MY TARGET BELOW 110 FOR LIC HOUSING FINANCE LTD

Dear maheshji.
Kindly comment on LIC HOUSING FINANCE.
IS IT WORTH TO INVEST IN THE STOCK AT CMP?
AFTER SPLIT AND BANKING LISENCE THE PRICE WILL SKY ROCKET.
WHAT IS UR VIEW?
I GUESS MANY PEOPLE WOULD LIKE TO HEAR FROM YOU ABOUT THIS SCRIP.
PLEASE DO PUBLISH THEREPLY ON BLOG FOR THE BENEFIT OF YOUR FOLLOWERS.
THANKS
-ask by shri AGNI PRUTHVI
1. Respected Agni pruthvi ji thanks for your faith on my views LIC housing finance ltd is a 10 rupee face value company and as you knew that LIC Housing Finance Ltd has approved subdivision of Equity shares of the Company of Rs. 10/- each into 5 equity shares of Rs. 2/- each.
2. I always see that stock spilt give a negative effect of stock price so I think after this spilt share enter in a rest zone of 1 year.
3. In 2006 price of lic housing finance is 180 only and book value of lic housing finance is 356.84 and year low is 707.10 so I think near 500-600 ( after spilt 110-125) I fair value of this script.
4. What happen if lic housing finance is get banking license? I think this rumor is already discounted because CMP of lic housing finance is near ICICI BANK which has a banking license.
5. Promoter holding in LIC housing finance is 36.54 % and FII holding is 41.69 % but this number related with September 2010 quarter and I think FII reduce their holding in November 2010 see these bulk deals figure in BSE site for more details

click here to read data of bulk deals

6. So bulk deals , stock splits, all of news of investigations by CBI is make my view negative and after spilt my target for LIC housing finance company is below 110. Sorry if this target is shocking but market proves my targets many times.
7. I have no any share of lic housing finance ltd. This is a good repeated company so read disclaimer before take any action.

VAIBHAV GEMS LTD : VALUE BUY

Hi Mahesh,
This is the first time I’m writing to you. Need some advice on Vaibhav Gems. Is it a good buy at this level (priced at about Rs. 21)?
Thanks,
( sorry unfortunatlly i delete this mail and forget asker name i think may be "aruna" is asker name)
1. Vaibhav gems ltd is a 10 rupee face value gems and stone company.
2. 52 week high of vaibhav gems is 43.50 and 52 week low 19.45 so current price 23 is near to 52 week low but book value of vaibhav gems is 93.20 so I think current price is a value buying for vaibhav gems.
3. Promoter holding in vaibhav gems is 13.38 % so low promoter holding makes this stock risky this is the reason for low valuation of vaibhav gems FII holding 20 % so I think this is FII driven stock and it may convert in penny stock when FII sell their holding.
4. Vaibhav gems give dividends from 2003 to 2007 but after 2007 there is no any dividend.
5. Overall I think this is a good but some risky share so you may hold it for decent returns.
6. I have no any share of vaibhav gems.

CAN HCC TOUCH 10?

Respected Mahesh Ji,
I am very very upset so please please please reply to my Q if possible I would be so grateful to you.
I have bought good amount of HCC at 44 Rs. On 26 Nov 2010. Now due to scam news and Lavasa issue it is coming down and down only. I am in great depression as everyone is saying that the share will go to the level of 10 Rs. in near term.
What should I do sir? Shall I ever see my price back in this stock or I should sell this in loss. Please advice.
Amar
1. Amar ji do not worry HCC is very large and good reputated construction company with 1 rupee face value.
2. Book value of HCC is 25.01 so it may test near 25-35 but I think level of 10 is very difficult in this script.
3. As I describe in my earlier articles that time of all infrastructure companies is bad and I think this cycle is change in 6-12 months so if this happen you may see HCC at 150+
4. Promoter holding in HCC is 39.86 % and FII holding 27.02 % so this is a good holding pattern.
5. At 11 aug 2010 HCC give 1:1 bonus so as I always say that after bonus issue share enter in sleep zone for 1-2 year so hold your stock and look exit at 45+ then enter again below 35
6. I have no any stock of HCC

VEER ENERGY: PROMOTER REDUCE THERE HOLDING

hi maheshji,
i m jagdish i was purchased veer energy 20, 000 shares@ 23rs. and atv projects 5000 shares @7 rs. and rishabhdev techno cable 5000 shares@9 rs.
i am a fool while purchasing these stocks but i m daily reader of your stock view and now i m going on your think.
now can u tell me what can i do? whether i keep it or sell all stocks?
and also can u give me are above stocks are technical strongs or not?
waiting your reply sir. thanks,
Jagdish
dear jagdish please ask only one question in a time so we discuss veer energy today
1. Face value of veer energy and infrastructure ltd is rs 1 only so this is not a cheap stock if we compare it price 8 to 10 rupees face value stock than it is 60 and this is 2.5 time higher of NHPC price.
2. In December 2008 promoter holding in this share is 53.31 percent and September 2009 promoter holding is 50.31, and December 2009 it is 48.81 percent only and in sept 2010 promoter holding is 33.71 % so promoter continue reduce there holding. This is a very bad sign for company health.
3. Book value of veer energy is 1.35 only.
4. EPS of this company is 0.33 only in sept 2010.
5. So overall I not like this company and my view is negative for veer energy and infrastructure ltd. Due to it very poor fundamental.
6. i have no any share of veer energy ltd

EDITORIAL

Respected blog readers,
As you knew that I have been transferred from my old posting place pindwara to nohar (differences 800 km in both places) so due to my transfer you may feel that this blog is not updated regularly... but do not worry I start regular update this blog soon when I settale my work and family in new place. It will be take near about 20-25 days. Thanks for your love and faith on this free service.
Regards
Mahesh chander kaushik TRA

ICICI DIRECT LAUNCH NEW PENSION SYSTEM ONLINE

1.As I consider my earlier posts that icici direct is the best online stock trading provider now icici direct launch online new pension system.
2.The NPS is administered by Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA) and NPS was introduced by the Government of India to provide sustainable solutions for adequate retirement income.
3.CLICK HERE TO READ OFFER DOCUMENTS OF NPS BY GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
4.PFRDA has appointed seven Pension Fund Managers (PFM) to invest and manage your funds so it is the best manage mutual fund.
5.Minimum annual contribution in this scheme is 6000 per year.
6.ICICI DIRECT also give you SIP facility in NPS...i think this option made it delicious.
7.Please visit the PFRDA website (http://www.pfrda.org.in) to know more about the product.
8.Be cautious this plan have no liquidity Withdrawal on maturity at the age of 60 years post which one can withdraw 60% of the corpus as lump sum or in trenches of minimum of 10% each and compulsorily buy annuities of the remaining 40% However, for special requirements a onetime withdrawal or liquidity of 20% is allowed .

TANLA SOLUTIONS LTD

Hi Sir,
Thank you for sharing your views.
Can you also let me know your views on "Tanla".Can this become a turn around share?
It has a book value of 90, Regular dividend paying company, Promoter is not selling his holdings, Corporates are also holidng it, Zero Debt company.
Thanks,
vamsi
1. Tanla solution is a 1 rupee face value IT company IPO price of this share is 265 but after IPO share spilt from 2 rupee face value to 1 rupee face value so if we adjusted spilt price than IPO price is 132.5
2. book value of tanla solution is 62.14 and share quoted at 22 so this is a value buying generally I see most of IT company with low book value but this is odd case where book value is 2.5 time high from traded price.
3. Promoter holding of tanla solution is 35.68 % FII holding 4.87% FII continue reduce there holding in tanla from 22 % to 4.87 % so this is the nagative point for this stock.
4. Tanla Solutions Ltd announces deployment of a new service in its 3G platform with MTNL
5. Tanla is granted patent by the Indian Patent Office - Automated Meter Reading System and method thereof
6. This company is continuing pay dividends and I think it is no problem to hold further but it may take time 4-6 months for turn arround story
7. Tanla solution is not in my portfolio.