal interest is included in this company so please read this analysis in this prospective)

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

Sarup tanneries ltd (BSE code 514412)

Dear Kaushik Sir,
Do you have any view on this stock Sarup Tanneries.They have high book value and dividend paying.
They also had started some real estate development with MGF
Regards ask by shri Sankar kumar
1. Sarup tanneries ltd (BSE code 514412) is a Leather Footwear company related to BSE group S shares.
2. This share is very low volume share near about less then 2000 share traded per day.
3. Promoters holding in sarup tanneries ltd are 74.36 percent is good because we like more than 60 percent promoter holding.
4. Book value of sarup tanneries ltd is 73.22 so currently share traded below his book value.
5. Sarup tanneries ltd have a net loss of -4.96 million in June 2009 quarter.
6. This share give 12 percent dividend per year since 2005 and I think downside is limited in this type of stock. Year low of this share is 21
7. Debt /equity ratio is 0.44, normal not very high.
8. This is not very attractive stock for me but quite good share for holding not for trading.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

LONG TERM PICKS FOR FORGATING IT 7-8 YEAR AFTER INVESTMENT

Hello Sir,
I like to invest for long term (5-7 years). I am new and do not understand the market much, cannot go for daily/weekly trading.
So I ma looking for some good stocks which wont sink much, and have good future, along with regaler dividend, I think such a stock is Karnataka Bank. Please correct me if I am wrong about Karnataka Bank.
I like to know some more stocks and their price brand to add my portfolio. I can be invested for 5-8 years time frame. ask by shri Anil B.
I agree with you if you really hold karnatka bank in view of 7-8 year
Some of good picks for you
1. MTNL
2. SCI
3. ARVIND LTD ( high risk but may be change in multibagger )
4. KOLTE PATIL DEVLEPERS
5. PUNJ LLOYED
6. ROLTA
7. SASKEN COMUNICATION
8. SINGER INDIA( high risk but may be change in multi bagger)
9. REL COMUNICATION
10. DABUR

CHEMPLAST SANMAR VERY HIGH DEBT COMPANY

Hi Mahesh,
Can you please tell about chemplast sanmar share.iBought it for 13 RS.Now its dropping .Is it good to hold for long term? ask by shri balaji sivabalan
1. Chemplast sanmar is Petrochemicals Company.
2. Face value of chemplast sanmar is only rs 1.
3. this share make his year high 14.89 in 1 oct 2009 year low of chemplast sanmar is 3.20
4. Book value of chemplast sanmar is 4.30 only.
5. Company has 1244.5 million debts and debt/equity ratio is 6.67 very very high.
6. Promoter holding is 75 percent is only one good factor in this company that I found but due to high debt of this company this good factor is avoidable.
7. So I do not like to invest in this low face value high debt share. and not think that this is a good pick to hold long term
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.

MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS :AVAILABLE AT 1/5 OF BOOK VALUE

Hi Sir,
Pls let me know Ur MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS - ...Is it a hidden Gem..Pls let me know it sir.

Thanks
ASLAM
SAUDI ARABIA
1. MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS face value is rs 10.
2. MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS promoter holding 50.94 percent share but they pledged his 60.75 percent quantity, pledged share of promoter is a negative sign.
3. MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS make a net loss of -53.46 million in June 2009 quarter
4. MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS give rs 0.60 dividend per share in this year . I wonder company is raising his power of take loan and already have some debt on company even if promoter pledged there share but company gives dividend why ?
5. MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS book value is 152.67 is a good sign because current price 33.70 is just 1/5 of book value very rare case we see that share available such type of discount.
6. I think overall MURUDESHWAR CERAMICS is a good company working since 1983 but current time a negative in view of profit and debt but if any body accumulates small quantity in every fall like a SIP .
7. this is a mix story of positive (great book value and track record of last 25 year, dividend paying company) and negative ( pledged share, rising debt, current loss)sign so make your own decision on the basis of above analysis .
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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MUDRA LIFESTYLE VALUE PICK

Dear Friend,
PLS let me know the future prospects of
Mudra Lifestyle Limited
BSE code :532820
Thanks
Kiran.
Washington D.C
U.S.A.

1. Mudra life style currently traded at 38.70 share touch his 52 week high 41.70 at 15.10.2009 so share is technically sound all time high of this share is 114.90 and all time low 10.60
2. June 2009 quarter EPS of share is very low 0.05 only
3. Promoter holding 54.49 percent is good.
4. Book value of mudra life style is 49.08 book value of this share is continuing rising since last 4 year.
5. debt/equity ratio is 1.41 is quite high but not very high, normal
6. This is a value pick traded below his book value due to low EPS but when profitability of company raises it may perform better.
7. net sell of company is increasing continue year by year since 2005
8. my view is positive for long term in this company

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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ARCHIES LTD GOOD BUT UNDERPERFORMER

Hi Mahesh Kaushik,
Went through your blog which is amazingly simple and straight with good analysis.
It’s rare to find blogs like yours. Awesome work. KEEP IT UP.
My query is about Archies ( the greeting card and Gift Company)
Hallmark is out of business. And now Archies has monopoly. Mind you that this person sells other brand articles (Expression cards) and not that of Archies. So I studied their fundamental.
It’s below book value, good promoters holding, Brand name,
But what disturbed me that - Last yr. company made 8 Cr. of profit, but this yr. it had 1Cr. of loss. Pure economic recession can’t be the reason for this. And stock is coming down from 2-3 months, when sensex is going up.
So my query is can it become a multi-bagger from CMP?
With regards,
Vikas
1. archies ltd is a BSE group T share of 10 rupees face value.
2. you are right that promoter holding in archies ltd is 62.35 percent with no pledged share is good.
3. but your resulet information is wrong archies have 10.87 million net loss in FY 08-09 but in june 2009 company made net profit of 8.76 million (remember 1 million is equal to 10 lac not 1 cr) CLICK HERE TO SEE FULL RESULET OF ARCHIES.
4. archies have total 6756000 share but net sell of company is 1391.93 million means per share sell is 206 rupees is a good sign in warren buffet principle if per share sell is high compare to market price is good.
5. book value of archies is 117.93
6. i think current price of 80-90 is a good accumulating price for it but as you knew this is a speculative stock of T group this share is underperformer of current rally normally underperformer share will perform after 2-3 year so accumulate small quantity in every fall for 2-3 year view is good but I do not more optimistic about multi bagger story and do not like this share because card is replaced by SMS.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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Tera software ltd :hold

Hello Sir,I came across your blog it is very interesting to see your unbiased analysis. Can you please let me know your views about Tera software and its future prospects on cmp?Regards Chithra

1.Tera software ltd give 2 per share rupees dividend ex-dividend date is 10.09.2009.
2.Promoters hold 38.68 percent share in terasoft and FII hold 5.35 percent and remaining share hold by general public so public share holding is a quite large but this is not so bad.
3.Terasoft make a profit 25.14 cr in June 09 quarter and company continue cut his costs and a downfall see in there expenditure in last 4 quarter.
4.Terasoft touch his fifty two week high at 50 in 24 Aug 2009 so share traded near about his year high.
5.I think this is a dividend paying growing software company and in Indian software sector a speculation is expected .

6.If you really a long term investor then wait for 2-3 year because such type of company that promoters holding is below 40 percent is a good buying target for large cap IT and if this happen you see a speculative high price with decent return for you.

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VAKRANGEE SOFTWARE MAY GIVE DECENT RETURN

hello sir,
Can u please give me Ur opinion on vakrangee software? Ask by shri "Dukkipati satish ji
Vakrangee software is a 10 rupees face value share.
Book value of vakrangee software is 128.7 currently traded 70.75 below his book value are good.
Promoter holding of vacrangee software is 19.12 percent is a low promoter holding but FII hold 15.37 percent and promoter increase there holding till dec 2008 to June 2009 so increase in promoter holding a good sign.
This is company traded at P/E of 35 some high valuation due to aspect increase in profit.
Debt/equity ratio of this company is 0.01 very low debt is a good sign.
we like this share because such type of promoter holding situation some time make a acquisitions story if some one try to acquire this company and promoter try to increase his holding may give some decent return to investor and share available below his book value also good so in fundamental view this is a buy

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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GOOD LUCK STEEL LTD NOT VERY ATTARACTIVE

Dear Sir:-
Pls let me know Ur opinion about GOOD LUCK BSE CODE- 530655

Sincerely
VIMALA
PERUMATHURA
KERALA
GOOD LUCK STEEEL TUBES LTD is a 2 rupees face value share stock is spilt at 19.06.2009
This share give continue dividend in 2007 rs 3 per share 2008rs 3 per share and 2009 rs 0.30 per share. So this is a dividend paying company.
Promoter holding of good luck steel tubes is 68.69 percent in September 09 . is a good sign
book value of good luck steel is 19.96 share currently traded at 35
In FY 08-09 EPS of 10 rupees face value share is 33.88 and June 09 quarter EPS for 2 rupees face value share is 2.55 .
Debt/equity ratio of this company in March 2008 is 3 this debt equity ratio show this is a very high debt company unfortunately we did not found current debt/equity ratio.
so this company is not very attractive because high debt, low face value and low EPS

THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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KOLTE PATIL GOOD LONG TERM PICK

Kindly suggest if we should invest in Kolte Patil developers. Best Regards,

Vinay Kumar
Team Lead - Operations

1. Kolte patil developer is a real estate company. with low equity capital of 75 million
2. Face value of kolte patil is 10 rupees.
3. Promoters holding in kolte patil are 74.63 percent is good because we like more than 60 percent promoter holding.
4. Book value of kolte patil developer is 85.7 so currently share traded below his book value.
5. P/E of kolte patil is 5.6 so share traded at low P/E
6. So I like it in long term view this share give 10 percent dividend this year.
7. My discloser that I personally hold 25 share of kolte patil developers.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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ABM KNOWLEDWARE READY TO MOVE

Dear Boss Could analysis the future prospects of ABM KNOWLEDEWARE. One of my friend Siyad recommends this as future EDUCOMP. pls. analysis

from
MOHAN THOMAS
DUBAI
1. ABM KNOWLEDEWARE is a 10 rupees face value share.
2. Book value of ABM KNOWLEDEWARE is 20.19.
3. Promoter holding of ABM KNOWLEDEWARE is 60.02 percent with no percent pledged share is good sign.
4. June 09 quarter EPS of ABM KNOWLEDEWARE is 1.10 (June 08 EPS is 0.68) is a good sign.
5. ABM KNOWLEDEWARE gives 10 percent dividend in this year.
6. I agree with your friend because only 14, 08,687 share of ABM KNOWLEDEWARE is hold by individuals in June 09 and if demand is high and no supply is there in such type of low individuals holding share than price is easily go in multiple but be cautious that you traded at 5 time of year low and 2.5 time of book value.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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MPS LTD GOOD COMPANY BUT POOR RESULET OF JUNE 09

Dear Mahesh,
Kindly analyze Macmillan India (new name MPS ltd). I hold 3k shares @65 average
Thanks
Ask by shri Shankar
1. Macmillan India (new name MPS ltd) is a 10rupees face value share.
2. Book value of Macmillan India (new name MPS ltd) is 61.4 near about your buying price.
3. Promoter holding of Macmillan India (new name MPS ltd) is 61.46 percent with no percent pledged share is good sign.
4. This is a zero debt company is a good sign.
5. but June 09 quarter EPS of MPS ltd is down and 0.7 only (June 08 EPS is 4.11) is a negative sign.
6. I think you may book partial profit in this share and see sept quarter result for further decision.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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ANU LAB : END OF SPILT AND BONUS STORY

Sir, I want to know the future aspect of anu lab.
I will be thankful to you if u put some light on it.
Thanking you sir. ask by shri ashish
1. Anu lab is a 1 rupees face value share. Low face value is a bad sign.
2. Book value of anu lab is 4.6 only very low book value.
3. Promoter holding of anu lab is 50.29 percent with 0.87 percent pledged share is normal sign.
4. This share is spilt at 11.05.2009 and ex bonus at 27.05.2009 we believe that after spilt and bonus a share enter in a rest zone for 1-3 year.
5. so I think rs 4-5 is good buying price for this share so do not hurry up ,wait for some time.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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PUNJ LLOYED GOOD LONG TERM SHARE

Hello sir.thank you for updating blog regularly. I strictly followed your words and made decent profits in mutual funds. Can you please tell is it good to purchase PUNJ LYOD at current prices? If no then at what is the best price to purchase these shares?-satya ji fro mail
1. punj Lloyd is a very good share I think this is a miny Larsen and toubro and give you at least 30 percent return in next 5-7 year my target for next 5-7 year for punj lloyed is

2010=350
2011=450
2012=600
2013=750
2014=900
2015=1000
But remember it is possible when every thing is ok with punj lloyed and you may see some short term correction in this share as per market. If this share achive his target early then one can look a partial book profit and enter again in deep.
2. current price is good breack out price 295 for punj lloyed but it have risk to downside till leval 220 in short term .

3. i personally hold 21 share of punj lloyed this is my discloser.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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IFCI HUGE EQUITY CAPITAL:AVOID

Hi Mahesh ji,
Can u give me Ur opinion on ifci? Can we purchase at this level. Ask by shri dukkipati satish.
1. IFCI is a 10 rupees face value share.
2. IFCI Ltd has informed BSE that the Company has acquired 5% stake in the present equity share capital of MCX Stock Exchange Ltd (MCX-SX) from Financial Technologies (India) Ltd ("FTIL") at Rs 35/- per equity share, subject to the terms & conditions of the Agreement, entered between the Company & FTIL.
3 equity capital of IFCI is very high 7378.40 million is a negative sign because IFCI have net profit of 1007.80 million in June 09 quarter but EPS only 0.88 due to huge equity capital.
4. Promoter holding in IFCI is zero and remembers this is a former penny stock major stock holder of IFCI is LIC PNB canara bank uco bank etc.
5. So overall I do not like this share
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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MULTIBAGGER SERIES PART 4 : W H BRADY SHARE

I want to knew about W H brady stock- ask by shri nisu katiyar ji from mail
1. w h brady is a enginiaring company in B group.
2. face value of W H brady is rs 10.
3.this is very low volume stock 2 week average volume on bse is 621 only. Year high of this share is 90 and year low is 30 currently traded at 66.05
4. promoter holdings in W H brady is 82.96 percent is very good sign .
5. equity capital in this company is very low only 25.50 lac share in this company and 21.15 lac hold by promoter so only 4.35 lac share is available in market is a second good sign because some time we see a decent run in such type of low equity share.
6. june quarter EPS of WH Brady is 2.02 is good.
7. book value of this company is 206.22 very very very good book value.
8. debt eqity ratio is 0.14 only is good means low debt company.
9. so my view is positive in this share and like to invest in this company for a multibagger retrun in long term.
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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BHARTI GOOD FOR LONG TERM

Sir,pls make a techno-fundamental analysis on Bharti airtel. I have + at 415 in future 1 lot. Ask by shri manas dash from mail.
1. Bharti airtel is a 5 rupees face value stock.
2. bharti airtel spilt there stock from 10 rupees to 5 rupees at 24-07-2009 so price of bharti airtel is became just ½ of his former price due to spilt adjustment and most of investor does not knew this spilt story they think price fall is due to bharti-mtn deal.
3. Promoter holding in bharti airtel is 67.41 percent with no pledged share and FII hold 19.58 percent in this share is a good fundamental.
4. but technically share enter in a long term rest zone same story of infosys in last 2 year you may note that in last 2 year infosys traded in a range of 1200-1900 and now infosys is ready to make new highs.
5. so I think fundamental of bharti airtel is sound but share move slow and under perform the market for coming 1-3 year not only bharti telecom sector may under performer.
6. please do not play in future and option

CLICK HERE TO READ MY ARTICLE SAI BABA OR SHARE MARKET ABOUT FUTURE AND OPTION
7. Book value of bharti airtel is only 72.50 and in 2001-2002 share traded at 40 only so there are more room to price fall in short term.
8. about your future position convert it in to cash market delivery position and hold for recover your loss ( yes I knew this is very difficult and almost impossible on a margin position but my friend this is only way to success in future and option so F&O is for big player which have capital of more than 10 lac and able to convert there position in cash market )
THIS ANALYSIS IS MAHESH CHANDER KAUSHIK OPINION ONLY NOT A PROFESSIONAL ADVICE SO READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKE ANY ACTION.
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PROVOGUE IND: BUY BACK OFFER

Hi Mahesh,What are your thoughts on Provogue Ind.Please provide me the useful tips.Thanks ask by shri Ravi kiran Samavedula ji

1. provogue ind is a B group company with 2 rupees face value.
2. provogue ind ltd make his year high of 142 at 14 oct 2008
3. promoter of provogue ind hold 41.51 percent share and pledged his 31.58 percent holding so low promoter holding with pledged share is not good sign but FII hold near about 30 percent so this is a FII driven stock.
4.Raesh junjunwala ( known as Indian warren buffet) also hold 19 lacs share of provogue ind in june 2009.
5. provogue ind share june2009 EPS is 0.58 only
6. provogue ind hereby announces the buy-back ("Buy-back") of fully paid-up equity shares of the face value of Rs 2/- each ("Equity Shares") not exceeding 50,00,000 Equity Shares ("Maximum Offer Shares"), from the existing owners of Equity Shares other than those who are promoters, promoter group, directors of promoters, persons in control and persons acting in concert
7. CLICK HERE TO READ FULL DETAIL OF THIS BUY BACK OFFER
8. book value of provogue ind is 57.81 so share .
9. so overall my view is positive in this company.
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VEDANT HOTEL: HIGH RISK

I want to knew about vedant hotel- ask by shri nisu katiyar ji by mail

1. Vedant hotel is 1 rupees face value share trading at 5 % upper circuit almost near his year high.
2. Promoter holding is 74.72 percent in vedant hotel with no pledged share is a sound fundamental.
3. The company established a Five Star Hotel (The Vedant ) at Aurangabad in 1995. 4. vedant hotel has 100 rooms and is spread over an area of 1.5 acres in historic Aurangabad city in central Maharashtra known for world famous heritage sites of Ajanta & Ellora.
5. In june09 quarter company net sales is 8 million only and have a net loss 8.23 million is very dangerous situation.
6. book value is vedant hotel is 7.10
7. I think vedant hotel will turn around in profit soon but due to high price (yes price is high if we compare to his face value)of this loss making share I would like to avoid it but high risk profile investor may take a entry for short term for target of 11-13.

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LANCOR HOLDINGS HIGH DEBT COMPANY

Hi Mahesh can you please elaborate about the prospectus of lancor holdings. The stock had a free run last month and now it seems to be tracking back. I have an average buy at rs 97 thanks- ask by shri dipankar ji from mail.
1. Lancor holding limited is a construction housing company.
2. Book value of lancor holding is 18.7
3. However, this is a high debt company debt/equity ratio is 4.45 which is very high.
4. Face value of lancor holding is 2 rupees only.
5. Promoter holding is 57.15 percent in lancor holdingI do not like this company due to low face value or high debt

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ANDRA BANK SAFE BUT SLOW LONG TERM INVESTMENT

Hi Mahesh ji can you please give your opinion on andra bank should I sell it now or can I hold it for one year what is target price after one year also suggest me good stocks that are below 100 rupees. - Ask by shri dukkipati satish ji by mail
1. Andra bank is a public sector bank.
2. Face value of andra bank is 10 rupees.
3. Andra bank give 45 percent dividend in last year.
4. P/E of andra bank is 6.6
5. Book value of Andra bank is 75
6. So fundamental of all public sectors bank is good they available on or near his book values and give a good dividend but they all are effected by government policies so market not give him a high valuation at once they grow step by step so if your position is on a decent profit then book some part of it because target for 1 year is uncertain due to change of government policies.
7. If you hold it very long-term means 10-20 year, then they give you more then 15 percent return every year by dividend or price appreciation.
8. In my view public sector bank are safe trading stock’s
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