Monday, July 18, 2016

Time Technoplast Ltd @ 52.30

1. Time Technoplast Ltd is a 1 rupee face value Containers & Packaging Company. BSE Code:-532856 Security ID : TIMETECHNO  Group / Index : B / S&P BSE SmallCap    ISIN : INE508G01029.
Brief Details of Company: - Time Technoplast Ltd (Time Tech) has multinational operations in Bahrain, Belgium, China, Egypt, Indonesia, India, Malaysia, Poland, Romania, Singapore, Sharjah, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam.
The company is a leading manufacturer of polymer products.
The company's diversified portfolio  like,:-
Industrial Packaging Solutions,
Lifestyle Products, 
Automotive Components, 
Healthcare Products, 
Infrastructure / Construction related products, 
Material Handling Solutions & Composite Cylinders.
See various brands portfolio of Time Technoplast at this link:-http://www.timetechnoplast.com/brands-popup.htm
Time Tech group operated more than 40 production facilities across the globe and recognized for its innovative plastic products.
Since its inception in 1992, Time Tech has set itself apart from its competition by focusing on research and development, futuristic product designing, superior customer service by setting up 28 manufacturing units & 10 regional and marketing offices to meet the growing demand of Indian customers & further to fill the need gap for global customers.
TTL's strategic expansion overseas in U.A.E, Bahrain, Thailand, and Poland enables it to serve its customers in the Western, Southern and Southeastern region of Asia. Poland allows TTL to have a gateway into Europe.
2. Year high of Time Technoplast Ltd is 69.90 year low was 42.00 and stock traded at 52.30, Year high/ low ratio is  below 2, So stock is stable for fresh buy,  If you are new reader of my blog and not familiar with my research terms, then please see my research terms at this link
3. Promoters of Time Technoplast Ltd hold 58.51 %  and   Promoters Pledged his 23.72% stocks.
 Here for trading stocks, we allow till 33% pledged stocks. Now you understand that due to 23.72% pledged stocks this stock is published on sharegenius blog for 20%+ trading gains and not posted at my home page www.maheshkaushik.com
See full list of public shareholding including FII and DII here:-
4.Time Technoplast Ltd pay regular dividends since 2008. So as per my theory, most of my recommendations are dividend paying, and we get dividends in out holding period.
Because personally I do not use stop loss and hold till stock give me 15% to 20 % profits so if my holding time is more than three months I get dividends. See past dividend history here:-
Dividend Declared (  )
EX DateAmount ()
16 Sep 20150.5000
23 Sep 20140.4500
17 Sep 20130.4500
20 Sep 20120.4500
15 Sep 20110.4500
16 Sep 20100.4000
10 Sep 20090.3500
23 Sep 20083.0000
5. The base price of Time Technoplast Ltd is 47.01 So for the trading purpose we buy a stock who recently cross his base price from downside to upside ( Refer my book for more detail).
In this example the stock Time Techno touch his 52 weeks low 42.00 at 12 FEB 2016, and now this stock crossed his base price 47.01 from downside to upside and traded @52.30 So this is a golden situation as per my rules.
6. No any bonus issue right issue and bulk deals are recorded in last two year which shows price stability.
7. Time Technoplast Ltd net sale per share of FY 15-16 is 66.97.
8. Net sale per share 66.97 is also higher than CMP, so If we buy @52.30, we have the chance to get the price near 66.97. 
Some of my investors confused about the target price of stock. 
We can assume target price of any stock in 3 ways:-
1. The simple way " Net Sale per share is the target of stock" watch here:-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1rdWmenk_wM

2. Next simple way 20%+ base price is the target of stock, Watch this video:-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qR6EQk1f1cM
3. Complex way is fundamental target price which describes in this video: -
 So here we buy this stock for trading purpose and want to get 20% + return within three months, so we do not use fundamental target price for trading stocks, we use 20%+ target from our buying price ( or first method net sale per share).
In this situation our target is between 62.76 ( 20% above of 52.30) to 66.97 ( Net sale per share), Time Frame 3 months, Stop Loss 10% below from buying price=47.07
9. Book value of Time Technoplast Ltd is 55.43 Book value is also higher than CMP, So in book value term TTL is a value buy at CMP.
8. Time Technoplast is a well-diversified company for short term trading purpose and also useful for long-term holding more than one year.
9. 200 DMA of Time Technoplast Ltd is 51.71 So at CMP 52.30,, So TTL traded over his 200 DMA 

Simple Moving Averages

DaysBSENSE
3049.8549.81
5049.1449.09
15050.2950.25
20051.7151.67
and  here I provide last 3-year closing price chart of Time Techno:-
Click Here to Download last 3 Years Closing Price and Graph
10. My recent updates : -    Buy RCF @ 46.50
11. Disclaimer: - This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this research report” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in “this research report”. The author is neither a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time.The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions. Please  read full disclaimer at the bottom of my blog.
12.Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not hold any share of Time Technoplast Ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( Time Technoplast Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not  received any type of compensation from the subject company(Time Technoplast Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company ( Time Technoplast Ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company (Time Technoplast Ltd).



Sunday, July 3, 2016

Steel Authority of India Ltd: Buy @46.10

1. Steel Authority of India Ltd is a 10 rupee face value Steel and iron company.
Brief Details of Company:- Steel Authority of India Limited -A Maharatna Status Public Sector Enterprise.SAIL is India's largest steel producing company with a turnover of Rs.43,337 crore in the year 2015-16. The company is among the seven Maharatnas of the country's Central Public Sector Enterprises. SAIL has five integrated steel plants, three special plants, and one subsidiary in different parts of the country.
Source:-https://www.sail.co.in/
2. Year high of Steel Authority of India Ltd is 65.20 year low was 33.50 and the stock traded at 46.15, Year high/ low ratio is below two so as my theory current market price is stable for fresh buy. If you are new reader of my blog and not familiar with my research terms, then please see my research terms at this link

3. Promoters of Steel Authority of India Ltd hold 75 % stake, and FII holds 4.99 %, LIC hold 10.94%. Promoters holding is sound. SAIL is a PSU company, so Govt of India is the promoter of this company.
Click here to see full list of FII & DII holding 
4.Steel Authority of India Ltd has a regular dividend history. See past dividends from SAIL:- ( please remember due to massive losses in balance sheet I think dividend may not continue in 2016)
EX DatePurpose
11/08/2015Final Dividend 0.25
18/02/2015Interim Dividend 1.75
18/02/2014Interim Dividend 2.02
02/08/2013Final Dividend 0.40
15/02/2013Interim Dividend 1.60
5. The base price of Steel Authority of India Ltd is 62.71. So Current market price 46.10 is near about 26.48% below the base price and no doubt this is the best time to buy SAIL.
Click here to download the last 3-year closing price &Graph
6. No any bonus issue , right issue and bulk deals are recorded in last two years.
6. Steel Authority of India Ltd net sale per share of FY 15-16 is 94.62.
7. Net sale per share is good at 94.62, so this stock has the chance to become a multi-bagger.
8. Book value of Steel Authority of India Ltd is 97.25, and CMP is lower than book value. So in book value term this stock is a value buy.
8. SAIL is a good stock and full-fill most of my stock screening criteria.
9. 200 DMA of Steel Authority of India Ltd is 45.14 So SAIL recently gives a positive breakout over his all the simple moving averages:-

Simple Moving Averages of SAIL
DAYSBSENSE
3043.0743.10
5043.1843.19
15043.0543.04
20045.1445.14
As per my book here fundamental target price of SAIL is 76.37.
 So if you want to hold SAIL for 1-3 Year long term view then hold it for target of 76.37 & If you want to buy SAIL for 3 months then target is 55.32 (20% above from here) and trading stop loss is 41.49 (10% below from here)
10. My recent updates :- RCF @ 45.65
11. Disclaimer:- This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this research report” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in “this research report”. The author is neither a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time.The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions. Please read full disclaimer at the bottom of my blog.
12.Discloser: - I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not hold any share of Steel Authority of India Ltd, so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( Steel Authority of India Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not  received any type of compensation from the subject company(Steel Authority of India Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company ( Steel Authority of India Ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company (Steel Authority of India Ltd).


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