MY TARGET BELOW 110 FOR LIC HOUSING FINANCE LTD

Dear maheshji.
Kindly comment on LIC HOUSING FINANCE.
IS IT WORTH TO INVEST IN THE STOCK AT CMP?
AFTER SPLIT AND BANKING LISENCE THE PRICE WILL SKY ROCKET.
WHAT IS UR VIEW?
I GUESS MANY PEOPLE WOULD LIKE TO HEAR FROM YOU ABOUT THIS SCRIP.
PLEASE DO PUBLISH THEREPLY ON BLOG FOR THE BENEFIT OF YOUR FOLLOWERS.
THANKS
-ask by shri AGNI PRUTHVI
1. Respected Agni pruthvi ji thanks for your faith on my views LIC housing finance ltd is a 10 rupee face value company and as you knew that LIC Housing Finance Ltd has approved subdivision of Equity shares of the Company of Rs. 10/- each into 5 equity shares of Rs. 2/- each.
2. I always see that stock spilt give a negative effect of stock price so I think after this spilt share enter in a rest zone of 1 year.
3. In 2006 price of lic housing finance is 180 only and book value of lic housing finance is 356.84 and year low is 707.10 so I think near 500-600 ( after spilt 110-125) I fair value of this script.
4. What happen if lic housing finance is get banking license? I think this rumor is already discounted because CMP of lic housing finance is near ICICI BANK which has a banking license.
5. Promoter holding in LIC housing finance is 36.54 % and FII holding is 41.69 % but this number related with September 2010 quarter and I think FII reduce their holding in November 2010 see these bulk deals figure in BSE site for more details

click here to read data of bulk deals

6. So bulk deals , stock splits, all of news of investigations by CBI is make my view negative and after spilt my target for LIC housing finance company is below 110. Sorry if this target is shocking but market proves my targets many times.
7. I have no any share of lic housing finance ltd. This is a good repeated company so read disclaimer before take any action.

VAIBHAV GEMS LTD : VALUE BUY

Hi Mahesh,
This is the first time I’m writing to you. Need some advice on Vaibhav Gems. Is it a good buy at this level (priced at about Rs. 21)?
Thanks,
( sorry unfortunatlly i delete this mail and forget asker name i think may be "aruna" is asker name)
1. Vaibhav gems ltd is a 10 rupee face value gems and stone company.
2. 52 week high of vaibhav gems is 43.50 and 52 week low 19.45 so current price 23 is near to 52 week low but book value of vaibhav gems is 93.20 so I think current price is a value buying for vaibhav gems.
3. Promoter holding in vaibhav gems is 13.38 % so low promoter holding makes this stock risky this is the reason for low valuation of vaibhav gems FII holding 20 % so I think this is FII driven stock and it may convert in penny stock when FII sell their holding.
4. Vaibhav gems give dividends from 2003 to 2007 but after 2007 there is no any dividend.
5. Overall I think this is a good but some risky share so you may hold it for decent returns.
6. I have no any share of vaibhav gems.

CAN HCC TOUCH 10?

Respected Mahesh Ji,
I am very very upset so please please please reply to my Q if possible I would be so grateful to you.
I have bought good amount of HCC at 44 Rs. On 26 Nov 2010. Now due to scam news and Lavasa issue it is coming down and down only. I am in great depression as everyone is saying that the share will go to the level of 10 Rs. in near term.
What should I do sir? Shall I ever see my price back in this stock or I should sell this in loss. Please advice.
Amar
1. Amar ji do not worry HCC is very large and good reputated construction company with 1 rupee face value.
2. Book value of HCC is 25.01 so it may test near 25-35 but I think level of 10 is very difficult in this script.
3. As I describe in my earlier articles that time of all infrastructure companies is bad and I think this cycle is change in 6-12 months so if this happen you may see HCC at 150+
4. Promoter holding in HCC is 39.86 % and FII holding 27.02 % so this is a good holding pattern.
5. At 11 aug 2010 HCC give 1:1 bonus so as I always say that after bonus issue share enter in sleep zone for 1-2 year so hold your stock and look exit at 45+ then enter again below 35
6. I have no any stock of HCC

VEER ENERGY: PROMOTER REDUCE THERE HOLDING

hi maheshji,
i m jagdish i was purchased veer energy 20, 000 shares@ 23rs. and atv projects 5000 shares @7 rs. and rishabhdev techno cable 5000 shares@9 rs.
i am a fool while purchasing these stocks but i m daily reader of your stock view and now i m going on your think.
now can u tell me what can i do? whether i keep it or sell all stocks?
and also can u give me are above stocks are technical strongs or not?
waiting your reply sir. thanks,
Jagdish
dear jagdish please ask only one question in a time so we discuss veer energy today
1. Face value of veer energy and infrastructure ltd is rs 1 only so this is not a cheap stock if we compare it price 8 to 10 rupees face value stock than it is 60 and this is 2.5 time higher of NHPC price.
2. In December 2008 promoter holding in this share is 53.31 percent and September 2009 promoter holding is 50.31, and December 2009 it is 48.81 percent only and in sept 2010 promoter holding is 33.71 % so promoter continue reduce there holding. This is a very bad sign for company health.
3. Book value of veer energy is 1.35 only.
4. EPS of this company is 0.33 only in sept 2010.
5. So overall I not like this company and my view is negative for veer energy and infrastructure ltd. Due to it very poor fundamental.
6. i have no any share of veer energy ltd

EDITORIAL

Respected blog readers,
As you knew that I have been transferred from my old posting place pindwara to nohar (differences 800 km in both places) so due to my transfer you may feel that this blog is not updated regularly... but do not worry I start regular update this blog soon when I settale my work and family in new place. It will be take near about 20-25 days. Thanks for your love and faith on this free service.
Regards
Mahesh chander kaushik TRA

ICICI DIRECT LAUNCH NEW PENSION SYSTEM ONLINE

1.As I consider my earlier posts that icici direct is the best online stock trading provider now icici direct launch online new pension system.
2.The NPS is administered by Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA) and NPS was introduced by the Government of India to provide sustainable solutions for adequate retirement income.
3.CLICK HERE TO READ OFFER DOCUMENTS OF NPS BY GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
4.PFRDA has appointed seven Pension Fund Managers (PFM) to invest and manage your funds so it is the best manage mutual fund.
5.Minimum annual contribution in this scheme is 6000 per year.
6.ICICI DIRECT also give you SIP facility in NPS...i think this option made it delicious.
7.Please visit the PFRDA website (http://www.pfrda.org.in) to know more about the product.
8.Be cautious this plan have no liquidity Withdrawal on maturity at the age of 60 years post which one can withdraw 60% of the corpus as lump sum or in trenches of minimum of 10% each and compulsorily buy annuities of the remaining 40% However, for special requirements a onetime withdrawal or liquidity of 20% is allowed .

TANLA SOLUTIONS LTD

Hi Sir,
Thank you for sharing your views.
Can you also let me know your views on "Tanla".Can this become a turn around share?
It has a book value of 90, Regular dividend paying company, Promoter is not selling his holdings, Corporates are also holidng it, Zero Debt company.
Thanks,
vamsi
1. Tanla solution is a 1 rupee face value IT company IPO price of this share is 265 but after IPO share spilt from 2 rupee face value to 1 rupee face value so if we adjusted spilt price than IPO price is 132.5
2. book value of tanla solution is 62.14 and share quoted at 22 so this is a value buying generally I see most of IT company with low book value but this is odd case where book value is 2.5 time high from traded price.
3. Promoter holding of tanla solution is 35.68 % FII holding 4.87% FII continue reduce there holding in tanla from 22 % to 4.87 % so this is the nagative point for this stock.
4. Tanla Solutions Ltd announces deployment of a new service in its 3G platform with MTNL
5. Tanla is granted patent by the Indian Patent Office - Automated Meter Reading System and method thereof
6. This company is continuing pay dividends and I think it is no problem to hold further but it may take time 4-6 months for turn arround story
7. Tanla solution is not in my portfolio.

WHY IDEA CELLULAR EPS IS LOW ?

Dear Sir,
I am an investor and I am reading your blog regularly, I kindly request you to reply for my big doubt mentioned below:-
=> Why Idea Cellular company profit is around 1000 crores yearly but there EPS & Book Value is very low at Rs: 2.57 and Rs:34.
I can get the exact reason, kindly explain in detail please.
Thank you
Regards,
Gokul

1. Gokul ji first of all I correct your data EPS of idea cellular is 3.19 in FY 09-10 and book value 34.58.
2. EPS means earning per share so total number of share in idea cellular is 3,29,98,37,792 ( in march 2010 now idea cellular increase his share capital and at present it is 3,30,09,83,279 ) and net profit in FY 09-10 is 1,053.66 cr. Means 10536600000 Indian rupee so when we divided this profit with total number of share 10536600000/3,29,98,37,792 then this is equal to 3.19 and called earnings per share of idea cellular.
3. And book value of a company means “The net asset value of a company share called book value. It is the total value of the company's assets that shareholders would theoretically receive if a company was bankrupt and all the asset of company was liquidated so book value have no any direct relation to company net profit
4. CLICK HERE TO READ DETAILS ON BOOK VALUE
5. I think you may satisfy with this reply.

BEST BUYINGS IN THIS MARKET FALLS

Hello Sir,
Happy weekend. I am planning to invest 40,000 in shares by this month end. As i see the market at its peak i did some research. This is my opinion, Power sector and Infra. Could you suggest me few good ones for a period of 1-2 yrs investing. what do u feel abt
Adani power, Rel Power, Birla Power, NHPC, Lanco Infra, DLF.
thanks and regards
Nag

and

Mahesh Ji,
Please suggest some stocks to accumulate in this correction period
Rajeev Daniel

Most of investors wait market fall and I think this correction is start in Indian markets so these are some of good shares in my buying list.
1. Reliance communication ltd :- I already buy this share @148 in this Friday (19.11.2010) this is a good telecommunication company with 5 rupee face value 67.72 % promoter holding 8.42 % FII and book value of reliance communication is 244.66 so I think I easily get exit @178 in 1-2 months and may earn 22 % profit easily in 1-2 month . and in my style of investing I invest only 4545-5000 in a share ( in icici direct minimum brokerage is charge till 4545).
2. MTNL :- in Monday I think MTNL is available in range of 50-55 . MTNL book value is 149.47 and I buy it for target of 68 in 1-2 months.
3. TATA COMUNICATIONS:- after buying of MTNL I wait price of TATA COMUNICATIONS falling till 260 or below 260 then I buy a lot of tata communications ( lot means invest 4545-5000 indian rupee in this script, not to confuse lot mean F&O lot. I nevar use F&O and intra day trading . My target for tata communications is 340 and I think you knew my shopkeeper style that I nevar book loss and hold until my target get
4. CLICK HERE TO READ MY SHOP KEEPAR APROCH IN SHARE MARKET
5. INFRA BEES:- if infra bees is availbe below 320 then I buy a lot ( invest 4545-500 indian rupee)
6. SASKEN COMUNICATIONS:- then I consider sasken communications if available below 170 . sasken communications is a good IT stock with 10 rupee face value and you wonder that promoter buy back there share @260
7. KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK:- this is the only counter in banking sector which available near his year low and try to catch it below 400.
8. NHPC:- at last I try to buy NHPC below 27
9. And now my liquidity is end. I have only 33,000 surplus saving which I wait to invest in market fall you wonder that I not buying any share in my minimum BSE 200 index share list CLICK HERE TO READ MINIMUM BSE 200 LIST because I wait these share for hitting his best buy price range.
10. prof. nag ji, in your list i think NHPC and R POWER is good choice but not agree with other share.
11. discloser:- my personal intrest in all of shares which i discuss in this article and this blog.

DHANUS TECHNOLOGY IS AGAIN IN BUYING RANGE ( FSP SERIES 1)

it is good time to again accumulate dhanus technology ltd share @ 14-15 in Monday. I think you remember in this blog FSP series 1 I told details of dhanus tech @16 and we book 54 % profit from dhanus tech @ 24.65
CLICK HERE TO READ PAST PERFORMANCE OF THIS BLOG
now dhanus tech is again available @14-15 so I think this week I will buy it again
CLICK HERE TO READ PAST ARTICLE OF FSP SERIES 1: DHANUS TECHNOLOGY

RIBA TEXTILE : HOLD

Mahesh Sirji,
Thanks a lot for your reply it really helps sir……..Can you please let me know abt Riba textiles. Riba textiles 200 shares @ 17rs per share Sir ji also market is going down due to global weakness……what r ur outlook for short term investment at this point of time?? Regards, Saifuddin Accenture Mumbai
1. safuddin ratlam wala ji I think market correction is start and it will be continue for next 20-30 trading session in these sessions market behave sideways or corrective phase with little pull backs but these days are important for fresh delivery base buying for outlook of 2-3 months I start my fresh buying to day with R COM .
2. Riba textile is a 10 rupee face value share.
3. book value of riba textile is 34.34 so I think this price ( CMP 12 ) is a value buying and you may no need to worry with your buying price 17 I am very happy to see your small quantity .. I always try to educate my blog readers that BUYING IN SMALL LOTS is a good policy.
4. 52 week low for riba textile is 8.25 and 52 week high 19.85 EPS of FY 09-10 only 0.32 so share traded at high P/E but I think market may victim a huge rally in textile sector because this is the only sector that not performs in last 20 year.
5. Promoter holding 53.33 % in riba textile is also a good sign.
6. So I think you may hold riba textile for a profitable exit
7. My discloser: - I am not holding any share of riba textile but hold arvind ltd in textile sector so my personal interest is included in textile sector.

AVOID BANKING SECTOR

I am looking DCB and Union Bank for long term investment for 1-
2 years. Is banking sector is safe for long term? Pls suggest is it ok
to enter in these stock ok at this level? Ask by manish tayal

1. my view is negative on banking sector in this valuation because I think valuation of banking and auto sector is very high and these sector may underperforms in next rally.
2. Entry level for DCB is below 40 and union bank below 180 and I think this is not a fake..This level is possible when banking sector bubble is blast in this market .
3. But how many time to take the end story of banking rally I not sure so if you ask my view then it is negative for banking at this time ..(I think only kotak Mahindra bank below @400 is a good long term pick in banking sector)
4. This is my view only and I may be wrong .
5. Discloser:- no any banking stocks are in my holding.

NIFTY ETF

Respected sir..
Sir please let me know in which company should I invest for long term on monthly 3k.
As I am 24year old so I want to invest now only so please guide me sir.
Regards
Mahesh V Limbakar

Mahesh V limbakar ji not invest in single company invest in whole nifty

1. I think you knew about ETF these are traded like a share but in nature like a mutual fund.

2. Nifty ETF is an exchange traded fund and it unit traded like a share on NSE. You can buy nifty ETF and hold there unit in your D MAT like a share.

3. click here to read detail about nifty ETF

KIRI DYES LTD: GOOD BUT BELOW 200 DMA

Sir,
I have 50 share in kiri dyes chemicals price at Rs.627/-. I am a short term investor (2 months) in this situation hold or sell for this stock.
Please reply as soon as possible. Thanks,
Vishal Kumar
1. Kiri dyes is a 10 rupee face value chemical company.
2. EPS of kiri dyes is 16.31 in FY 09-10 which discount it at P/E of 35 and I think maximum fair price for kiri dyes is 300-400 only
3. Year high of kiri dyes is 877 and year low 427.50
4. I not advice you to book loss because promoter holding in kiri dyes is 73.44 % and promoter increase their holding from 69.98 % this is a good sign and I think after consolidation stock show fresh rally.
5. FII also increase their holding from 6.48 % to 7.39 %
6. Company is good and may give your buying price back, but 2 months is a very short periods and share traded below it 200 DMA of 582 and if any share traded below his 200 DMA then it is say that stock is technically weak in short term.
7. I have no any share of kiri dyes ltd.

SOUTHREN ISPAT AND ENERGY LTD: NAGATIVE

Hi Kaushik Ji,
Can you kindly express your views on "Southern Ispat and Energy Limited”. Heard from someone that this is going to be multibagger in future.
Thanks,
vamsi

1. Vamsi ji southern ispat and energy ltd is a 10 rupee face value Iron & Steel/Interm.Products company in BSE group “s”
2. Southern ispat and energy ltd 52 weeks high is 48.60 at 14 Jan 2010 and 52 week low 9.90 only.
3. Once a share beaten more then 50 % from is year high then in 99 % case I think no chance to touch again 52 week high in near term and southern ispat correct near about 75% from recent year high.
4. In June 2010 promoter holding 20.58% in southern ispat and energy ltd and now (sept 2010) it is 4.21 % only so reducing in promoter stake is great negative for any counter.
5. In 8 and 10 November you see great bulk deal in southern ispat and energy ltd CLICK HERE TO SEE DATA OF THESE BULK DEAL IN BSE SITE.
6. southern ispat also plan to dilute his equity Southern Ispat and Energy Ltd at its meeting held on November 06, 2010, has the resolution of raising funds up to 100 Crores and also approved alteration of MOA and AOA for increasing of Authorized Capital up to 160 Crores of the Company.
7. So my view is negative for this stock. I have no any share of southern ispat and energy ltd.

ASSAM COMPANY INDIA LTD: NEUTRAL

Mahesh ji, happy diwali and best wishes to you. I wanted to ask you if chemplast sanmar and Assam Company are good buys for long term investments. Will they give good returns 2 yrs from now?
Radhakrishna Rao

1. Radhakrisna rao ji I already give my view about chemplast sanmar ltd so CLICK HERE TO READ VIEW ON CHEMPLAST SANMAR.
2. Assam company (India) limited is a 1 rupee face value tea and coffee company.
3. book value of Assam company (India) ltd is 9.97 so CMP 27.75 is near about 3 times high from book value.
5. today Assam company (India) ltd share is touch his year high of is 29.20 and year low of this share is16.70
6. promoter holding in Assam company (India) ltd is 46.19 % and FII holding 21.15 % which are good.
7. this company also gives 0.10 rupee to 0.20 rupee dividend per year.
8. my view is neutral for Assam company but share traded in bull phase and fundamentals also normal so I think this is hold for short term profits.
9. I have no any share of Assam company India ltd.

SUDDEN JUMP ON SHAKTI PUMPS

Mahesh Ji,
Can you comment on sudden jumping of share value of sakthi pumps
Rajeev Daniel?

1. Shakti pums is an S group share in this group total number of share is very low so price easily fluctuate when any huge quantity of deal done any side.
2. Total number of share shakt pumps have 62, 22,900 and near about 49.64 % hold by promoters.
3. so general public have only 31’33’854 shares and AGM of shakti pumps will held on 21 December 2010 so I think any big change will be aspect in this AGM
4. This is not a buying recommendation my view is negative after sudden news base rising.

JAGSON AIRLINE:HOLD

Hi Mahesh,
I am holding 535 shares of Jagson Airlines @ 21.Can you please tell whether I should continue to hold or exit.
Thanks,
Brijendra kumar

1. Brijendra ji I think you may no need to worry because jagson airlines is a T group company with 10 rupee face value.
2. Promoter holding in jagson airline is wonderfully sound total 71.53 % promoter holding is a good fundamental.
3. year high of jagson airline is 23.35 and year low 8.37 I think if any market fall if we are able to catch it @10 ( please do not average out your losing positions) then this is really a good buying.
4. I think there are chances of uptrend in this share because small airlines is best takeover targets for big and if this happen small company always get price appreciation.
5. book value of jagson airline is 3.28 only
6. This is a news base counter so I think you may wait for next good news for profitable exit.
7. My view is positive for this stock if available @10 or HOLD for old buying.
8. I have no any share of jagson airline.

JM Telecom Sector Fund

Would you please advise any telecom related mutual fund/stocks which will be best bet at this point of time for long term?
Regards,
Sreenivas.
battula

click here to read reply

KOUTONS RETAIL INDIA LTD: AVOID

Dear kaushik ji,
I am new in stock market and planning to buy KUOTONS. Can I buy at current market rate Rs 103?
Kindly give your advice to me. Ask by shri vijendra singh
1. Vijendra ji KOUTONS RETAIL INDIA LTD is a 10 rupee face value retail company.
2. KOUTONS RETAIL INDIA LTD year high is 451 and year low 96 share traded at 102
3. FY 09-10 EPS of KOUTONS RETAIL INDIA LTD IS 26.95 BUT JUNE 2010 EPS ONLY 1.80 I wonder to see this type of sudden great downfall in EPS so I think company EPS have further concern in some quarters.
4. KOUTONS RETAIL INDIA LTD promoter holding in March 2010 is 65.11% in June 2010 63.90 % and sept 2010 59.50% so promoter continue dilute their holding and it is a great negative factor for any fundamental analysis. (FII also reduce their holding from 14.46 % TO 7.94 %).
5. We also see a huge bulk deals in this share CLICK HERE FOR DETAIL
6. So my view is negative for KOUTONS RETAIL INDIA LTD.
7. Book value of KOUTONS RETAIL INDIA LTD is 164.50 but in light of above some negative points I not consider it as value buy
8. I have no any share of KOUTONS RETAIL INDIA LTD.

MICRO TECHNOLOGIES: NAGATIVE

Hi Maheshji
what is your overall review about market
and also want to know about your view on Micro technologies Ltd (532494)
Ask by shri Hitesh chauhan
1. Hitesh ji overall I think market is enter in bullish phase and making new highs in coming 1-3 months
2. And please note that "only index growth is not a genuine parameter of market growth because index constituency is SUBJECT TO CHANGE read THIS LINK FOR DETAILS
3. MICRO TECHNOLOGY LTD is a 10 rupee face value "S'' group IT company ,year high for micro technologies ltd is 228.60 and year low 133 ,and currantly share traded at 209.40
4. Micro technologies ltd 2009-10 EPS is 57.52 so share traded at P/E of 4 only and Micro Technologies and H.A.SH Security Services (Israel) announce the launch of India's unique "International Command & Control Centre.
5. But micro technologies ltd promoter holding is continue in downtrend March 2010 ( 32.49%) in June 2010 (31.84 %) and sept 2010 (30.95%) so promoter continue dilute their holding and it is a great negative factor for any fundamental analysis. ( FII holding 4.33 %) and company plan further preferential allotment of securities subject to approval of shareholders it is also dilute equity of company.
6. We also see a bulk deal of 80000 share at 4 oct 2010 @214.86 and historically after such type of bulk deal share show downtrend
7. So my view is negative for micro technologies ltd.
8. Book value of micro technology is 275.40 but in light of above negative points I not consider it as value buy
9. I have no any share of micro technologies ltd.

SURYACHAKRA POWER: HOLD

Dear Mr. Kaushikji
Iam Saj I wanted to know your view on Suryachakra power. Last month I
purchased 10000@21.45 but it is now at very low and iam in huge loss
so please advice me any chance to exit with profit. I read your views
on Suryachakra what about your view on a chance of price to go up is
it over or has to wait. Your advice will be highly appreciated.
Thanks in advance
Best regards
Saj

1. Suryachakra power is a 10 rupee face value power company and fundamental of suryachakra power is not so bad.
2. suryachakra power has many subsidiary power companies and I think it will take time but this share not only return your buying price it may give profit also.
3. Please do not buy such a huge quantity at once in any share is your fancy then buy it in SIP method but not to buy a huge quantity at once.
4. Ok, do not worry you are not alone... SAINATH HERBAL CARE MARKETING PRIVATE LIMITED also buy 723995 share of suryachakra power @ 20.91 on 30.09.2010 ( source:- BSE site ) and I think they hope for profit.
5. Suryachakra Power Corporation Ltd has informed BSE that the name of "LAHARI POWER AND STEELS LTD", a subsidiary of M/s. Suryachakra Power Corporation Ltd, has been changed to "SURYACHAKRA GLOBAL ENVIRO POWER LTD" w.e.f. March 19, 2010.
Further the Company has informed that M/s. Climate Change Investment, Luxemburg (CCI) has entered into an agreement with Suryachakra Group for acquiring 26.1% stake in Suryachakra Global Enviro Power Ltd, at Rs. 28.98 Per share. Out of the total Investment of Rs. 500.50 Mn, the first tranche of Rs. 400 Mn has already been received. CCI has also committed to take part in the future Renewable Energy Projects of the group.
6. Book value of suryachakra power is 18.09
7. So overall my view is not so much positive for this company but in your case legaly i not authanticated to give you any advice so read disclaimer on this blog before take any step but my view " hold" for this share because i think it may move in uptrand in coming 6 months to 1 year
8. I personally hold 75 share of this company i buy these share @55 in 2007 on advice of a famous technical analysts mr....singh. in 2007 i am a paid member for shri singh daily forcast but unfortunatly all of tips given by him on technical basis is fail and i wait suryachakra power ltd rally from last 3 year for exit .
9. this experiance inspire me to start my own free blog on fundamental analysis for prevent investor from such type of technical traders read details at

http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2009/07/how-analysts-on-tv-confuse-investors.html
KEY WORDS:- make profit from F&O futuare and option suryachakra power f&O tips daily future and option calls forex trade.

Hi Mahesh,
Wants the information on Alpa Labs. I know its way down from its IPO prices and no good news on the horizon as well.
Interesting thing is that it did not ride the sensex wave as well and is very quiet.
Let me know what you think about this stock?
I might invest some money depending on the information.
Happy Diwali in advance!
Thanks.
Fahad hasmai

1. ALPA laboratories ltd is a biotechnology company with 10 rupee face value.
2. year high of alpa lab is 20.10 and year low 11.13
3. EPS of ALPA lab is 0.38 so I think company recent turn around from loss to profit.
4. promoter holding in alpa lab is 54.60 % which is normal
5. in 2007 alpa labs IPO come with price range of 62-68 and now it is available at ¼ of IPO price book value of alpa lab is 45.81 so my view is positive for alpa lab I think it is a value buy for coming 1-2 year.
6. I have no any share of ALPA lab, this article is not a buying advice only my view about ALPA labs.

AVOID: DELTA CORP

Dear kaushik ji,
I am planning to buy DELTA CORP. Can I buy at current market rate (87)?
Kindly give your advice to me.
Thanking you
Harish Shetty
Mangalore
1. Book value of delta corp. ltd is 15.31 only and share traded at 89.05 so this is not a value buying this is a risky buy at this level.
2. Delta corp. ltd face value is 1 rupee only so if we compare CMP with a 10 rupee face value stock then it is 890.50 I think price of delta corp. is very high at this level.
3.Delta Corp Ltd. (Formerly Arrow Webtex Limited) has been engaged in the business of textiles and real estate development / consultancy. Having started as a pure textile player, Delta Corp Limited has transformed into a diversified company, with interests in real estate (in India as well as East Africa), gaming and entertainment, aviation, and hospitality. Delta Corp has de-merged its textile business into a new entity which is now called Arrow Textiles Limited.
4. EPS of delta corp. is 0.80 only means share traded at P/E of 111.25 this is a very high valuation for any stocks.
5. year high of delta corp. is 96.30 and share correct from there ( year low of delta corp. is 31 )
6. promoter holding in delta corp. ltd is 48.40 % which is normal
7. so overall I think valuation of delta corp. is very high and my view is negative for this stock.
8. i have no any share of delta corp. ltd.
9. visit company website at http://www.deltacorp.in/
key words:- target for delta corp ltd fundametal analysis buy sell recomandation

IS YOU MAIL A QUESTION TO ME AND YOUR ANSWER NOT PUBLISH?

Respected readers,
As you knew that I receive 20-30 mails per day with share market question but I am able to answer only 2-3 of them so near about 16-17 of my readers not get there reply through this blog.
So I feel sorry to all of these readers which answer is not publishing on this blog. The validity of your mail is 7 day if you not get your reply in 7 day then please mails again your question for reply.
I prefer to reply short questions with only 1 share and which question I think beneficial for all other readers. So after try my best I have remain 16-17 questions without reply per day.
So again I feel sorry to you…please do not feel frustration , anger and disappointment when your reply is not publish on this blog.. Give your continue faith and love to this blog…try to understand my limitation. And mail again your question with making it more useful for sharegenius blog community.
Wish you all a happy diwali
Mahesh chander kaushik

Key words:- BSE NSE F&O INTRADAY SHARE STOCKS MUTUAL FUND

LEARN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS , FREE E BOOKS ON TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR DOWNLOAD

Dear Sir,

Please send me Technical Analysis PDF File, for learing

Regards,

Animesh Shedge

Animesh shedge ji,

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realated article on this blog

http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2010/02/how-to-read-technical-charts.html

LONG TERM SHARE FOR 5 YEAR VIEW

Dear Mahesh ji,
I would like to invest 60000/- for the period of 5 years,
Please suggest some strong shares which can give me strong return,
Thanking you,
Regards
--Rajesh sharma
1. Rajesh ji CNX infra index contain 25 good infrastructure companies like DLF RELINFRA LITL CROMPGREAV INDHOTEL JPASSOCIAT MUNDRAPORT TATAPOWER RPOWER GMRINFRA PUNJLLOYD SCI TATACOMM BHEL NTPC UNITECH RCOM NEYVELILIG SUZLON SIEMENS LT POWERGRID ABB BHARTIARTL IDEA
2. this index give only 2.33 % return in last 1 year because telecom and infrastructure sector underperforms market so I think this time it is best to invest in this index.
3. As you read on my blog that benchmark mutual fund launch a new open ended scheme (ETF) at 9 sept 2010 name INFRASTRUCTURE BENCHMARK EXCHANGE TRADED SCHEME (Infra BeES).
4. theme of this fund is very simple, this fund is based on CNX INFRASTRUCTURE INDEX and price of this ETF unit is always 1/10 of this index for example currently on CNX INFRASTRUCTURE INDEX is traded on 3658 so price of this ETF one unit is 366 near 1/10 of index.
5. This ETF is traded on NSE like any other share and after buying units are deposit in your demat account like a share
6. IF YOU NOT READ MY ARTICLE ON INFBEE ETF THEN CLICK HERE TO READ THIS
7. I think at currant price you buy unit of this ETF @ 368 and it may be give 300 % to 500 % return from here in 5 year
8. It is safer to invest 30’000 at currant price and insert remaining money step by step at every fall
9.As I describe currently this ETF is my most favorite index fund like a share and I plan to transfer my profit bookings in this ETF so currently I hold 41 unit of this ETF so this is my discloser and my personal interest is there.

REVIEW ON MIC ELECTRONICS LTD

Hi Mahesh,
I have an eye on is MIC Electronics which you blogged on January 26, 2010.. What do recommend I do with this stock?
Thanks,
Steve
1. Respected Steve sir , thanks for your continue faith on my blog.
2. CLICK HERE TO READ THIS FORMER ARTICLE
3. my view is still negative on MIC ELECTRONICS because FII reduce its holding from 8.48 % to 5.73%
4. DII reduce his holding from 2.44% to 0.60 %
5. promoter also reduce his holding from 33.75 % to 33.57%
6. Only general public like you and me increase his holding from 56.49 % to 60.10 % and this is a sign of distribution stocks from big players to small investors so this is danger pattern.
7. And you knew there is always a chance of inaccuracy in my view and it may be wrong so please make your own decision.
8. My holding is nil in MIC electronics ltd.

REVIEW ON RESUGERE MINES AND MINERALS LTD

Hi Mahesh,
I would like your thoughts on Resurgere Mines & Minerals India Ltd. Is it good for long term investment.
I do not mind waiting for a year to receive profits. Any research on this is much appreciated.
Thanks,
Steve

1. Respected Steve sir, thanks for your continue faith on my blog.
2. I remember that I give my negative view on resugere mines and minerals on your question at this blog
3. CLICK HERE TO READ THIS FORMER VIEW
4. I am sorry to say that my view is still negative on this stock even you are ready to hold it more then one year but share show distribution pattern and company plan to dilute his equity resugere mines and minerals passed resolution on Raising of additional long-term funds up to Rs. 500 crores through further issuance of securities in the Company. and Increase in the Authorized Share Capital of the Company up to 750 crores ( both are dilute equity and negative impact in short term) so I think it is much better to buy this share after one year because one year is sufficient period for price adjustment.
5. Please note this view is my personal insight and I may be wrong like other investor or analysts.

Can sks microfinance touch 2000 level in future?

Sir, Market expert Rajesh Tambe on Zee Business said that s k s
microfinance will definitely touch 2000. That means it’s a good
fundamental company. Are you satisfied with his comments? What's you
think about this company?
Pankaj kumar
1. Pankaj ji lat we discuss real fundamentals of SKS MICROFINACE
2. SKS MICROFINACE LTD is a 10 rupee face value company
3. SKS MICROFINACE LTD touch his new 52 week low Shares of SKS Microfinance has slipped below issue price of Rs 985 for the first time since listing day so share is technically very very week because market making new highs day by day but SKS MICROFINACE LTD making new lows day by day.
4. June 10 EPS of SKS MICROFINACE LTD is 10.34 and currant quarter result is also good but see there high margin and compare it to downtrend of share price , continue downtrend after such good result show that something is cook there ( in Hindi dal me kuch kala hai…)
5. Promoter holding 37.05 % in SKS MICROFINACE LTD and FII holding 17.34 % this is normal
6. SKS MICROFINACE LTD is a NBFC and I not believe this company fundamentals story. BOOK VALUE OF SKS MICROFINANCE IS 93.20 ONLY .

Target of 2000 is TWO TIMES HIGHER then price of ICICI BANK LTD could you believe that fundamentals of SKS MICROFINANCE is strong then ICICI BANK LTD???
7. I respect shri tambe ji because he is senior fundamental analyst and I am not an analyst I am only an investor of share market but I believe that sks microfinance never touch 2000 it may touch 200 (yes this is two hundred). Because I see in past that most of non banking finance company gives a good listing but now they trading as penny share in this market.

KEY WORDS:- target of sks microfinance book value of sks microfinance buy sell hold

INFRASTRUCTURE BENCHMARK EXCHANGE TRADED SCHEME (Infra BeES).

1. I always like to invest in benchmark exchange traded funds because they are traded like a share and provided me facility to delivery basis investing in index.
2. benchmark mutual fund launch a new open ended scheme ( ETF) at 9 sept 2010 name INFRASTRUCTURE BENCHMARK EXCHANGE TRADED SCHEME (Infra BeES).
3. theme of this fund is very simple, this fund is based on CNX INFRASTRUCTURE INDEX and price of this ETF unit is always 1/10 of this index for example currently on CNX INFRASTRUCTURE INDEX is traded on 3658 so price of this ETF one unit is 366 near 1/10 of index.
READ FULL STORY AT
http://mutualfundgenius.blogspot.com/2010/10/view-on-infrastructure-benchmark.html

WIM PLAST INDUSTRIES : CMP IS VERY HIGH

Sir,
I want to know about WIMPLAST LTD....
Can I buy at current level .......220Rs?
Regards
JIGNESH SANGHAVI
1. Jignesh ji wim plast industries are a plastic product company with 10 rupee face value. this company related with cello brand plastic.
2. This share is related with BSE group S means low equity share.
3. Promoter holding in wim plast industries is 72.62 % which is good and strong promoter holding.
4. 52 week high of wim plast is 242 and share traded at 217 but 52 week low of this share is 109 only
5. You wonder but it is realty of this stock that in 2008 and 2009 this share is traded between 35-45 only so that is the time to pick wim plast.
6. Book value of wim plast industries is 114 only.
7. So I think company is good with a good brand "cello" but at CMP it is not wise to buy this share.
8. Price of below 100 is good for fresh buying.
9. I have no any share of wim plast industries ltd.

LOGIX MICROSYSTEM LTD : NAGATIVE

Mahesh Ji,
What is your opinion about logix micro
Rajeev Daniel
1. Logix Microsystems ltd is a 10 rupee face value share in IT consulting and software sector
2. Logix Microsystems ltd 52 week high is 71 and currently share traded at 41 near his 52 week low 40.50
3. But my worry is to see these bulk deals in sell side
date 08/03/10 Sell 55,000 share @52.66

date 08/12/09 Sell 1,65,000 share @ 51.50

date 04/12/09 Sell 84,084 share @ 50.03
date 03/12/09 Sell 60,603 share @50.02
4. Promoter holding in Logix Microsystems ltd is 21.37 % and they increase there holding from 21.26 % this is a positive sign.
5. Company march 2010 and june 2010 EPS is nil but in fy 09-10 EPS is 9.82 so this is the concern that why this sudden and big fall in EPS ( and before this fall big player sell there stocks by above bulk deals).
6. Book value of Logix Microsystems ltd is 133.86 but only higher book value is not sufficient because book value of ensa steel is 139.29 but share traded at 11 only.
7. So my view is negative for Logix Microsystems ltd.
8. I have no any share of Logix Microsystems ltd.

MADRAS ALUMINIUM COMPANY LTD

I want to purchase 200 shares of madras aluminum co ltd for 5 yrs. what’s your view on this company? Regards, sahil mashur

Respected sahil mashur ji
It is sorry to say that madras Aluminum Company is de listed from our stock exchanges NSE and BSE.
CLICK HERE FOR DOWNLOAD DELISTING DETAIL

Mahesh chander kaushik

CEREBRA INTEGRATED TECHNOLOGY LTD:NEGATIVE

Maheshji
can u plz advice me on cerebra intigrated.i have 4900 share at 27.45 rs. Ask by urmu
1. Urmu ji cerebra integrated is a former penny share price of this share is already appreciate from 5.26 (price of cerebra integrated in 2009) to 28.40 (CMP) so I think fresh buying is avoided in this share.
2. Cerebra integrated are a computer hardware company with 10 rupee face value.
3. Cerebra integrated 52 week high is 33.25 and 52 week low is 7.40
4. Promoter holding in cerebra integrated is 4.97 % and they reduce there holding from 5.26 % to 4.97 % this is also a negative point.
5. Book value is cerebra integrated is 7.92 only
6. So my view is negative for cerebra integrated ltd.
7. I have no any share of cerebra integrated ltd.

key words:- buy sell hold target for cerebra integrated F&O nifty bse nse penny multi bagger

AVOID:COAL INDIA IPO

Hi Mahesh,
e-mailing you after long time.
I am actually very much against investing in any IPOs considering the way things work in all IPOs.
But this Coal India IPO is making so much news that one cant ignore.
And it has one big plus ( which is my weak point) its debt-free.
Whats your view on it.
Please share your thoughts on the same on your blog.
Thanks in advance.
Vikas bargale

welcome again vikas bargale ji

When IPO of reliance power coming I say to my friends that “ I buy this share below 200 “ and they laugh on me and think I am a big fool and one of my friend buy 1000 reliance power share @460 and now he ask me regularly on phone that “ when to movement is start in reliance power?”
When IPO of NHPC come I declare in this blog that I buy this share below 28 and when price down below 28 I again write in this blog that now NHPC is safe buy read THIS LINK for proof

http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2010/05/buy-nhpc-28-may-accumulate-28-to-20.html
Same thing will happen and I think I buy this coal India share below IPO price from secondary market due to following risk factors that not discuss by analysts now but after listing of these shares there language is change

1.Now analysts say “ coal India have huge reserves” I think after some time of IPO there language is change to say “ coal India experienced significant delays in obtaining relevant statutory and regulatory approvals for the acquisition of land and surface rights to commence mining activities because there reserve are in Assam and west Bengal and land equisesion in these 2 state is not so easy remember example of Tata motors in west Bengal and statement of rahul ghandi in Orissa” most of coal India reserve is situated in forest land and significant Procedural delays in obtaining the requisite approvals from the Ministry of Environment and Forests ,There can be no assurance that coal India will be able to acquire land and associated surface rights for all of His projects in forest land.
2. The minister of envirment and forests is currently in discussion with the Ministry of commerce regarding a proposal for the demarcation of certain coal bearing forest areas in India based on the permissibility of using such land for mining purposes. If such proposal is implemented and forest areas are demarcated where mining activities are restricted then you think what price of coal India share in market?
3. The Jharia and Raniganj coalfields are susceptible to fire and land subsidence and pose a serious Environmental, health and safety risk.
4. When in rail budget any increase in transportation costs happen (rail is largest transportation source for coal) then price of our coal India share… “Tare jamin par…”
5. Two of coal India Subsidiaries, BCCL and ECL have been referred to the Board for Industrial and Financial Reconstruction (“BIFR”). (Means diwalia ho gai hai)
6. Some of coal India assets and mining operations are located in areas of India that are exposed to risks of attack by Rebel groups, such as in Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Orissa and Assam.
7. The use of alternative energy sources for power generation could reduce coal consumption by Indian electric power generators, which could result in lower demand for coal.
8. so I avoid coal India IPO it may give some listing gain but after 6 months to 1 year of listing price of this share will adjusted on above factor . So I wait this negative time for buying this share.

VIEW ON RELIANCE COMUNICATION AND TELECOM SECTOR

Dear Sir,
can you help me, and I want to know about "Reliance communication", is it good to buy now for 1 year prospect?
can i buy present price.
pls send me funamental analysis
Regards,
Animesh Shedge.

I already say to my blog readers that telecom sector is a good contrarian sector for next 2-3 year view. I think you may already read my former article “TIME TO MAKE A SIP IN TELECOM SECTOR “ if not read please read it in following link
http://sharegenius.blogspot.com/2009/11/time-to-make-sip-in-bharti-and-r-com.html

I like BHARTI AIRTEL, REL COM ,IDEA, TATA COMUNICATION , and MTNL at currant price for 2-3 year and strictly believe that after complete set up for 3G these company balance sheets turn in positive and all of these stocks give 300-500 percent return in 2-3 year.

But in these 2-3 year these stocks is underperforms the market so please do not rush to buy it because due to huge investment in 3G infrastructure these companies record losses in there balance sheets and may seen more downside in these 2-3 years but after that I think one could see a huge rally in these stocks if he /she buy it in SIP method.

Now I tell you that I like which stock more in above 5 stocks and why?
I like TATA COMUNICATION in above 5 stocks and why? So read following reason that why I choose tata communication in above 5 stocks
1. I give first priority to low equity stocks , low equity means less share capital it give us a high EPS. And more chance to issue bonus share. So equity capital of IDEA has 3100.1 cr., BHARTI has 1898.6 cr., RELIANC COM has 1032 cr., MTNL has 630 cr and TATA COMUNICATION has 285 cr.
2. Face value of TATA COMUNICATION is 10 but bhari and r com face value is 5-5.
3. book value of bharti is very low you wonder that it is only 72.5 but r com book value is 250.4 , tata communication book value is 238.5 MTNL book value is 191.4 so bharti is not a value buying due to it book value is lower than MTNL.
4. Promoter holding of BHARTI AND R COM is 67.83 And 67.85 but TATA COMUNICATION promoter holding is 76.15 percent.
5. Please read disclaimer before investing r comand mtnl is in my personal holding and in bharti, idea, my holding is zero.
6. Please note that TATA COMUNICATION ( BSE code 500483) and TATA TELE MAHARASTRA LTD. are separate companies . SO DO NOT CONFUSE TTML AS TATA COMUNICATION.

BGIL films technology limited

hi mahesh ji,
Please give your valuable opinion on the share BGIL Films. Is it good for short term?
thanks you
venkat
1.Promoters share holding in BGIL films technology limited in June 10 is 49.24 and at june 09 it is 55.04 percent so promoter reduce his holding and also pladged some share for avail loans.
2.price of BGIL films technology limited share make his all time high108.80 at 16 Feb. 2009 and after a big fall of 85 percent it traded at 19 in sept 09 and now at oct 2010 it is traded at 12 only, so after such type of big fall shares distributed in small investors and share go in to a dark Jone for 2-3 years . We think in next some year there are no big move in this share.
3.But BGIL films technology limited is still in profit EPS of FY 09-10 is 2.13 so BGIL traded at P/E of near about 6.
4.book value of BGIL films technology limited is 22.39
5.there are no FII or mutual fund interests in BGIL films technology limited
6. i think currant price 11-12 is not bad but your waiting period may long for retruns.

CAN THE SHARE BOUGHT AT NSE BE SOLD AT BSE?

Mahesh Ji,
Can the shares bought at NSE be sold at BSE? Im having CRANES which was bought from NSE. Now CRANES is not trading in NSE.
Rajeev Daniel

Rajiv ji , you can sell your crans software shares at BSE , because NSE or BSE is only trading platform.
Once you purchase share then it deposit to your d mat account with his ISIN number.
So once you purchase shares then these shares are known with there ISIN number so after that you are able to sell your share at any share market where your stock list with there ISIN number.

STURDY IND BUY BELOW 4

Hi mahesh ji,
I would like your valuable openion on buying sturdy industries at cmp.
Thanks
Venkat
1. sturdy industry is a plastic tube and fitting company realated with BSE B group.
2. face value of sturdy industry is 2
3. rupee 5-6 is not safe price for sturdy industries because huge bulk deal shown in sell side at this price
DealDate Type Qty Rate T/O (Cr.)
02/09/10 SELL 2,00,000 5.22 0.10
17/08/10 SELL 3,00,000 6.01 0.18
4. promoters holding is 43.04 percent ,normal.
5. book value of sturdy industry is 6.43
6. debt equity ratio in sturdy ltd is 1.24
7. my view is positive in this stock but normally we see after spilt stock may slow down for some so in this view i think you may wait below 4